Chelsea WManchester City W

Chelsea W v Manchester City W prediction

FA WSL · · Stamford Bridge

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea W · Manchester City W · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Chelsea W v Manchester City W, FA WSL on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chelsea W host Manchester City W in the FA WSL on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Chelsea W have scored 28 goals, the most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Chelsea W are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Manchester City W are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Chelsea W have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Manchester City W have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Chelsea W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Chelsea W’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Chelsea W have seven wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.56 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 0.67. Chelsea W have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

10 of Manchester City W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Manchester City W’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Manchester City W have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.29. Manchester City W have scored 27 goals, the second-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Manchester City W have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Chelsea W (second) and Manchester City W (first) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester City W the stronger side, 98 rating points above Chelsea W (Manchester City W 2073, Chelsea W 1975, after at least 194 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished Manchester City W 5–1 Chelsea W.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, L. Bronze (6.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) and L. James (6.5 per match over five appearances, four goals) have been Chelsea W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Bronze averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 698 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances. L. James averages 7.3 shots per 90 over 335 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, L. Hemp (8.4 per match over eight appearances, five goals and six assists) and K. Shaw (8.3 per match over nine appearances, 12 goals and one assist) have been Manchester City W’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City W (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Hemp averages 3.5 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. K. Shaw averages 6.4 shots per 90 over 735 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA WSL · Stamford Bridge
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea W 4 · draws 0 · Manchester City W 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chelsea W 4W 1D 0L · Manchester City W 3W 2D 0L

Chelsea W v Manchester City W (FA WSL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7.38 / 5.63
Corners
against 2.13 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 2 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 1
Cards
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameChelsea W for / againstLineManchester City W for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
3.5our book
2.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
20.5 for · 7.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
7.13 for · 2 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.25 for · 8.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 0.75 against n 8

Chelsea W

Chelsea W Goalkeeper

Chelsea W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
H. Hampton990810 min151.7 /90–00 /90
Chelsea W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
H. Hampton n 890
1.53/2

Chelsea W Defensive

Chelsea W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Bronze887698 min293.7 /90172.2 /9010.1 /90638.1 /9081 /9020.3 /90
K. Buchanan788614 min91.3 /9040.6 /9000 /90324.7 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
Katie McCabe787610 min60.9 /9081.2 /9010.1 /90152.2 /9020.3 /9020.3 /90
Veerle Buurman575375 min81.9 /9081.9 /9000 /90143.4 /9051.2 /9000 /90
N. Björn24284 min22.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9044.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Chelsea W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Hampton n 890
00/0
00/0
—
E. Carpenter n 889.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
—
S. Nusken n 861
0.42/0
1.36/1
—
A. Thompson n 858.8
14/1
0.41/1
—
L. Bronze n 887.3
16/2
0.95/1
—
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Chelsea W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Carpenter n 889.3
1.96/5
S. Nusken n 861
1.87/2
A. Thompson n 858.8
1.35/2
L. Bronze n 887.3
3.77/6
K. Walsh n 886.4
1.26/1
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Chelsea W Attacking

Chelsea W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Thompson962560 min10.2 /9030.5 /90172.7 /9061 /90162.6 /90101.6 /90
M. Malard764451 min61.2 /9000 /90275.4 /90132.6 /9061.2 /9071.4 /90
M. Hamano638230 min20.8 /9000 /9072.7 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
Aggie Beever-Jones636215 min10.4 /9000 /90145.9 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9020.8 /90
L. James567335 min41.1 /9000 /90277.3 /90102.7 /9071.9 /9092.4 /90
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Chelsea W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Hampton n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Carpenter n 889.3
2.17/5
0.94/3
S. Nusken n 861
3.97/5
1.36/1
A. Thompson n 858.8
2.57/4
13/2
L. Bronze n 887.3
1.46/3
0.53/1
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Chelsea W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Hampton n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Carpenter n 889.3
0.53/1
00/0
S. Nusken n 861
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Thompson n 858.8
0.21/0
0.62/1
L. Bronze n 887.3
0.11/0
0.43/0
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Manchester City W

Manchester City W Goalkeeper

Manchester City W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Yamashita890720 min253.1 /90–00 /90
E. Cumings19090 min11 /90–00 /90
Manchester City W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Yamashita n 890
3.17/4

Manchester City W Defensive

Manchester City W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Casparij950453 min81.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90132.6 /90132.6 /9010.2 /90
A. Greenwood884674 min121.6 /90172.3 /9010.1 /90182.4 /9020.3 /9000 /90
C. Wamser867536 min111.8 /9081.3 /9000 /90213.5 /9030.5 /9000 /90
R. Knaak290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90136.5 /9021 /9021 /90
A. Fujino977689 min263.4 /9081 /9081 /90425.5 /9040.5 /9000 /90
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Manchester City W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Shaw n 880.6
1.56/2
1.76/3
—
A. Fujino n 874.9
0.62/1
0.63/1
—
M. Fowler n 856.6
0.63/0
0.42/0
—
K. Casparij n 849
2.56/2
0.52/0
—
L. Hemp n 890
0.95/2
1.46/2
—
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Manchester City W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Shaw n 880.6
0.63/1
A. Fujino n 874.9
37/3
M. Fowler n 856.6
1.66/1
K. Casparij n 849
1.65/1
L. Hemp n 890
1.36/4
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Manchester City W Attacking

Manchester City W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Shaw982735 min121.5 /9010.1 /90526.4 /90232.8 /9070.9 /9081 /90
M. Fowler957514 min20.4 /9020.4 /90173 /9040.7 /90122.1 /90132.3 /90
I. Beney640241 min10.4 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90
A. Fujino977689 min10.1 /9020.3 /90202.6 /9050.7 /90111.4 /9070.9 /90
L. Hemp890720 min50.6 /9060.8 /90243 /90131.6 /90283.5 /90121.5 /90
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Manchester City W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Shaw n 880.6
5.78/8
2.57/5
A. Fujino n 874.9
2.68/5
0.64/0
M. Fowler n 856.6
2.65/3
0.62/1
K. Casparij n 849
1.66/1
0.52/0
L. Hemp n 890
38/7
1.68/2
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Manchester City W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City W before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Shaw n 880.6
1.47/2
0.11/0
A. Fujino n 874.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Fowler n 856.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
K. Casparij n 849
0.21/0
00/0
L. Hemp n 890
0.63/2
0.85/1
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Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea W v Manchester City W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chelsea WWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Manchester City WWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chelsea W 4 · 0 draws · Manchester City W 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-01 Manchester City W 5–1 Chelsea W
  • 2025-09-05 Chelsea W 2–1 Manchester City W
  • 2025-03-27 Chelsea W 3–0 Manchester City W
  • 2025-03-23 Manchester City W 1–2 Chelsea W
  • 2025-03-19 Manchester City W 2–0 Chelsea W
  • 2024-11-16 Chelsea W 2–0 Manchester City W
League standing · 2026/27
Chelsea W#2 pos23 pts9 pl+23 GD
Manchester City W#1 pos25 pts9 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Chelsea W scored3.11
Manchester City W scored3
Chelsea W conceded0.56
Manchester City W conceded1.11

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Chelsea W v Manchester City W?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea W v Manchester City W is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea W and Manchester City W?
In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea W won 4, Manchester City W won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea W and Manchester City W?
Recent form — Chelsea W 4W 1D 0L; Manchester City W 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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