UxbridgeAFC Hornchurch

Uxbridge v AFC Hornchurch result

Full-time · Uxbridge 0–4 AFC Hornchurch

FA Cup · · Honeycroft

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Uxbridge 0–4 AFC Hornchurch — AFC Hornchurch won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Odds: 1.17 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AFC Hornchurch won 4–0 at Honeycroft in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

AFC Hornchurch led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — AFC Hornchurch: H. Hearn (22’), Charlie Pegrum (30’), D. Poleon (39’) and T. Wraight (52’). S. Deadfield (61’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Charlie Pegrum’s goal on 30 minutes.

What it changes

Uxbridge sit 17th on 10 points from five games with a goal difference of +3 (2026/27 so far). Uxbridge have scored 10 goals, the 61st-most (shared) of the 295 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Uxbridge have conceded seven goals, the 112th-fewest of the 295 clubs.

AFC Hornchurch sit 94th on three points from one game with a goal difference of +4 (2026/27 so far). AFC Hornchurch have scored four goals, the most (shared) of the 295 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). AFC Hornchurch have conceded no goals, the fewest (shared) of the 295 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Uxbridge or AFC Hornchurch (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

AFC Hornchurch next host Blackpool on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AFC Hornchurch: AFC Hornchurch v Blackpool, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Uxbridge 0–4 AFC Hornchurch · FA Cup
  • Venue: Honeycroft · London
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Uxbridge 3W 1D 1L · AFC Hornchurch 3W 0D 2L

Uxbridge 0–4 AFC Hornchurch (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Uxbridge v AFC Hornchurch — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UxbridgeLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
AFC HornchurchWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Uxbridge scored2.2
AFC Hornchurch scored1
Uxbridge conceded1
AFC Hornchurch conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Uxbridge v AFC Hornchurch?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Uxbridge v AFC Hornchurch was Home or Away (odds 1.17 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Uxbridge and AFC Hornchurch?
Recent form — Uxbridge 3W 1D 1L; AFC Hornchurch 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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