Colombia v Chile prediction

Friendlies · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 05:33 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Colombia · Chile · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Colombia v Chile, Friendlies on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Colombia host Chile in Friendlies on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 00:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Colombia or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Colombia are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Chile are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Chile have failed to score in their last seven matches in all competitions. Colombia are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Chile, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Colombia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in four of Colombia’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Colombia have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 0.13.

Six of Chile’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in three of Chile’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%). Away from home, Chile have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.75.

Colombia have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chile the stronger side, 36 rating points above Colombia (Chile 1866, Colombia 1830, after at least 44 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 September 2021, finished Colombia 3–1 Chile.

Team news

Predicted Colombia XI (4-2-3-1): C. Vargas, D. Sánchez, J. Lucumí, D. Muñoz, J. Mojica, G. Puerta, J. Lerma, J. Arias, R. Rios, J. Quintero, L. Suárez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Díaz (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Santiago Arias (3.7 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Colombia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Colombia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Díaz averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1605 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Santiago Arias averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1977 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Chile XI (4-2-3-1): L. Vigouroux, P. Diaz, G. Maripán, G. Suazo, F. Hormazábal, V. Pizarro, F. Loyola, R. Echeverria, J. Altamirano, E. Ramos, B. Brereton — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darío Osorio (3.4 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and P. Diaz (3.4 per match over four appearances) have been Chile’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chile (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darío Osorio averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1277 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. P. Diaz averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1538 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT · Friendlies
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Colombia 1 · draws 5 · Chile 0 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Colombia 3W 2D 0L · Chile 0W 3D 2L

Colombia v Chile (Friendlies): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0

Goals

against 0.5 / 0.8 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 5 matches

3.83 / 3.67

Corners

against 2.67 / 6 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 3 matches

7.33 / 2

Shots on target

against 2.67 / 6.33 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.17 / 1.33

Cards

against 1 / 0.67 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Colombia for / against	Line	Chile for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0 for · 0.8 against n 5 Last 5
Corners won	3.83 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	3.67 for · 6 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	17.33 for · 9.17 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	7.33 for · 16.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	7.33 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	2 for · 6.33 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 11.17 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	10.33 for · 12.33 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	1.17 for · 1 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.33 for · 0.67 against n 3 Last 5

Colombia

Colombia Goalkeeper

Colombia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Vargas	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
K. Mier	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Colombia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Vargas n 7	90	1.7 3/2

Colombia Defensive

Colombia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sánchez	6	90540 min	71.2 /90	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	193.2 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
J. Lucumí	5	90450 min	20.4 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	81.6 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90
D. Muñoz	4	90360 min	82 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	123 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90
J. Mojica	4	90360 min	41 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90	133.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
Santiago Arias	2	89177 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	63.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Colombia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Sánchez n 8	90	1.4 7/2	0.4 2/1	—
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	1.7 6/4	2.4 5/5	—
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	1.2 5/3	1.1 4/3	—
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	0.4 2/0	1.1 5/1	—
J. Lucumí n 5	90	1 4/1	0 0/0	—
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Colombia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 8	90	1.4 7/4
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	0.5 4/0
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	0.7 3/1
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	0.5 3/0
J. Lucumí n 5	90	0.4 2/0
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Colombia Attacking

Colombia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Díaz	6	89535 min	10.2 /90	30.5 /90	142.4 /90	81.3 /90	101.7 /90	111.9 /90
J. Rodriguez	6	63380 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	61.4 /90	61.4 /90	174 /90	20.5 /90
L. Suárez	5	64319 min	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	82.3 /90	41.1 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
J. Córdoba	4	49195 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	62.8 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
J. Lerma	6	83498 min	00 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
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Colombia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	2 8/6	1.3 7/3
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	1.6 6/2	1.2 6/1
J. Lucumí n 5	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Colombia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colombia before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Sánchez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Díaz n 8	88.6	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
J. Lerma n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Rodriguez n 8	63.9	0.2 1/0	0.4 1/1
J. Lucumí n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Chile

Chile Goalkeeper

Chile — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Vigouroux	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Chile Defensive

Chile — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Maripán	2	90180 min	21 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	84 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
G. Suazo	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	115.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90
P. Diaz	2	90180 min	63 /90	84 /90	21 /90	94.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
F. Hormazábal	2	87174 min	31.6 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	115.7 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
I. Roman	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	11 /90	44 /90	22 /90	00 /90
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Chile — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	1.8 6/4	0.1 1/0	—
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	1.6 6/5	1 5/1	—
G. Maripán n 8	90	1.1 7/2	0.9 6/1	—
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	1.5 5/3	1.4 5/4	—
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0	—

Chile — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	2.7 7/7
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	2.2 6/3
G. Maripán n 8	90	1.8 6/5
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	0.6 2/1
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	3.6 2/2

Chile Attacking

Chile — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Brereton	2	68135 min	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90
L. Cepeda	2	84167 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.7 /90	10.5 /90	63.2 /90	10.5 /90
V. Pizarro	2	68135 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	00 /90
F. Loyola	2	61122 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
R. Echeverria	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Chile — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
G. Maripán n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	1.8 6/4	0.7 3/2
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	1.4 2/1	0.9 1/1

Chile — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chile before kick-off, to 7 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+
G. Maripán n 8	90	0 0/0
G. Suazo n 8	81.9	0 0/0
P. Diaz n 8	75.9	0 0/0
B. Brereton n 8	79.9	0.3 2/0
R. Echeverria n 3	66.3	0 0/0

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colombia v Chile — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ColombiaWWDWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

ChileDLDLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Colombia 1 · 5 draws · Chile 0 · 1.67 goals/game

2021-09-09 Colombia 3–1 Chile
2020-10-14 Chile 2–2 Colombia
2019-10-12 Colombia 0–0 Chile
2019-06-28 Colombia 0–0 Chile
2016-11-10 Colombia 0–0 Chile
2015-11-12 Chile 1–1 Colombia

Goals per game

Colombia scored1

Chile scored0

Colombia conceded0.2

Chile conceded0.8

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Colombia v Chile?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Colombia v Chile is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Colombia and Chile?: In their last 6 meetings, Colombia won 1, Chile won 0 and there were 5 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colombia and Chile?: Recent form — Colombia 3W 2D 0L; Chile 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 05:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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