Hungary v Slovenia result

Full-time · Hungary 1–0 Slovenia

Friendlies · · Puskás Aréna

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Hungary 1–0 Slovenia — Hungary won this Friendlies match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hungary beat Slovenia 1–0 at Puskás Aréna in Friendlies on Saturday 28 March. Slovenia are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Hungary: Szabolcs Schön (79’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Szabolcs Schön’s goal on 79 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Hungary 0.00, Slovenia 0.00, from 16 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rohit Saggi, Norway showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Hungary: M. Dárdai (69’); Slovenia: Adam Čerin (38’), M. Ratnik (53’) and D. Zec (71’).

What it changes

Hungary have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Milán Vitális (Hungary) 5.5, Timi Elšnik (Slovenia) 5.0 and Szabolcs Schön (Hungary) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hungary or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Hungary next travel to Georgia on 14 November 2026.

Slovenia next host Switzerland on 13 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hungary: Georgia v Hungary, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Slovenia: Slovenia v Switzerland, Friday 13 November — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Hungary 1–0 Slovenia · Friendlies
  • Venue: Puskás Aréna · Budapest
  • Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Hungary 2W 1D 2L · Slovenia 0W 3D 2L

Hungary 1–0 Slovenia (Friendlies): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.5
Corners
against 3.2 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4.6 / 1.75
Shots on target
against 4.6 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.2 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 November 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 November 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHungary for / againstLineSlovenia for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.2 against n 5
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.75 against n 4
Shots
13.4 for · 11.8 against n 5
19.5standard
9.5 for · 10.5 against n 4
Shots on target
4.6 for · 4.6 against n 5
8.5standard
1.75 for · 3 against n 4
Fouls committed
10.4 for · 14.8 against n 5
21.5standard
11 for · 7.5 against n 4
Cards shown
1.2 for · 2 against n 5
3.5standard
2 for · 1.25 against n 4

Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway.

Hungary
Hungary — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Schäfer n 851.6
2.86/4
2.27/3
T. Elšnik
Z. Gruber n 819.8
2.82/2
3.43/1
—
R. Sallai n 875.4
2.15/5
2.46/6
—
Z. Nagy n 857.8
2.15/4
14/1
—
D. Lukács n 637.2
1.64/0
0.82/0
—
Hungary — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Varga n 876
1.96/3
1.36/3
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.85/5
0.64/1
Z. Nagy n 857.8
1.86/2
0.83/1
D. Lukács n 637.2
1.62/1
1.62/1
M. Vitális n 629
1.62/1
12/0
Hungary — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Lukács n 637.2
0.82/0
0.41/0
B. Varga n 876
0.64/0
0.11/0
Z. Gruber n 819.8
0.61/0
00/0
M. Vitális n 629
0.51/0
00/0
D. Szoboszlai n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Hungary — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Ötvös n 838
4.44/4
A. Schäfer n 851.6
3.76/4
L. Négo n 888.5
2.37/6
Z. Nagy n 857.8
2.36/3
D. Redzic n 828.5
22/2
Hungary — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 890
2.97/5
D. Dibusz n 890
25/2
Slovenia
Slovenia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Petrovič n 853.8
2.13/2
0.42/0
—
B. Verbič n 832.9
2.14/2
3.85/4
—
T. Elšnik n 884.6
27/4
0.95/1
A. Schäfer
A. Čerin n 835.9
1.94/1
1.33/1
—
P. Stojanović n 851.3
1.84/4
1.14/1
—
Slovenia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Benjamin Šeško n 835.4
3.86/4
2.96/2
Z. Vipotnik n 877.9
1.97/4
0.43/0
J. Mlakar n 833.1
1.73/1
00/0
N. Gradišar n 850.6
1.65/2
0.42/0
D. Šturm n 889.9
1.15/2
0.83/2
Slovenia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Benjamin Šeško n 835.4
1.65/0
00/0
S. Sešlar n 856.1
0.41/1
0.42/0
D. Šturm n 889.9
0.11/0
0.31/1
T. Elšnik n 884.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Šporar n 878.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Slovenia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ž. Karničnik n 880.4
2.88/4
A. Čerin n 835.9
2.24/2
D. Petrovič n 853.8
1.96/2
Jon Stankovic n 888.8
1.88/3
E. Janža n 875.3
1.86/4
Slovenia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 November 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
3.96/6
I. Vekič n 890
3.27/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HungarySlovenia
52%Possession48%
16Shots5
6Shots on target2
5Shots off target0
5Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box2
9Corners1
2Offsides2
16Fouls5
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves5
481Passes452
85%Pass accuracy83%

Hungary player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Tóth9000000007.2
W. Orbán9000001107.3
M. Dárdai90000001Y7
M. Vitális9000000407.3
D. Szoboszlai8700004107.5
M. Kerkez7700111007.3
R. Sallai7700431007
A. Schäfer6300000407
A. Tóth6300000306.3
B. Bolla4500000006.3
D. Lukács4500000106.7
A. Osváth sub4500100007.2
D. Bárány sub4500113206.6
D. Redzic sub2700100006.9
Tamás Szücs sub2700000106.9
S. Schön sub1310110107.3
Z. Nagy sub1300200006.9
P. Baráth sub800000006.6

Slovenia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Vekič9000000007.2
M. Ratnik90000022Y7.3
J. Bijol9000000106.5
T. Elšnik9000110207.5
A. Šporar8900110106.9
E. Janža8400000406.9
A. Čerin84000013Y6.7
D. Šturm8300000006.2
V. Drkusic6200000107.2
P. Stojanović6200000106.5
Z. Vipotnik6200000006.3
Ž. Karničnik sub2800000106.3
D. Zec sub28000001Y6.3
B. Verbič sub2800000006.3
T. Horvat sub1200000006.3
J. Urbancic sub1100000106.7
T. Svetlin sub1100000206.6
A. Matko sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Hungary v Slovenia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HungaryLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SloveniaLDDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Hungary scored1.8
Slovenia scored0.2
Hungary conceded1.6
Slovenia conceded1.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Hungary v Slovenia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hungary v Slovenia was Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of Hungary and Slovenia?
Recent form — Hungary 2W 1D 2L; Slovenia 0W 3D 2L.

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