Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka prediction

J1 League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT · Panasonic Stadium Suita

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 05:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gamba Osaka · Cerezo Osaka · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka, J1 League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.70 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gamba Osaka host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 06:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Cerezo Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Gamba Osaka are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions. Cerezo Osaka are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Cerezo Osaka have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Gamba Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gamba Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Gamba Osaka have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.60 and conceding 1.20. Gamba Osaka have scored 14 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Gamba Osaka have conceded 21 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

10 of Cerezo Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Cerezo Osaka have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38. Cerezo Osaka have scored 13 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Cerezo Osaka have conceded 23 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Gamba Osaka (16th) and Cerezo Osaka (12th) are three points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gamba Osaka the stronger side, 74 rating points above Cerezo Osaka (Gamba Osaka 1620, Cerezo Osaka 1546, after at least 342 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka.

Team news

Predicted Gamba Osaka XI (4-2-3-1): J. Ichimori, S. Fukuoka, S. Nakatani, R. Hatsuse, T. Kishimoto, S. Abe, R. Mito, R. Yamashita, E. Adams, R. Meshino, I. Jebali — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Issam Jebali (5.8 per match over four appearances, two goals and one assist) and Takashi Usami (4.2 per match over four appearances, two goals) have been Gamba Osaka’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Gamba Osaka (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Issam Jebali averages 3.8 shots per 90 over 288 minutes. Takashi Usami averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 275 minutes.

Predicted Cerezo Osaka XI (3-4-2-1): K. Nakamura, D. Cools, R. Inoue, T. Takahashi, S. Tanaka, H. Okuda, A. Ohata, S. Kagawa, L. Fernandes, J. Irvine, P. Sabbag — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Fernandes (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and two assists) and Shunta Tanaka (4.2 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Cerezo Osaka’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Cerezo Osaka (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Fernandes averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 299 minutes. Shunta Tanaka averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 358 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT · J1 League · Panasonic Stadium Suita
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Gamba Osaka 2 · draws 1 · Cerezo Osaka 3 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Gamba Osaka 1W 4D 0L · Cerezo Osaka 1W 2D 2L

Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5 / 3

Corners

against 3.75 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 2.38

Cards

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Gamba Osaka for / against	Line	Cerezo Osaka for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.75 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka Goalkeeper

Gamba Osaka — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Ichimori	3	78233 min	62.3 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
M. Higashiguchi	2	62123 min	53.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Gamba Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Ichimori n 8	85.4	2.4 4/3
M. Higashiguchi n 8	82.9	2.6 5/3

Gamba Osaka Defensive

Gamba Osaka — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Shinnosuke Nakatani	4	90360 min	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	112.8 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
S. Fukuoka	4	87346 min	10.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90	153.9 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
Takeru Kishimoto	3	75225 min	62.4 /90	52 /90	10.4 /90	135.2 /90	62.4 /90	10.4 /90
Ryo Hatsuse	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Shinya Nakano	2	84167 min	52.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	94.9 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Gamba Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.9 4/2	—
Ryoya Yamashita n 8	65.9	0.9 4/1	1.7 5/3	—
S. Fukuoka n 8	88.3	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0	—
Rin Mito n 8	77	1.2 6/1	1.5 5/3	—
Shuto Abe n 8	72.5	1.2 3/2	0.5 2/1	—
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Gamba Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 8	90	0.6 2/2
Ryoya Yamashita n 8	65.9	1.4 6/1
S. Fukuoka n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1
Rin Mito n 8	77	2.5 6/4
Shuto Abe n 8	72.5	2.8 6/5
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Gamba Osaka Attacking

Gamba Osaka — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Issam Jebali	4	72288 min	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	123.8 /90	51.6 /90	61.9 /90	41.3 /90
Y. Toshida	2	59117 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Ryotaro Meshino	1	2525 min	13.6 /90	00 /90	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90
Ryoya Yamashita	4	90358 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90
Rin Mito	4	79314 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90
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Gamba Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Ryoya Yamashita n 8	65.9	0.9 3/2	0.2 1/0
S. Fukuoka n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
Rin Mito n 8	77	0.9 4/2	0.6 3/1
Shuto Abe n 8	72.5	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
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Gamba Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gamba Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Shinnosuke Nakatani n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ryoya Yamashita n 8	65.9	0 0/0	0.9 3/1
S. Fukuoka n 8	88.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rin Mito n 8	77	0 0/0	0 0/0
Shuto Abe n 8	72.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka Goalkeeper

Cerezo Osaka — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kosuke Nakamura	4	90360 min	82 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Cerezo Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	2.9 7/5

Cerezo Osaka Defensive

Cerezo Osaka — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dion Cools	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	61.5 /90	30.8 /90	194.8 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90
Rikito Inoue	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90	205 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
T. Takahashi	4	87346 min	20.5 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90	153.9 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
Shunta Tanaka	4	90358 min	102.5 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	194.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90
Lucas Fernandes	4	75299 min	61.8 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	236.9 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
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Cerezo Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Dion Cools n 8	90	1.5 6/6	1.1 5/4	—
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1.5 6/3	—
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	0.8 5/1	0.8 4/2	—
T. Takahashi n 4	86.5	1.3 2/1	0.5 2/0	—
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Cerezo Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Dion Cools n 8	90	1.8 7/5
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	1.4 6/4
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	1.9 7/4
T. Takahashi n 4	86.5	0.5 2/0
Pablo Sabbag n 4	78.3	0.6 2/0
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Cerezo Osaka Attacking

Cerezo Osaka — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pablo Sabbag	4	78313 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	92.6 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90
Solomon Sakuragawa	3	3399 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	54.5 /90	21.8 /90	43.6 /90	00 /90
Shunta Tanaka	4	90358 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90	41 /90	00 /90
Lucas Fernandes	4	75299 min	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90	103 /90	20.6 /90
Y. Komi	4	68272 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	113.6 /90	31 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
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Cerezo Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Dion Cools n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.1 1/0
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
T. Takahashi n 4	86.5	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Cerezo Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Dion Cools n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
T. Takahashi n 4	86.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Gamba OsakaWDDDD

Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Cerezo OsakaWLDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Gamba Osaka 2 · 1 draw · Cerezo Osaka 3 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-04-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka
2026-02-07 Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Gamba Osaka
2025-07-05 Cerezo Osaka 0–1 Gamba Osaka
2025-02-14 Gamba Osaka 2–5 Cerezo Osaka
2024-10-02 Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Gamba Osaka
2024-05-06 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Cerezo Osaka

League standing · 2027

Gamba Osaka#16 pos11 pts12 pl-7 GD

Cerezo Osaka#12 pos14 pts13 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Gamba Osaka scored1.17

Cerezo Osaka scored1

Gamba Osaka conceded1.75

Cerezo Osaka conceded1.77

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka?: In their last 6 meetings, Gamba Osaka won 2, Cerezo Osaka won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka?: Recent form — Gamba Osaka 1W 4D 0L; Cerezo Osaka 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 05:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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