Port Vale v Scunthorpe prediction

FA Cup · · Vale Park

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Port Vale v Scunthorpe, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Port Vale host Scunthorpe in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Port Vale or Scunthorpe (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Port Vale have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.71.

Nine of Scunthorpe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Scunthorpe’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Scunthorpe have two wins, no draws and seven defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.11.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Port Vale the stronger side, 194 rating points above Scunthorpe (Port Vale 1927, Scunthorpe 1732, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 January 2022, finished Port Vale 1–0 Scunthorpe.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Kyle Dempsey (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and one assist) and George Byers (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) have been Port Vale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port Vale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kyle Dempsey averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1079 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. George Byers averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 597 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup · Vale Park
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Port Vale 3 · draws 1 · Scunthorpe 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Port Vale 3W 1D 1L · Scunthorpe 1W 0D 4L

Port Vale v Scunthorpe (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Port Vale v Scunthorpe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Port ValeWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
ScunthorpeLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Port Vale 3 · 1 draw · Scunthorpe 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2022-01-29 Port Vale 1–0 Scunthorpe
  • 2021-09-25 Scunthorpe 0–1 Port Vale
  • 2021-01-26 Scunthorpe 2–0 Port Vale
  • 2020-11-17 Port Vale 0–1 Scunthorpe
  • 2020-09-05 Scunthorpe 1–2 Port Vale
  • 2020-02-29 Port Vale 2–2 Scunthorpe
Goals per game
Port Vale scored1.4
Scunthorpe scored1.2
Port Vale conceded1
Scunthorpe conceded2.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Port Vale v Scunthorpe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Scunthorpe is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Scunthorpe?
In their last 6 meetings, Port Vale won 3, Scunthorpe won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Port Vale and Scunthorpe?
Recent form — Port Vale 3W 1D 1L; Scunthorpe 1W 0D 4L.

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