JEF United Chiba v Tokyo Verdy result

Full-time · JEF United Chiba 3–2 Tokyo Verdy

J1 League · Sat, 04 Apr 2026 05:00 BST · Fukuda Denshi Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: JEF United Chiba · Tokyo Verdy

The model’s pre-match pick

JEF United Chiba 3–2 Tokyo Verdy — JEF United Chiba won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1485 landed (95% range 72.9–77.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

JEF United Chiba beat Tokyo Verdy 3–2 at Fukuda Denshi Arena in the J1 League on Saturday 4 April.

The goals

JEF United Chiba led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — JEF United Chiba: H. Goya (19’, 40’) and M. Hidaka (85’, assisted by I. Takahashi); Tokyo Verdy: Y. Fukuda (46’) and T. Yoshida (62’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Hidaka’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: JEF United Chiba 2.22, Tokyo Verdy 1.48, from 11 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Tanimoto showed four yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — JEF United Chiba: T. Tsukui (44’), T. Mae (89’) and T. Kawano (90+6’); Tokyo Verdy: R. Matsuda (75’).

What it changes

Tokyo Verdy are winless in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, H. Goya (JEF United Chiba) 7.8, T. Yoshida (Tokyo Verdy) 6.8 and I. Takahashi (JEF United Chiba) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, JEF United Chiba or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.2% of the time in the last 90 days (1116 of 1485).

Next up

JEF United Chiba next travel to Urawa on 21 October 2026.

Tokyo Verdy next travel to Yokohama F. Marinos on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for JEF United Chiba: Urawa v JEF United Chiba, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Tokyo Verdy: Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: JEF United Chiba 3–2 Tokyo Verdy · J1 League
Venue: Fukuda Denshi Arena · Chiba
Referee: R. Tanimoto
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: JEF United Chiba 1W 0D 4L · Tokyo Verdy 1W 1D 3L

JEF United Chiba 3–2 Tokyo Verdy (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.75

Corners

against 6.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 2.5

Shots on target

against 5.88 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.75 yellows

Referee · R. Tanimoto

1.75 home / 1 away

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	JEF United Chiba for / against	Line	Tokyo Verdy for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.5 for · 18.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	7.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Tanimoto — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 21.25 fouls over 8 matches (1.75 to the home side, 1 to the away side).

Home 1.75Away 1

JEF United Chiba

JEF United Chiba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Himeno n 8	42	2.9 6/3	2.7 6/3	—
H. Goya n 8	42.9	2.4 3/2	2.4 5/2	Y. Fukuda
K. Yonekura n 3	12.7	2.4 1/0	2.4 1/0	—
T. Tsukui n 8	74.6	1.8 7/3	1.2 6/2	—
Y. Igari n 6	16.8	1.8 2/0	1.8 2/0	—

JEF United Chiba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Yonekura n 3	12.7	4.7 1/1	2.4 1/0
M. Hidaka n 4	86.8	1.8 3/2	0.8 3/0
Carlinhos Junior n 8	59	1.5 5/2	1 4/1
Z. Issaka n 8	62.3	1.3 5/2	0.5 3/0
M. Himeno n 8	42	1.3 4/1	0.3 1/0

JEF United Chiba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Z. Issaka n 8	62.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Carlinhos Junior n 8	59	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
T. Yasui n 6	42.5	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
D. Ishikawa n 8	81	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
T. Tsukui n 8	74.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

JEF United Chiba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Shinada n 3	23	6.5 2/1
Y. Kobayashi n 7	74.7	3.1 7/5
Dudu n 7	46.3	2.5 6/3
K. Yonekura n 3	12.7	2.4 1/0
Z. Issaka n 8	62.3	2.2 7/2

JEF United Chiba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Wakahara n 8	90	3.2 8/4

Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ryosuke Shirai n 8	34	3 5/3	0.3 1/0	—
Ghaith Al Mhairat n 8	29.9	2.6 4/3	0.4 1/0	—
Y. Fukuda n 8	53.8	2.3 8/3	1.3 4/1	H. Goya
Itsuki Someno n 8	85.3	2.2 7/5	2.6 7/6	—
Yuta Arai n 8	53.9	1.7 5/1	1.7 4/3	—

Tokyo Verdy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Itsuki Someno n 8	85.3	2.1 8/5	0.8 6/0
H. Yamami n 8	36.6	1.5 3/1	1.2 3/1
J. Yamamoto n 4	15.8	1.4 1/0	0 0/0
Y. Fukuda n 8	53.8	1.3 4/1	1 3/1
Yuan Matsuhashi n 8	53.6	1.3 4/1	0.8 4/0

Tokyo Verdy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Yoshida n 8	30.5	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Itsuki Someno n 8	85.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
H. Yamami n 8	36.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Koki Morita n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
Ghaith Al Mhairat n 8	29.9	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Tokyo Verdy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Fukuda n 8	53.8	2.5 6/3
Daiki Fukazawa n 8	89.1	2.3 7/5
T. Yoshida n 8	30.5	2.2 3/2
Rei Hirakawa n 8	85.6	2.1 7/4
Kaito Suzuki n 8	91	1.9 7/4

Tokyo Verdy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Yuya Nagasawa n 4	80	3.1 3/3
Matheus Vidotto n 8	79.3	2.3 4/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
JEF United Chiba		Tokyo Verdy
48%	Possession	52%
2.22	Expected goals (xG)	1.48
11	Shots	18
6	Shots on target	7
4	Shots off target	8
1	Blocked shots	3
8	Shots inside the box	10
5	Corners	10
1	Offsides	3
11	Fouls	7
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	3
371	Passes	379
77%	Pass accuracy	80%

JEF United Chiba player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Wakahara	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
I. Takahashi	90	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	7.7
K. Toriumi	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
T. Kawano	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
T. Mae	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.2
D. Ishikawa	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
T. Tsukui	87	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.2
Y. Kobayashi	83	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
Z. Issaka	82	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.9
T. Yasui	71	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
H. Goya	70	2	0	6	4	1	0	0	7.2
M. Himeno sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
M. Hidaka sub	19	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.7
Y. Igari sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
T. Iwai sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
N. Sugiyama sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Tokyo Verdy player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Yuya Nagasawa	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Matsuda	90	0	0	0	0	6	Y	6.7
Inoue Ryota	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Kazuya Miyahara	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Koki Morita	90	0	1	0	2	1	0	5.9
Itsuki Someno	90	0	2	2	3	0	0	6.3
Rei Hirakawa	78	0	2	1	0	3	0	6.5
Y. Fukuda	73	1	1	1	2	1	0	7.2
Yuan Matsuhashi	65	0	2	1	1	3	0	7.3
Yosuke Uchida	45	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Daiki Fukazawa	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Yuta Arai sub	45	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
T. Yoshida sub	45	1	2	1	1	1	0	7.3
Kosuke Saito sub	25	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.5
H. Yamami sub	17	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Issei Kumatoriya sub	12	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind JEF United Chiba v Tokyo Verdy — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

JEF United ChibaLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Tokyo VerdyLLWLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026

JEF United Chiba#10 pos12 pts18 pl-16 GD

Tokyo Verdy#5 pos28 pts18 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

JEF United Chiba scored1

Tokyo Verdy scored1.22

JEF United Chiba conceded1.89

Tokyo Verdy conceded1.44

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for JEF United Chiba v Tokyo Verdy?: TACTIX’s free model pick for JEF United Chiba v Tokyo Verdy was Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of JEF United Chiba and Tokyo Verdy?: Recent form — JEF United Chiba 1W 0D 4L; Tokyo Verdy 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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