FC Tokyo v Kashima prediction

J1 League · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT · Ajinomoto Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Tokyo · Kashima · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for FC Tokyo v Kashima, J1 League on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Tokyo host Kashima in the J1 League on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 06:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Tokyo or Kashima (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Tokyo have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Kashima are unbeaten in the last five meetings with FC Tokyo. FC Tokyo are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Kashima are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of FC Tokyo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in six of FC Tokyo’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, FC Tokyo have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.13. FC Tokyo have scored 31 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Seven of Kashima’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Kashima’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Kashima have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.33. Kashima have scored 29 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Kashima have conceded 22 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. FC Tokyo (first) and Kashima (sixth) are seven points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Tokyo the stronger side, 15 rating points above Kashima (FC Tokyo 1743, Kashima 1728, after at least 342 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Kashima 1–0 FC Tokyo.

Team news

Predicted FC Tokyo XI (4-4-2): K. Seung-Gyu, A. Scholz, H. Inamura, H. Ishihara, K. Bangnagande, K. Sato, T. Ko, S. Anzai, K. Tokiwa, M. Nagakura, M. Ryan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marcelo Ryan (4.5 per match over three appearances, two goals) and S. Anzai (4.3 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been FC Tokyo’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for FC Tokyo (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Anzai averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 345 minutes.

Predicted Kashima XI (4-4-2): T. Hayakawa, K. Tsukui, R. Ogawa, N. Ueda, I. Sekigawa, Y. Matsumura, H. Hayashi, M. Bueno, K. Misao, Y. Suzuki, L. Ceará — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Yuma Suzuki (5.5 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Léo Ceará (4.7 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Kashima’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Kashima (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Yuma Suzuki averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 287 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT · J1 League · Ajinomoto Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC Tokyo 1 · draws 1 · Kashima 4 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: FC Tokyo 3W 1D 1L · Kashima 2W 2D 1L

FC Tokyo v Kashima (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.63

Goals

against 0.75 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6.86 / 5.63

Corners

against 3.71 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.86 / 5.63

Shots on target

against 3 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.14 / 0.88

Cards

against 1.71 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	FC Tokyo for / against	Line	Kashima for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.86 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	19.57 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.86 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.63 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.57 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.14 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo Goalkeeper

FC Tokyo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kim Seung-Gyu	4	90360 min	82 /90	00 /90	00 /90

FC Tokyo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Tokyo before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kim Seung-Gyu n 8	90	1.9 4/2

FC Tokyo Defensive

FC Tokyo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Scholz	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	133.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
H. Inamura	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	133.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
Hirokazu Ishihara	4	89355 min	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
K. Bangnagande	4	63251 min	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	62.2 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
R. Omori	3	2781 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	44.4 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

FC Tokyo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Tokyo before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Scholz n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.8 5/1	—
H. Inamura n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1.3 6/3	—
Kim Seung-Gyu n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
Hirokazu Ishihara n 4	88.8	0.8 2/1	0.8 2/1	—
M. Nagakura n 8	79.6	1 6/1	0.8 5/1	—
See more players · Pro

FC Tokyo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Tokyo before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Inamura n 8	90	1.9 8/2
A. Scholz n 8	90	1.3 4/3
Hirokazu Ishihara n 4	88.8	1.3 2/2
M. Nagakura n 8	79.6	0.4 3/0
S. Anzai n 8	59.9	1.7 6/3
See more players · Pro

FC Tokyo Attacking

FC Tokyo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Nagakura	4	87347 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	102.6 /90	51.3 /90	82.1 /90	10.3 /90
Marcelo Ryan	3	60181 min	21 /90	00 /90	84 /90	21 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90
T. Nakagawa	3	47141 min	42.6 /90	00 /90	53.2 /90	53.2 /90	63.8 /90	10.6 /90
Dani Gómez	2	2753 min	35.1 /90	00 /90	58.5 /90	46.8 /90	35.1 /90	35.1 /90
S. Anzai	4	86345 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	112.9 /90	41 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90
See more players · Pro

FC Tokyo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Tokyo before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Scholz n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
H. Inamura n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Kim Seung-Gyu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hirokazu Ishihara n 4	88.8	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
M. Nagakura n 8	79.6	3.1 7/6	1.4 7/2
See more players · Pro

FC Tokyo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Tokyo before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Scholz n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Kim Seung-Gyu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Inamura n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hirokazu Ishihara n 4	88.8	0 0/0	0.5 1/1
M. Nagakura n 8	79.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Kashima

Kashima Goalkeeper

Kashima — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Tomoki Hayakawa	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	–	00 /90

Kashima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	1.9 5/3

Kashima Defensive

Kashima — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Naomichi Ueda	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90	133.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Ryoya Ogawa	4	76303 min	30.9 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	103 /90	61.8 /90	00 /90
K. Tsukui	4	75298 min	41.2 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90	103 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
Ikuma Sekigawa	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	42 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
Tae-hyeon Kim	2	90180 min	00 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	105 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Kashima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0.2 2/0	0.6 3/2	—
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.6	1.3 5/3	0.2 1/0	—
Yuta Matsumura n 8	63.5	1.1 4/1	0.7 3/1	—
K. Tsukui n 8	67.9	1.3 6/1	0.7 3/1	—
See more players · Pro

Kashima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0.7 3/2
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.6	0.8 4/1
Yuta Matsumura n 8	63.5	0.9 4/1
K. Tsukui n 8	67.9	1.7 7/2
Yuma Suzuki n 8	67.8	1.3 5/2
See more players · Pro

Kashima Attacking

Kashima — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yuma Suzuki	4	72287 min	00 /90	30.9 /90	92.8 /90	20.6 /90	113.4 /90	20.6 /90
Aleksandar Čavrić	4	49194 min	31.4 /90	00 /90	115.1 /90	73.2 /90	10.5 /90	31.4 /90
Léo Ceará	3	74222 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	31.2 /90	31.2 /90
H. Tokuda	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Yuta Matsumura	4	75301 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	61.8 /90	30.9 /90	82.4 /90	30.9 /90
See more players · Pro

Kashima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.6	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0
Yuta Matsumura n 8	63.5	1.6 6/1	0.5 1/1
K. Tsukui n 8	67.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Kashima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Yuta Matsumura n 8	63.5	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
K. Tsukui n 8	67.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Tokyo v Kashima — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC TokyoLWDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

KashimaDLWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC Tokyo 1 · 1 draw · Kashima 4 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-05-23 Kashima 1–0 FC Tokyo
2026-02-07 FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashima
2025-08-10 FC Tokyo 0–1 Kashima
2025-03-01 Kashima 2–0 FC Tokyo
2024-07-20 Kashima 2–1 FC Tokyo
2024-04-07 FC Tokyo 2–0 Kashima

League standing · 2027

FC Tokyo#1 pos30 pts13 pl+23 GD

Kashima#6 pos23 pts13 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

FC Tokyo scored2.38

Kashima scored2.23

FC Tokyo conceded0.62

Kashima conceded1.69

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC Tokyo v Kashima?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Tokyo v Kashima is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Tokyo and Kashima?: In their last 6 meetings, FC Tokyo won 1, Kashima won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Tokyo and Kashima?: Recent form — FC Tokyo 3W 1D 1L; Kashima 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.