Aston Villa W v Liverpool W result

Full-time · Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W

FA WSL · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:00 BST · Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 15:54 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aston Villa W · Liverpool W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W — Aston Villa W won this FA WSL match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Aston Villa W beat Liverpool W 2–1 at Trevor Brown Memorial Ground in the FA WSL on Sunday 18 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Liverpool W out-shot Aston Villa W 22 to 7 and created the better chances, 0.94 xG to 0.42 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Aston Villa W came from behind: Liverpool W led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Liverpool W: Natalia Ramos (16’, assisted by F. Nagano).

What it changes

Aston Villa W move up from 11th to 10th (six league matches played).

Liverpool W move down from fifth to sixth (six league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Akane Okuma (Aston Villa W) 9.1, F. Nagano (Liverpool W) 7.9 and A. Bergstrom (Liverpool W) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Aston Villa W next travel to Everton W on 25 October 2026.

Liverpool W next host London City Lionesses W on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aston Villa W: Everton W v Aston Villa W, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Liverpool W: Liverpool W v London City Lionesses W, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W · FA WSL
Venue: Trevor Brown Memorial Ground · Sutton Coldfield
Referee: Megan Wilson
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Aston Villa W 2 · draws 0 · Liverpool W 4 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Aston Villa W 0W 3D 2L · Liverpool W 2W 1D 2L

Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W (FA WSL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

2 / 5.8

Corners

against 9 / 4.6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

2.8 / 5.6

Shots on target

against 7.8 / 3.6 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1.2 / 1.2

Cards

against 0.8 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Aston Villa W for / against	Line	Liverpool W for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2 for · 9 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	5.8 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	7.2 for · 26 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	14.4 for · 10.4 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	2.8 for · 7.8 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	5.6 for · 3.6 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	6.6 for · 6.8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	9.4 for · 10.6 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	1.2 for · 0.8 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.2 for · 1 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: Megan Wilson.

Aston Villa W

Aston Villa W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Deslandes n 6	43	1.4 4/0	1 3/0	A. Bergstrom
N. Maritz n 8	86.5	1.3 5/4	0.9 4/2	Natalia Ramos
Rachel Maltby n 3	24.3	1.2 1/0	0 0/0	—
Justine Kielland n 8	67.3	1 4/2	1.3 4/3	—
L. Kendall n 5	80.6	0.9 2/1	0 0/0	—

Aston Villa W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Vangsgaard n 8	77.1	1.9 7/4	1 5/2
M. McAulay n 4	47.8	1.9 2/1	0.9 2/0
L. Kendall n 5	80.6	1.1 1/1	0.2 1/0
M. Taylor n 8	55.3	1 3/1	0.6 2/1
G. Mullet n 5	20.2	0.9 1/0	0 0/0

Aston Villa W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Maritz n 8	86.5	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Vangsgaard n 8	77.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Wilms n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Akane Okuma n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Harviken n 8	87.1	0 0/0	0 0/0

Aston Villa W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Taylor n 8	55.3	3.5 7/5
L. Parker n 8	78.8	2.7 5/4
M. Hijikata n 7	58.3	2.4 5/4
Justine Kielland n 8	67.3	1.5 6/2
N. Maritz n 8	86.5	1.4 6/3

Aston Villa W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Akane Okuma n 5	90	6 5/5

Liverpool W

Liverpool W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Csillag n 6	21.8	3.4 4/1	1.4 2/0	—
Natalia Ramos n 4	86.3	1.8 4/2	2.1 4/3	N. Maritz
A. Josendal n 6	34.2	1.8 2/1	0.4 1/0	—
V. Endemann n 8	71.1	1.4 5/1	2.2 7/5	—
A. Bergstrom n 8	52.9	1.1 4/1	0.4 2/0	O. Deslandes

Liverpool W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Csillag n 6	21.8	3.4 2/1	1.4 1/1
A. Josendal n 6	34.2	2.6 4/2	0.9 1/1
V. Endemann n 8	71.1	2.4 7/4	0.6 3/1
M. Enderby n 6	38.8	2.3 3/1	0.4 1/0
Natalia Ramos n 4	86.3	2.1 3/1	0.8 2/1

Liverpool W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Hobinger n 7	35.3	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
A. Csillag n 6	21.8	0.7 1/0	0 0/0
V. Endemann n 8	71.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
B. Olsson n 8	69.3	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
C. Kapocs n 8	89.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0

Liverpool W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Csillag n 6	21.8	4.1 4/2
D. O'Sullivan n 8	58.9	3.6 7/6
V. Endemann n 8	71.1	3 7/6
Alejandra Bernabé de Santiago n 8	89	2.8 7/6
M. Enderby n 6	38.8	2.3 2/2

Liverpool W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Keating n 8	90.8	3.8 8/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Aston Villa W		Liverpool W
33%	Possession	67%
0.42	Expected goals (xG)	0.94
7	Shots	22
3	Shots on target	9
4	Shots off target	8
0	Blocked shots	5
2	Shots inside the box	13
5	Corners	5
1	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	9
0	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
8	Saves	2
333	Passes	701

Aston Villa W player stats

Player	Min	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Akane Okuma	90	1	0	0	1	0	8.8
A. Patten	90	0	0	0	0	3	6.5
M. Harviken	90	0	1	0	0	0	6.3
O. Deslandes	90	0	0	0	1	2	6.5
Justine Kielland	90	0	1	0	0	1	6.3
L. Wilms	90	0	0	0	1	1	6.7
N. Maritz	90	0	0	0	0	2	6
A. Vangsgaard	89	0	2	1	0	2	5.9
O. Jean-François	45	0	0	0	0	2	6.4
R. Imuran	45	0	1	1	0	6	6.6
M. Taylor	45	0	0	0	0	1	6.1
G. Mullet	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Liverpool W player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
K. Keating	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
A. Bergstrom	90	0	0	2	1	3	5	7.5
Alejandra Bernabé de Santiago	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	6.6
C. Kapocs	90	0	0	7	4	1	1	6.9
K. MacLean	90	0	0	1	0	3	1	7.2
B. Olsson	90	0	0	2	0	3	0	6.3
F. Nagano	86	0	1	1	0	5	3	7.7
Natalia Ramos	65	1	0	1	1	1	2	7.7
M. Hobinger	45	0	0	1	0	1	1	6
M. Enderby	45	0	0	3	2	0	3	6.7
V. Endemann	25	0	0	1	1	1	0	7
M. Itamura	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Aston Villa W v Liverpool W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Aston Villa WDLDLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Liverpool WWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Aston Villa W 2 · 0 draws · Liverpool W 4 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-02-08 Liverpool W 4–1 Aston Villa W
2025-12-11 Aston Villa W 3–0 Liverpool W
2025-03-30 Liverpool W 1–2 Aston Villa W
2024-11-03 Aston Villa W 1–2 Liverpool W
2024-03-03 Aston Villa W 1–4 Liverpool W
2023-10-08 Liverpool W 2–0 Aston Villa W

League standing · 2026/27

Aston Villa W#10 pos6 pts6 pl-6 GD

Liverpool W#7 pos7 pts6 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Aston Villa W scored1

Liverpool W scored1.67

Aston Villa W conceded2

Liverpool W conceded1.33

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Aston Villa W v Liverpool W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Aston Villa W v Liverpool W was Draw or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa W and Liverpool W?: In their last 6 meetings, Aston Villa W won 2, Liverpool W won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aston Villa W and Liverpool W?: Recent form — Aston Villa W 0W 3D 2L; Liverpool W 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 15:54 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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