Kawasaki Frontale v Machida Zelvia result

Full-time · Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Machida Zelvia

J1 League · · Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kawasaki Frontale · Machida Zelvia

The model’s pre-match pick

Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Machida Zelvia — Kawasaki Frontale won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.5% of 177 landed (95% range 45.2–59.8%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Kawasaki Frontale beat Machida Zelvia 5–3 at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu in the J1 League on Sunday 31 August.

Kawasaki Frontale have scored in six consecutive matches.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Kawasaki Frontale: T. Ito (20’, assisted by S. Kawahara), Erison (45’, assisted by Y. Yamamoto; 78’, assisted by Y. Wakizaka), T. Miyagi (65’, assisted by Erison) and Marcinho (90’, assisted by Y. Wakizaka); Machida Zelvia: Sang-Ho Na (28’, assisted by Y. Soma), Hokuto Shimoda (36’) and Shota Fujio (71’, assisted by Y. Soma).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erison’s goal on 78 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kawasaki Frontale 2.29, Machida Zelvia 2.48, from 15 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Koichiro Fukushima, Japan showed three yellow cards — against 2.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Kawasaki Frontale: Marcinho (90+11’); Machida Zelvia: Ibrahim Drešević (59’) and Gen Shoji (82’).

What it changes

Kawasaki Frontale are unbeaten in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Erison (Kawasaki Frontale) 14.3, Y. Soma (Machida Zelvia) 7.5 and Y. Wakizaka (Kawasaki Frontale) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Kawasaki Frontale next host Vissel Kobe on 21 October 2026.

Machida Zelvia next host Avispa Fukuoka on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kawasaki Frontale: Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Machida Zelvia: Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Machida Zelvia · J1 League
  • Venue: Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu · Kawasaki
  • Referee: Koichiro Fukushima, Japan
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Kawasaki Frontale 1 · draws 1 · Machida Zelvia 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kawasaki Frontale 2W 1D 2L · Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L

Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Machida Zelvia (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 2 / 0.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.13
Corners
against 5 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 0.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.2 yellows
Referee · Koichiro Fukushima, Japan
0.6 home / 1.6 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKawasaki Frontale for / againstLineMachida Zelvia for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 0.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8

Referee: Koichiro Fukushima, Japan — 2.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23 fouls over 5 matches (0.6 to the home side, 1.6 to the away side).

Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Erison n 856.8
2.66/3
25/4
Shota Fujio
S. Kanda n 725.7
2.54/1
2.53/1
—
S. Yamada n 856
2.24/4
12/1
—
T. Miyagi n 822.6
22/1
35/1
—
Y. Kobayashi n 826.1
1.73/1
0.92/0
—
Kawasaki Frontale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Erison n 856.8
48/6
2.87/4
Y. Kobayashi n 826.1
2.64/2
1.73/1
S. Yamada n 856
2.25/4
1.45/2
T. Ito n 862.1
1.84/3
1.14/2
S. Kanda n 725.7
1.52/1
0.51/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Erison n 856.8
13/2
0.21/0
T. Ito n 862.1
0.73/1
0.42/0
Marcinho n 863.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
S. Kanda n 725.7
0.51/0
00/0
Y. Ozeki n 823.5
0.51/0
00/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Yamamoto n 877.8
38/7
Y. Ozeki n 823.5
2.95/1
K. Tachibanada n 855.6
2.66/4
S. Miura n 889.3
1.98/5
A. Ienaga n 846.9
1.96/2
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi n 890
2.57/2
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mitchell Duke n 828.9
3.54/3
1.63/1
—
Shota Fujio n 869
2.87/5
0.73/1
Erison
Se-hun Oh n 834.6
1.95/1
0.62/0
—
Y. Soma n 883.6
1.77/5
1.67/3
—
Yuta Nakayama n 846.5
1.73/3
1.54/1
—
Machida Zelvia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Se-hun Oh n 834.6
2.36/1
13/0
Mitchell Duke n 828.9
2.35/1
1.23/0
Y. Soma n 883.6
2.27/4
1.56/3
T. Numata n 815.8
2.13/0
1.42/0
T. Nishimura n 884.3
1.96/5
1.15/2
Machida Zelvia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sang-Ho Na n 835.5
0.31/0
0.62/0
Y. Soma n 883.6
0.74/1
0.11/0
T. Numata n 815.8
0.71/0
00/0
T. Nishimura n 884.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
Kotaro Hayashi n 886.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Machida Zelvia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Neta Lavi n 857
3.48/4
Ibrahim Drešević n 841.1
2.55/3
Kotaro Hayashi n 886.6
2.18/5
Ryuho Kikuchi n 882
2.14/3
Ryohei Shirasaki n 833
23/3
Machida Zelvia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kosei Tani n 890
3.46/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
48%Possession52%
2.29Expected goals (xG)2.48
15Shots18
5Shots on target6
7Shots off target8
3Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box9
4Corners5
1Offsides0
7Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves0
363Passes390
76%Pass accuracy75%

Kawasaki Frontale player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi9000000006.6
Sai Van Wermeskerken9000000106.2
A. Sasaki9000001006.7
S. Miura9000000006.2
S. Kawahara9001002006.9
Y. Yamamoto9001001206.9
Y. Wakizaka9002106007.9
Erison8021421109
F. Uremović7500100006.2
T. Ito6110210007.3
K. Tachibanada4500101106.7
Marcinho sub45102112Y7.7
T. Miyagi sub2910110107.3
Jesiel sub1500000006.9
S. Kanda sub1000000106.7

Machida Zelvia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tatsuya Morita9000000005.5
Ibrahim Drešević90000024Y6.5
Gen Shoji90000010Y5.9
Yuta Nakayama9000000006
Henry Heroki Mochizuki9000101106.3
Y. Soma9002423008.2
Hiroyuki Mae8500101106.7
Kotaro Hayashi8500001006.2
Shota Fujio7710310007.3
Hokuto Shimoda6010112207.3
Sang-Ho Na6010110007
Neta Lavi sub3000001206.7
T. Nishimura sub3000102006.9
Ryohei Shirasaki sub1900100106.6
Mitchell Duke sub1900000106.5
Se-hun Oh sub1300111006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kawasaki Frontale v Machida Zelvia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kawasaki FrontaleWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Machida ZelviaWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Kawasaki Frontale 1 · 1 draw · Machida Zelvia 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-04-06 Machida Zelvia 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2024-10-05 Machida Zelvia 1–4 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2024-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Machida Zelvia
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Kawasaki Frontale#8 pos57 pts38 pl+10 GD
Machida Zelvia#6 pos60 pts38 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Kawasaki Frontale scored1.76
Machida Zelvia scored1.37
Kawasaki Frontale conceded1.5
Machida Zelvia conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Machida Zelvia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kawasaki Frontale v Machida Zelvia was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Kawasaki Frontale and Machida Zelvia?
In their last 3 meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 1, Machida Zelvia won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kawasaki Frontale and Machida Zelvia?
Recent form — Kawasaki Frontale 2W 1D 2L; Machida Zelvia 4W 1D 0L.

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