HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica prediction

HNL · · Stadion Poljud

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica, HNL on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.36 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

HNK Hajduk Split host HNK Gorica in the HNL on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is HNK Hajduk Split to win.

The key numbers

HNK Gorica have scored seven goals, the fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far).

HNK Hajduk Split are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. HNK Gorica are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. HNK Hajduk Split have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of HNK Hajduk Split’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of HNK Hajduk Split’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, HNK Hajduk Split have seven wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.56 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 0.67. HNK Hajduk Split have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). HNK Hajduk Split have conceded 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 10 clubs.

Five of HNK Gorica’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of HNK Gorica’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, HNK Gorica have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 1.43. HNK Gorica have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far).

HNK Hajduk Split (first) and HNK Gorica (10th) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have HNK Hajduk Split the stronger side, 349 rating points above HNK Gorica (HNK Hajduk Split 1780, HNK Gorica 1432, after at least 299 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split.

Team news

Predicted HNK Hajduk Split XI (4-2-3-1): T. Silić, M. Acapandié, D. Marešić, Š. Hrgović, D. Hadžikadunić, Dali, K. Fayad, M. Šotiček, A. del Moral, A. Sanyang, M. Šego — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rokas Pukštas (7.9 per match over four appearances, three goals and one assist) and Khalil Fayad (5.8 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) have been HNK Hajduk Split’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Hajduk Split (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rokas Pukštas averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 412 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Khalil Fayad averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 579 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted HNK Gorica XI (4-2-3-1): R. Josipović, D. Stevanović, J. Filipović, F. Braut, G. Costa, B. Bogojevic, T. Lacoux, J. Frigan, J. Pranjić, D. Pavičić, A. Erceg — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Pranjić (4.6 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and B. Bogojevic (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, four goals) have been HNK Gorica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for HNK Gorica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Pranjić averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 506 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. B. Bogojevic averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 891 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · HNL · Stadion Poljud
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): HNK Hajduk Split 4 · draws 1 · HNK Gorica 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split 4W 1D 0L · HNK Gorica 1W 3D 1L

HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica (HNL): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 4.38
Corners
against 3 / 5.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHNK Hajduk Split for / againstLineHNK Gorica for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
0.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14 for · 15.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split Goalkeeper

HNK Hajduk Split — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Silić13901170 min221.7 /9090.7 /9000 /90
HNK Hajduk Split — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Silić n 890
1.84/2

HNK Hajduk Split Defensive

HNK Hajduk Split — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Š. Hrgović13791024 min151.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90322.8 /9070.6 /9000 /90
D. Marešić12841006 min201.8 /90111 /9050.4 /90413.7 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
M. Acapandié1182897 min333.3 /90101 /9000 /90464.6 /90121.2 /9010.1 /90
D. Hadžikadunić666394 min51.1 /9071.6 /9040.9 /90276.2 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
R. Raci590449 min61.2 /9020.4 /9030.6 /90132.6 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90
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HNK Hajduk Split — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Silić n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
M. Šego n 877.1
1.35/2
0.94/1
—
M. Šotiček n 875.6
1.35/4
2.58/5
—
D. Marešić n 886.4
0.85/1
0.95/1
—
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HNK Hajduk Split — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
1.47/3
M. Šego n 877.1
0.73/1
M. Šotiček n 875.6
0.95/1
D. Marešić n 886.4
2.18/4
Dali n 890.9
1.15/2
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HNK Hajduk Split Attacking

HNK Hajduk Split — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Šego1370904 min50.5 /9020.2 /90181.8 /90111.1 /9090.9 /9060.6 /90
M. Livaja464254 min20.7 /9000 /9082.8 /9041.4 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Carlos Martín32472 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
M. Šotiček1369903 min30.3 /9020.2 /90202 /9090.9 /90202 /90212.1 /90
Dali1275905 min20.2 /9030.3 /90242.4 /90131.3 /90232.3 /9080.8 /90
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HNK Hajduk Split — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Silić n 890
00/0
00/0
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
0.43/0
00/0
M. Šego n 877.1
2.26/4
1.34/4
M. Šotiček n 875.6
1.67/4
0.94/2
D. Marešić n 886.4
0.42/1
0.42/1
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HNK Hajduk Split — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Hajduk Split before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Silić n 890
00/0
00/0
Š. Hrgović n 880.8
00/0
00/0
M. Šego n 877.1
0.42/1
0.32/0
M. Šotiček n 875.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Marešić n 886.4
00/0
00/0
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HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica Goalkeeper

