Kashima v Cerezo Osaka prediction

J1 League · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 06:00 GMT · Kashima Soccer Stadium

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kashima · Cerezo Osaka · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Kashima v Cerezo Osaka, J1 League on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 06:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,735 of 2,341 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kashima host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 06:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Kashima or Cerezo Osaka (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Kashima have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Cerezo Osaka have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Kashima’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Kashima’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Kashima have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 0.63. Kashima have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Kashima have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Cerezo Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cerezo Osaka’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Cerezo Osaka have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.25. Cerezo Osaka have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Cerezo Osaka have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cerezo Osaka are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Kashima (sixth) and Cerezo Osaka (12th) are four points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kashima the stronger side, 68 rating points above Cerezo Osaka (Kashima 1671, Cerezo Osaka 1603, after at least 341 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 September 2025, finished Kashima 3–1 Cerezo Osaka.

Team news

Predicted Kashima XI (4-4-2): T. Hayakawa, R. Ogawa, N. Ueda, T. Kim, K. Tsukui, Y. Matsumura, M. Bueno, H. Hayashi, K. Misao, Y. Suzuki, A. Čavrić — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Yuma Suzuki (4.4 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Tomoki Hayakawa (4.3 per match over three appearances) have been Kashima’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Kashima (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Tomoki Hayakawa averages 2.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

Predicted Cerezo Osaka XI (3-4-2-1): K. Nakamura, D. Cools, R. Inoue, T. Takahashi, S. Tanaka, J. Irvine, M. Shibayama, S. Kagawa, M. Nakajima, H. Okuda, P. Sabbag — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Fernandes (4.8 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) and Shunta Tanaka (4.3 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Cerezo Osaka’s most influential players 2027, all competitions.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 06:00 GMT · J1 League · Kashima Soccer Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Kashima 4 · draws 1 · Cerezo Osaka 1 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Kashima 3W 1D 1L · Cerezo Osaka 1W 3D 1L

Kashima v Cerezo Osaka (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 2.75

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.25 / 3.75

Corners

against 3.88 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 5.75

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

0.88 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kashima for / against	Line	Cerezo Osaka for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.88 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.75 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Kashima

Kashima Goalkeeper

Kashima — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Tomoki Hayakawa	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	–	00 /90

Kashima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	2.1 5/4

Kashima Defensive

Kashima — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Naomichi Ueda	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90	113.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Ryoya Ogawa	3	71213 min	31.3 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90	93.8 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90
K. Tsukui	3	69208 min	31.3 /90	31.3 /90	00 /90	83.5 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90
Tae-hyeon Kim	2	90180 min	00 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	105 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Ryuta Koike	2	3162 min	11.5 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Kashima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0.4 3/0	0.6 3/2	—
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Yuta Matsumura n 8	56.3	0.6 3/0	0.8 3/1	—
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.3	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
K. Tsukui n 8	58.9	1.7 7/1	1 4/1	—
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Kashima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0.9 4/2
Yuta Matsumura n 8	56.3	0.8 4/0
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.3	1.3 5/2
K. Tsukui n 8	58.9	2.1 7/3
Matheus Bueno n 5	68.6	0.8 3/0
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Kashima Attacking

Kashima — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yuma Suzuki	3	66197 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	52.3 /90	10.5 /90	83.7 /90	20.9 /90
Aleksandar Čavrić	3	54162 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	95 /90	63.3 /90	10.6 /90	31.7 /90
Élber	3	36109 min	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	43.3 /90	21.7 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90
Léo Ceará	2	75149 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90	31.8 /90
H. Tokuda	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Kashima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0.5 2/2	0 0/0
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Yuta Matsumura n 8	56.3	1.6 5/1	0.6 1/1
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.3	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0
Matheus Bueno n 5	68.6	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
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Kashima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kashima before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Naomichi Ueda n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tomoki Hayakawa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Yuta Matsumura n 8	56.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Ryoya Ogawa n 8	71.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Matheus Bueno n 5	68.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
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Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka Goalkeeper

Cerezo Osaka — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kosuke Nakamura	3	90270 min	62 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Cerezo Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	2.9 7/5

Cerezo Osaka Defensive

Cerezo Osaka — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dion Cools	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	134.3 /90	62 /90	20.7 /90
Rikito Inoue	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	175.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
T. Takahashi	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90	134.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Shunta Tanaka	3	89268 min	72.4 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	134.4 /90	31 /90	00 /90
Hayato Okuda	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Cerezo Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Dion Cools n 8	90	1.6 7/6	1 5/3	—
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	0.5 4/0	1.5 6/3	—
T. Takahashi n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0	—
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	0.6 4/1	0.9 5/2	—
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Cerezo Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Dion Cools n 8	90	1.9 7/6
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	1.1 5/3
T. Takahashi n 3	90	0.3 1/0
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	1.6 7/3
Lucas Fernandes n 8	70.4	1.3 5/3
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Cerezo Osaka Attacking

Cerezo Osaka — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lucas Fernandes	3	80239 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90	72.6 /90	10.4 /90
Pablo Sabbag	3	79237 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.3 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
Y. Komi	3	71212 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	93.8 /90	31.3 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
Solomon Sakuragawa	2	3569 min	11.3 /90	00 /90	56.5 /90	22.6 /90	33.9 /90	00 /90
Shunta Tanaka	3	89268 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90
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Cerezo Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Dion Cools n 8	90	1 5/3	0.1 1/0
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
T. Takahashi n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Cerezo Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cerezo Osaka before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Dion Cools n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Rikito Inoue n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Takahashi n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Shunta Tanaka n 8	89.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kashima v Cerezo Osaka — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KashimaWWDLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Cerezo OsakaDWLDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kashima 4 · 1 draw · Cerezo Osaka 1 · 1.83 goals/game

2025-09-23 Kashima 3–1 Cerezo Osaka
2025-04-12 Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Kashima
2024-11-30 Cerezo Osaka 0–2 Kashima
2024-03-02 Kashima 1–1 Cerezo Osaka
2023-09-16 Kashima 1–0 Cerezo Osaka
2023-05-07 Cerezo Osaka 0–1 Kashima

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Kashima#6 pos16 pts9 pl+3 GD

Cerezo Osaka#12 pos12 pts9 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Kashima scored2.11

Cerezo Osaka scored0.78

Kashima conceded1.78

Cerezo Osaka conceded1.33

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Kashima v Cerezo Osaka?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kashima v Cerezo Osaka is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Kashima and Cerezo Osaka?: In their last 6 meetings, Kashima won 4, Cerezo Osaka won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kashima and Cerezo Osaka?: Recent form — Kashima 3W 1D 1L; Cerezo Osaka 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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