Kyoto Sanga v Kashima prediction

J1 League · · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kyoto Sanga · Kashima · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima, J1 League on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kyoto Sanga host Kashima in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 11:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Kyoto Sanga or Kashima (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Kashima have won their last four matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Kyoto Sanga’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Kyoto Sanga’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Kyoto Sanga have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.00. Kyoto Sanga have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Kyoto Sanga have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Kashima’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Kashima’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Kashima have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Kashima have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far). Kashima have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Kyoto Sanga (16th) and Kashima (sixth) are eight points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kashima the stronger side, 410 rating points above Kyoto Sanga (Kashima 1798, Kyoto Sanga 1388, after at least 165 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Kyoto Sanga are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Kashima. The most recent meeting, on 25 October 2025, finished Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Kashima.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · J1 League · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kyoto Sanga 1 · draws 3 · Kashima 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kyoto Sanga 2W 0D 3L · Kashima 4W 0D 1L

Kyoto Sanga v Kashima (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 2
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 2.5
Corners
against 6 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1
Cards
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKyoto Sanga for / againstLineKashima for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3our book
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
2.5 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
9.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Nagasawa n 830.6
3.35/2
00/0
—
João Pedro n 861.6
1.85/4
1.85/3
—
H. Tawiah n 871.4
1.64/3
0.53/0
—
H. Arai n 876.1
1.34/2
0.93/2
—
Rafael Elias n 874.4
1.26/2
27/5
—
Kyoto Sanga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael Elias n 874.4
2.76/4
1.84/3
R. Nakano n 857.8
1.87/2
0.83/1
M. Okugawa n 856
1.86/2
0.63/0
S. Nagasawa n 830.6
1.53/1
1.13/0
F. Honda n 840.6
1.43/2
0.82/1
Kyoto Sanga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Honda n 840.6
00/0
0.82/1
Rafael Elias n 874.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
T. Matsuda n 852.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Nagasawa n 830.6
00/0
0.41/0
Henrique Trevisan n 885.3
00/0
0.32/0
Kyoto Sanga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Pedro n 861.6
3.18/5
Henrique Trevisan n 885.3
2.27/5
K. Sato n 880.8
2.27/3
T. Matsuda n 852.8
1.75/3
S. Asada n 826.1
1.73/1
Kyoto Sanga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Halls n 590
3.84/3
G. Ota n 890
1.54/3
Kashima
Kashima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kei Chinen n 836.1
2.56/2
2.26/1
—
Yuma Suzuki n 864.9
2.36/4
2.17/5
—
Shu Morooka n 843.9
1.85/2
3.16/3
—
K. Tsukui n 831.5
1.85/0
0.71/1
—
Haruki Hayashi n 840.5
1.73/2
1.73/3
—
Kashima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Ceará n 884.8
2.48/4
1.25/3
Aleksandar Čavrić n 852.4
2.45/3
1.74/2
Shu Morooka n 843.9
2.36/2
1.84/2
H. Tokuda n 821.5
2.11/1
11/1
Élber n 859.3
1.97/2
1.37/0
Kashima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Tokuda n 821.5
11/1
0.51/0
Aleksandar Čavrić n 852.4
0.92/1
00/0
Haruki Hayashi n 840.5
0.31/0
0.62/0
Shu Morooka n 843.9
0.83/0
00/0
Léo Ceará n 884.8
0.53/1
0.11/0
Kashima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Misao n 867
2.26/5
Kei Chinen n 836.1
2.23/3
Yuta Matsumura n 850
1.86/2
K. Tsukui n 831.5
1.83/1
Aleksandar Čavrić n 852.4
1.74/2
Kashima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tomoki Hayakawa n 879.8
3.16/4
Yuji Kajikawa n 591.4
2.84/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kyoto Sanga v Kashima — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kyoto SangaLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
KashimaLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kyoto Sanga 1 · 3 draws · Kashima 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Kashima
  • 2025-04-06 Kashima 3–4 Kyoto Sanga
  • 2024-11-17 Kyoto Sanga 0–0 Kashima
  • 2024-04-13 Kashima 1–0 Kyoto Sanga
  • 2023-07-01 Kashima 0–0 Kyoto Sanga
  • 2023-02-18 Kyoto Sanga 0–2 Kashima
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Kyoto Sanga#16 pos8 pts9 pl-5 GD
Kashima#6 pos16 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Kyoto Sanga scored1.22
Kashima scored2.11
Kyoto Sanga conceded1.78
Kashima conceded1.78

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kyoto Sanga v Kashima is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Kyoto Sanga and Kashima?
In their last 6 meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 1, Kashima won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kyoto Sanga and Kashima?
Recent form — Kyoto Sanga 2W 0D 3L; Kashima 4W 0D 1L.

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