Georgia v Hungary prediction

UEFA Nations League · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 23:26 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Georgia v Hungary, UEFA Nations League on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.55 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Georgia host Hungary in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Georgia are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Hungary are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Georgia have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Georgia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Georgia’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Georgia have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.38.

Eight of Hungary’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Hungary’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Hungary have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50.

Georgia (fourth) and Hungary (second) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hungary the stronger side, 13 rating points above Georgia (Hungary 1503, Georgia 1490, after at least 30 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Hungary 1–0 Georgia.

Team news

Predicted Georgia XI (4-2-3-1): G. Mamardashvili, L. Dvali, L. Lochoshvili, S. Goglichidze, O. Kakabadze, G. Kochorashvili, A. Mekvabishvili, G. Chakvetadze, O. Kiteishvili, G. Mamageishvili, K. Kvaratskhelia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Giorgi Mamardashvili (4.6 per match over four appearances) and Lasha Dvali (3.8 per match over four appearances) have been Georgia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Georgia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Giorgi Mamardashvili averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last six appearances. Lasha Dvali averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 570 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances.

Predicted Hungary XI (4-2-3-1): B. Tóth, W. Orbán, M. Csinger, M. Kerkez, A. Osváth, D. Szoboszlai, A. Schäfer, M. Vitális, A. Tóth, Á. Csongvai, M. Tóth — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dominik Szoboszlai (5.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) and Márk Csinger (4.5 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Hungary’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hungary (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dominik Szoboszlai averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 1491 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Márk Csinger averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1302 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT · UEFA Nations League
Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Georgia 0 · draws 0 · Hungary 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Georgia 0W 2D 3L · Hungary 2W 1D 2L

Georgia v Hungary (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.75 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.14 / 5.88

Corners

against 5 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.86 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.57 / 2

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

210

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Georgia for / against	Line	Hungary for / against
Goals scored	0.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.14 for · 13.88 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	16 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.86 for · 5.38 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.86 for · 12.13 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.57 for · 1.75 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Georgia

Georgia Goalkeeper

Georgia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Mamardashvili	4	90360 min	164 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90

Georgia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Georgia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Mamardashvili n 8	90	3.1 6/5

Georgia Defensive

Georgia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lasha Dvali	4	90360 min	82 /90	51.3 /90	61.5 /90	133.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
Otar Kakabadze	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	153.8 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90
L. Lochoshvili	4	89355 min	61.5 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	143.5 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90
S. Goglichidze	3	88265 min	41.4 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90	175.8 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90
Saba Sazonov	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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Georgia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Georgia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Otar Kakabadze n 8	87.8	0.9 5/1	0.6 4/1	—
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	87.4	0.6 4/1	1.8 7/5	—
Lasha Dvali n 8	82.5	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0	—
G. Mamardashvili n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1	—
L. Lochoshvili n 8	89.4	1.4 7/2	0.6 3/2	—
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Georgia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Georgia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Otar Kakabadze n 8	87.8	2.3 6/6
Lasha Dvali n 8	82.5	1.8 5/4
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	87.4	1.3 6/3
L. Lochoshvili n 8	89.4	1.4 6/4
Giorgi Kochorashvili n 8	77	1.8 7/4
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Georgia Attacking

Georgia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Kvaratskhelia	4	90360 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	82 /90	102.5 /90
G. Mikautadze	3	73220 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.5 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
G. Tsitaishvili	3	66198 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90
G. Kvernadze	3	42127 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	21.4 /90	21.4 /90
B. Zivzivadze	2	57113 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90
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Georgia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Georgia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	87.4	1.7 6/4	0.5 4/0
Otar Kakabadze n 8	87.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Lasha Dvali n 8	82.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
G. Mamardashvili n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Lochoshvili n 8	89.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Georgia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Georgia before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Mamardashvili n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Otar Kakabadze n 8	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lasha Dvali n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Lochoshvili n 8	89.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Hungary

Hungary Goalkeeper

Hungary — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Tóth	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Hungary — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 7	90	3 6/4

Hungary Defensive

Hungary — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Orbán	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	194.8 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
M. Csinger	4	89354 min	102.5 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	235.8 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90
M. Kerkez	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	93 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
A. Osváth	3	79236 min	41.5 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90	93.4 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90
Z. Nagy	2	80159 min	52.8 /90	42.3 /90	00 /90	116.2 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90
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Hungary — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Orbán n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.6 4/1	—
B. Tóth n 7	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	1.5 4/1	1.5 2/2	—
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	1.5 7/4	—
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	1.7 5/3	1.6 6/5	—
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Hungary — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	90	1.4 7/3
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	2.5 4/3
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	1 4/3
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	2.3 7/5
D. Lukacs n 4	65.5	0.3 1/0
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Hungary Attacking

Hungary — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Lukacs	4	66262 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
D. Lukács	3	67202 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90
M. Tóth	3	58174 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	21 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
D. Bárány	3	38113 min	00 /90	00 /90	54 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
Gabor Jurek	3	37112 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90
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Hungary — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.1 1/0
B. Tóth n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	1.8 6/4	0.8 3/2
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
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Hungary — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hungary before kick-off, to 5 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Tóth n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Csinger n 4	88.5	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
D. Szoboszlai n 8	88.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
A. Schäfer n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Georgia v Hungary — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GeorgiaLLDLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

HungaryLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Georgia 0 · 0 draws · Hungary 1 · 1 goals/game

2026-10-02 Hungary 1–0 Georgia

League standing · 2026/27

Georgia#4 pos2 pts4 pl-2 GD

Hungary#2 pos7 pts4 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Georgia scored0

Hungary scored0.75

Georgia conceded0.5

Hungary conceded0.5

Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off

Georgia: Elo rating 1490, falling over the last five rated matches.
Hungary: Elo rating 1503, rising over the last five rated matches.

Hungary are rated 13 points higher.

Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Georgia v Hungary?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Georgia v Hungary is Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Georgia and Hungary?: In their last 1 meetings, Georgia won 0, Hungary won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Georgia and Hungary?: Recent form — Georgia 0W 2D 3L; Hungary 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 23:26 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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