Sutton UtdTruro City

Sutton Utd v Truro City result

Full-time · Sutton Utd 1–0 Truro City

FA Cup · · Borough Sports Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sutton Utd 1–0 Truro City — Sutton Utd won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Odds: 1.80 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sutton Utd beat Truro City 1–0 at Borough Sports Ground in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

Sutton Utd led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sutton Utd: E. Osadebe (32’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Osadebe’s goal on 32 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sutton Utd 0.00, Truro City 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Sutton Utd had no shots (no on target) to Truro City’s no (no on target). Sutton Utd had 0% of the ball to Truro City’s 0%, completing 0 passes to 0.

What it changes

Sutton Utd have scored one goal, the 142nd-fewest (shared) of the 296 clubs (this season so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Sutton Utd have conceded no goals, the fewest (shared) of the 296 clubs.

Truro City have scored seven goals, the 106th-most (shared) of the 296 clubs (this season so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Truro City have conceded two goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 296 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Truro City, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Sutton Utd next travel to Guiseley AFC on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sutton Utd: Guiseley AFC v Sutton Utd, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sutton Utd 1–0 Truro City · FA Cup
  • Venue: Borough Sports Ground · London
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Sutton Utd 1 · draws 0 · Truro City 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sutton Utd 0W 3D 2L · Truro City 3W 1D 1L

Sutton Utd 1–0 Truro City (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sutton Utd v Truro City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sutton UtdDDLDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Truro CityLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Sutton Utd 1 · 0 draws · Truro City 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Sutton Utd 0–3 Truro City
  • 2025-11-22 Truro City 2–3 Sutton Utd
Goals per game
Sutton Utd scored1
Truro City scored1.8
Sutton Utd conceded1.8
Truro City conceded0.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sutton Utd v Truro City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sutton Utd v Truro City was Draw or Away (odds 1.80 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Sutton Utd and Truro City?
In their last 2 meetings, Sutton Utd won 1, Truro City won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sutton Utd and Truro City?
Recent form — Sutton Utd 0W 3D 2L; Truro City 3W 1D 1L.

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