SouthendBerkhamsted

Southend v Berkhamsted result

Full-time · Southend 1–2 Berkhamsted

FA Cup · · Roots Hall

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Southend 1–2 Berkhamsted — Berkhamsted won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Berkhamsted won 2–1 at Roots Hall in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October. Southend have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Southend: Lewys Morgan Twamley (32’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Berkhamsted’s goal on 88 minutes.

What it changes

Southend have scored one goal, the 142nd-fewest (shared) of the 296 clubs (this season so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Southend have conceded two goals, the 144th-most (shared) of the 296 clubs.

Berkhamsted have scored 11 goals, the 30th-most (shared) of the 296 clubs (this season so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Berkhamsted have conceded four goals, the 35th-fewest (shared) of the 296 clubs.

Berkhamsted have won their last four matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Southend next host Aldershot Town on 14 November 2026.

Berkhamsted next travel to Plymouth Parkway on 9 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southend: Southend v Aldershot Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Berkhamsted: Plymouth Parkway v Berkhamsted, Monday 9 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Southend 1–2 Berkhamsted · FA Cup
  • Venue: Roots Hall · Southend-on-Sea, Essex
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Southend 3W 1D 1L · Berkhamsted 4W 0D 1L

Southend 1–2 Berkhamsted (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SouthendBerkhamsted
75%Possession25%
20Shots9
8Shots on target5
12Shots off target4
0Blocked shots0
9Corners3
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southend v Berkhamsted — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthendWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BerkhamstedWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Southend scored2.8
Berkhamsted scored2.2
Southend conceded1.6
Berkhamsted conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Southend v Berkhamsted?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southend v Berkhamsted was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Southend and Berkhamsted?
Recent form — Southend 3W 1D 1L; Berkhamsted 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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