Chelsea WArsenal W

Chelsea W v Arsenal W result

Full-time · Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W

FA WSL · · Stamford Bridge

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea W · Arsenal W · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W — Chelsea W won this FA WSL match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.44 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1795 landed (95% range 74.6–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chelsea W beat Arsenal W 1–0 at Stamford Bridge in the FA WSL on Sunday 27 September. Chelsea W are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Chelsea W led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Chelsea W: A. Thompson (39’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Thompson’s goal on 39 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Chelsea W: Katie McCabe (45’) and L. Bronze (45+3’).

What it changes

Chelsea W move down from second to third (four league matches played).

Arsenal W move down from fourth to seventh (four league matches played).

Chelsea W have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Chelsea W have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Thompson (Chelsea W) 7.6, Anneke Borbe (Arsenal W) 6.0 and L. Bronze (Chelsea W) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chelsea W or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1375 of 1795).

Next up

Chelsea W next travel to Häcken W on 10 November 2026.

Arsenal W next travel to Barcelona W on 11 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea W: Häcken W v Chelsea W, Tuesday 10 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal W: Barcelona W v Arsenal W, Wednesday 11 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W · FA WSL
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge · London
  • Referee: Heaslip Emily
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea W 3 · draws 1 · Arsenal W 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chelsea W 4W 1D 0L · Arsenal W 3W 2D 0L

Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W (FA WSL): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.83 / 10
Corners
against 2.33 / 1.6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
6.5 / 5.6
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 1.4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
0.67 / 0.83
Cards
against 1.33 / 1.67 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameChelsea W for / againstLineArsenal W for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 0.5 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.83 for · 2.33 against n 6
9.5standard
10 for · 1.6 against n 5
Shots
17.33 for · 5.5 against n 6
19.5standard
19 for · 5 against n 5
Shots on target
6.5 for · 2.5 against n 6
8.5standard
5.6 for · 1.4 against n 5
Fouls committed
7.33 for · 6.5 against n 6
21.5standard
7.6 for · 11 against n 5
Cards shown
0.67 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
0.83 for · 1.67 against n 6

Referee: Heaslip Emily.

Chelsea W

Chelsea W Defensive

Chelsea W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Bronze n 892
0.76/0
0.64/1
Leah Williamson
K. Walsh n 879.4
0.75/0
0.43/0
Georgia Stanway
H. Hampton n 891
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Nusken n 882.4
0.54/0
1.26/3
—
E. Carpenter n 885.8
0.74/1
0.85/1
Leah Williamson
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Chelsea W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Bronze n 892
2.66/5
K. Walsh n 879.4
15/2
H. Hampton n 891
00/0
S. Nusken n 882.4
2.58/6
E. Carpenter n 885.8
1.37/3
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Chelsea W Attacking

Chelsea W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Walsh n 879.4
1.76/4
16/1
L. Bronze n 892
1.17/2
0.64/1
H. Hampton n 891
00/0
00/0
S. Nusken n 882.4
37/5
16/1
E. Carpenter n 885.8
25/4
0.95/2
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Chelsea W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Bronze n 892
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Walsh n 879.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
H. Hampton n 891
00/0
00/0
S. Nusken n 882.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Carpenter n 885.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Arsenal W

Arsenal W Defensive

Arsenal W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Georgia Stanway n 390
2.72/2
1.33/1
K. Walsh
Leah Williamson n 865
0.31/1
0.73/1
E. Carpenter
Emily Fox n 880.6
0.11/0
15/2
—
Misa Rodriguez n 390
00/0
00/0
—
Alessia Russo n 885.6
1.15/2
2.17/6
—
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Arsenal W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Georgia Stanway n 390
1.33/1
Emily Fox n 880.6
1.37/1
Leah Williamson n 865
0.52/1
Misa Rodriguez n 390
00/0
Alessia Russo n 885.6
0.94/2
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Arsenal W Attacking

Arsenal W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Georgia Stanway n 390
1.72/2
0.31/0
Leah Williamson n 865
13/2
0.32/0
Emily Fox n 880.6
0.83/1
0.32/0
Misa Rodriguez n 390
00/0
00/0
Alessia Russo n 885.6
37/7
1.46/4
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Arsenal W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal W before kick-off, to 23 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leah Williamson n 865
0.21/0
0.21/0
Georgia Stanway n 390
00/0
00/0
Misa Rodriguez n 390
00/0
00/0
Emily Fox n 880.6
00/0
00/0
Alessia Russo n 885.6
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chelsea WArsenal W
55%Possession45%
13Shots18
7Shots on target2
6Shots off target4
0Blocked shots12
8Shots inside the box13
3Corners4
5Offsides2
9Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves6
524Passes407

Chelsea W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Hampton9000000006.7
E. Carpenter9000003207.7
L. Bronze90001016Y6.9
K. Buchanan9000000006.9
A. Potter9000000207
K. Walsh9000223407.2
W. Kaptein9000100206.6
Katie McCabe89000021Y7
A. Thompson8910221208
M. Malard8000521206
L. James6700211006.4
S. Nusken2300000106.5
Aggie Beever-Jones1000000006.4
S. Baltimore100000006.5
Veerle Buurman100000006.2

Arsenal W Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anneke Borbe9000001007.9
Emily Fox9000201107.2
Leah Williamson9000200107.2
S. Catley9000003006.5
K. Cooney-Cross9000100206.5
Alessia Russo9000102206.2
Kim Little8200101106.3
Ona Batlle8100001406.1
Georgia Stanway6100100006.4
L. Baum6100413206.9
Mariona Caldentey6100211006.8
C. Kelly2900102006.6
Caitlin Foord2900200306.7
Stina Blackstenius2900001006.6
S. Cerci900000006.3
G. Reuteler800100206.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea W v Arsenal W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chelsea WWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Arsenal WWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chelsea W 3 · 1 draw · Arsenal W 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-01 Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W
  • 2026-03-24 Arsenal W 3–1 Chelsea W
  • 2026-01-24 Chelsea W 0–2 Arsenal W
  • 2025-11-08 Arsenal W 1–1 Chelsea W
  • 2025-01-26 Chelsea W 1–0 Arsenal W
  • 2024-10-12 Arsenal W 1–2 Chelsea W
League standing · 2026/27
Chelsea W#2 pos23 pts9 pl+23 GD
Arsenal W#6 pos13 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Chelsea W scored3.11
Arsenal W scored1.11
Chelsea W conceded0.56
Arsenal W conceded1.11

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea W v Arsenal W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea W v Arsenal W was Home or Draw (best price 1.44 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea W and Arsenal W?
In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea W won 3, Arsenal W won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea W and Arsenal W?
Recent form — Chelsea W 4W 1D 0L; Arsenal W 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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