Chile v Colombia prediction

Friendlies · Tue, 17 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 12:20 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chile · Colombia · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Chile v Colombia, Friendlies on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chile host Colombia in Friendlies on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Colombia, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Chile are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Colombia are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Chile have failed to score in their last seven matches in all competitions. Colombia are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Chile, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of Chile’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in three of Chile’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%). At home, Chile have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.00.

Seven of Colombia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in four of Colombia’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Colombia have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.86.

Colombia have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chile the stronger side, 36 rating points above Colombia (Chile 1866, Colombia 1830, after at least 44 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 September 2021, finished Colombia 3–1 Chile.

Team news

Predicted Chile XI (4-2-3-1): L. Vigouroux, P. Diaz, G. Maripán, G. Suazo, F. Hormazábal, V. Pizarro, F. Loyola, R. Echeverria, J. Altamirano, E. Ramos, B. Brereton — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darío Osorio (3.4 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and P. Diaz (3.4 per match over four appearances) have been Chile’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chile (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darío Osorio averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1307 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. P. Diaz averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1538 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Colombia XI (4-2-3-1): C. Vargas, D. Sánchez, J. Lucumí, D. Muñoz, J. Mojica, G. Puerta, J. Lerma, J. Arias, R. Rios, J. Quintero, L. Suárez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Díaz (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Santiago Arias (3.7 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Colombia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Colombia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Díaz averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1605 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Santiago Arias averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1977 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 17 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT · Friendlies
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chile 0 · draws 5 · Colombia 1 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Chile 0W 3D 2L · Colombia 3W 2D 0L

Chile v Colombia (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.8 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 5 matches

3.67 / 3.83

Corners

against 6 / 2.67 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

2 / 7.33

Shots on target

against 6.33 / 2.67 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.33 / 1.17

Cards

against 0.67 / 1 · 0 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Chile for / against	Line	Colombia for / against
Goals scored	0 for · 0.8 against n 5 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.67 for · 6 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	3.83 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	7.33 for · 16.67 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	17.33 for · 9.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	2 for · 6.33 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	7.33 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.33 for · 12.33 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 11.17 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.33 for · 0.67 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1.17 for · 1 against n 6 Last 5

Chile

Chile Goalkeeper

Chile — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Vigouroux	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Chile Defensive

Chile — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Maripán	2	90180 min	21 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	84 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
G. Suazo	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	115.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90
P. Diaz	2	90180 min	63 /90	84 /90	21 /90	94.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
F. Hormazábal	2	87174 min	31.6 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	115.7 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
I. Roman	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	11 /90	44 /90	22 /90	00 /90
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Chile — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	1.8 6/4	0.1 1/0	—
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	1.6 6/5	1 5/1	—
G. Maripán n 8	90	1.1 7/2	0.9 6/1	—
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	1.5 5/3	1.4 5/4	—
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0	—

Chile — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	2.7 7/7
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	2.2 6/3
G. Maripán n 8	90	1.8 6/5
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	0.6 2/1
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	3.6 2/2

Chile Attacking

Chile — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Brereton	2	68135 min	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90
L. Cepeda	2	84167 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.7 /90	10.5 /90	63.2 /90	10.5 /90
V. Pizarro	2	68135 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	00 /90
F. Loyola	2	61122 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
R. Echeverria	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Chile — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
G. Maripán n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	1.8 6/4	0.7 3/2
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	1.4 2/1	0.9 1/1

Chile — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+
G. Maripán n 8	90	0 0/0
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	0 0/0
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	0 0/0
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	0.3 2/0
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	0 0/0

Colombia

Colombia Goalkeeper

Colombia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Vargas	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
K. Mier	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Colombia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Vargas n 7	90	1.7 3/2

Colombia Defensive

Colombia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sánchez	6	90540 min	71.2 /90	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	193.2 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
J. Lucumí	5	90450 min	20.4 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	81.6 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90
D. Muñoz	4	90360 min	82 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	123 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90
J. Mojica	4	90360 min	41 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90	133.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
Santiago Arias	2	89177 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	63.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Colombia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Sánchez n 8	90	1.4 7/2	0.4 2/1	—
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	1.7 6/4	2.4 5/5	—
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	1.2 5/3	1.1 4/3	—
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	0.4 2/0	1.1 5/1	—
J. Lucumí n 5	90	1 4/1	0 0/0	—
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Colombia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 8	90	1.4 7/4
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	0.5 4/0
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	0.7 3/1
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	0.5 3/0
J. Lucumí n 5	90	0.4 2/0
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Colombia Attacking

Colombia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Díaz	6	89535 min	10.2 /90	30.5 /90	142.4 /90	81.3 /90	101.7 /90	111.9 /90
J. Rodriguez	6	63380 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	61.4 /90	61.4 /90	174 /90	20.5 /90
L. Suárez	5	64319 min	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	82.3 /90	41.1 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
J. Córdoba	4	49195 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	62.8 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
J. Lerma	6	83498 min	00 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
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Colombia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	2 8/6	1.3 7/3
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	1.6 6/2	1.2 6/1
J. Lucumí n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Colombia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	0.2 1/0	0.4 1/1
J. Lucumí n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chile v Colombia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChileDLDLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

ColombiaWWDWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chile 0 · 5 draws · Colombia 1 · 1.67 goals/game

2021-09-09 Colombia 3–1 Chile
2020-10-14 Chile 2–2 Colombia
2019-10-12 Colombia 0–0 Chile
2019-06-28 Colombia 0–0 Chile
2016-11-10 Colombia 0–0 Chile
2015-11-12 Chile 1–1 Colombia

Goals per game

Chile scored0

Colombia scored1

Chile conceded0.8

Colombia conceded0.2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Chile v Colombia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chile v Colombia is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Chile and Colombia?: In their last 6 meetings, Chile won 0, Colombia won 1 and there were 5 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chile and Colombia?: Recent form — Chile 0W 3D 2L; Colombia 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 12:20 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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