HNK Gorica — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Josipović790630 min324.6 /9060.9 /9000 /90
D. Matijaš490360 min133.3 /9092.3 /9000 /90
HNK Gorica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Gorica before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Josipović n 790
4.65/4
D. Matijaš n 891.3
3.36/5

HNK Gorica Defensive

HNK Gorica — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Braut1178859 min181.9 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90353.7 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
J. Filipović1087869 min111.1 /9060.6 /9070.7 /90535.5 /9010.1 /9000 /90
I. Cvijanović1064642 min212.9 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90415.7 /9071 /9020.3 /90
D. Stevanović881648 min101.4 /90111.5 /9040.6 /90304.2 /9071 /9020.3 /90
S. Perić873584 min91.4 /9050.8 /9091.4 /90203.1 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
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HNK Gorica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Gorica before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Bogojevic n 881.1
1.14/4
0.74/1
—
F. Braut n 875.6
1.36/2
0.43/0
—
J. Filipović n 886.1
00/0
0.84/2
—
D. Pavičić n 874.5
0.32/0
2.15/3
—
I. Cvijanović n 857.8
1.45/2
2.35/4
—
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HNK Gorica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Gorica before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Bogojevic n 881.1
2.57/3
F. Braut n 875.6
1.66/3
J. Filipović n 886.1
15/2
D. Pavičić n 874.5
0.93/1
I. Cvijanović n 857.8
1.95/3
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HNK Gorica Attacking

HNK Gorica — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mijić976686 min00 /9000 /90192.5 /9050.7 /9040.5 /9040.5 /90
L. Vrzić832257 min00 /9010.4 /9041.4 /9031.1 /9062.1 /90113.9 /90
A. Erceg372215 min00 /9000 /9052.1 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
M. Gashi23875 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Keenan Nino Carole14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
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HNK Gorica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Gorica before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Bogojevic n 881.1
16/1
0.85/1
F. Braut n 875.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Filipović n 886.1
0.31/1
00/0
D. Pavičić n 874.5
0.53/0
00/0
I. Cvijanović n 857.8
14/1
0.21/0
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HNK Gorica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for HNK Gorica before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Bogojevic n 881.1
0.32/0
00/0
F. Braut n 875.6
00/0
00/0
J. Filipović n 886.1
00/0
00/0
D. Pavičić n 874.5
00/0
0.21/0
I. Cvijanović n 857.8
0.21/0
00/0
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Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HNK Hajduk SplitWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
HNK GoricaDWLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
HNK Hajduk Split 4 · 1 draw · HNK Gorica 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-08-16 HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2026-04-12 HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 HNK Gorica
  • 2026-01-31 HNK Gorica 1–0 HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2025-10-24 HNK Gorica 1–3 HNK Hajduk Split
  • 2025-08-10 HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 HNK Gorica
  • 2025-05-11 HNK Gorica 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split
League standing · 2026/27
HNK Hajduk Split#1 pos23 pts11 pl+10 GD
HNK Gorica#10 pos7 pts11 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
HNK Hajduk Split scored1.91
HNK Gorica scored0.64
HNK Hajduk Split conceded1
HNK Gorica conceded1.36

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica?
TACTIX’s free model pick for HNK Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica is Home win (best price 1.36 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between HNK Hajduk Split and HNK Gorica?
In their last 6 meetings, HNK Hajduk Split won 4, HNK Gorica won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of HNK Hajduk Split and HNK Gorica?
Recent form — HNK Hajduk Split 4W 1D 0L; HNK Gorica 1W 3D 1L.

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