Rafael Elias Stats

TACTIX Impact rating, stats and recent form · plays for Kyoto Sanga

Updated · refreshed from settled matches

Club: Kyoto Sanga · Position: Forward.

Next: Nagoya Grampus v Kyoto Sanga · J1 League · Sat 7 Nov, 05:00 GMT · Nagoya Grampus allow 12.3 shots per game over their last 8 (7 with the stat recorded) — form, head-to-head and stats on the match page.

Rafael Elias (Kyoto Sanga, forward) has 7 goals and 3 assists in 18 appearances in 2026 (1224 minutes, all competitions). Shots per 90 in J1 League: 2.79, higher than 94% of 69 forwards. Started 15 of 18. Next: Nagoya Grampus v Kyoto Sanga, Sat 7 Nov, 05:00 GMT.

Key Facts

Figures as of

Rafael Elias has 15 starts from 18 appearances in 2026 (all competitions), 68 minutes per appearance.

Elias had a shot in 8 of 10 recent appearances with the stat recorded (all competitions).

In 2026, Rafael Elias has been shown three yellow cards across 18 appearances.

Rafael Elias (Kyoto Sanga) averages a TACTIX Impact of 3.8 per match across 18 appearances, and has seven goals and three assists in 18 appearances in 2026 — per TACTIX Impact, an open rating with every weight published (as of 3 November 2026).

3.8
TACTIX Impact per match

An open, transparent rating built from raw match actions across 18 appearances in 2026 (all competitions) — every weight is published. Higher is better; a negative score just means costly actions outweighed productive ones in that sample — not a verdict on the player.

Profile

Rafael Elias is a forward at Kyoto Sanga, with 15 appearances and 1097 minutes in the J1 League 2026. TACTIX Impact: 3.9 per match across 15 appearances in J1 League matches, the 97th percentile of 432 qualifying J1 League players. Rafael Elias has started 15 of 18 appearances in 2026 (all competitions), averaging 68 minutes. That is 61% of the J1 League minutes available to him (1097 of 1800 across 20 club matches).

Keeper, venue and career

Home and away differ: 4.47 shots per 90 at home (584 minutes) against 2.39 away (640 minutes), all competitions 2026.

By the numbers

By the numbers, among the 69 J1 League forwards with 450+ minutes: 1.80 shots on target per 90 — higher than 99% and 2.79 shots per 90 — higher than 94%. Key passes per 90 is up from 1.22 last season (1997 minutes in the J1 League) to 1.72 in 2026. Rafael Elias recorded a shot in 8 of the last 10 appearances where it was measured (all competitions).

Strengths and weaknesses

Strengths, against Forwards, J1 League 2026 (n = 69): Shooting (elite, 94th percentile) and Creation (elite, 88th percentile). Lower on the radar: Defending (10th percentile) and Discipline (28th percentile — fewer is better on this axis), against 69 Forwards, J1 League 2026 (n = 69).

Form and availability

Impact over the last five matches (newest first): 2.0, 11.3, 8.4, 0.7, -0.3 — trending up, averaging 4.4 against a season figure of 3.8. Discipline: three yellow cards in 18 appearances in 2026. Next up: Nagoya Grampus v Kyoto Sanga, Sat 7 Nov, 05:00 GMT (J1 League). Nagoya Grampus allow 12.3 shots per game over their last 8 (7 with the stat recorded).

Similar players

Closest radar profiles among Forwards, J1 League 2026 (n = 69): Mao Hosoya, Marcelo Ryan and Werik Popó (cosine similarity of the eight axis percentiles; the full list is part of Pro).

Season 2026 · All Competitions

18
Apps
7
Goals
3
Assists
1224
Minutes
3
Yellow
0
Red

Started 15 of 18 appearances, 3 from the bench · 68 minutes per appearance · 61% of the J1 League minutes available (1097 of 1800).

J1 League only: 15 apps · 3.9 Impact per match in 2026. The figures above cover all 2 competitions played that season, which is why they can differ. See the J1 League Impact leaderboard.

Rafael Elias Stats per 90 · J1 League 2026, forward

StatRafael Eliasvs forwardsLast season
Goalsper 900.49higher than 83%0.81
Shotsper 902.79higher than 94%2.84
Shots on targetper 901.80higher than 99%1.58
Shot accuracy64.7%higher than 86%55.6%
Key passesper 901.72higher than 87%1.22
Successful dribblesper 900.82higher than 65%0.77
Fouls wonper 901.39higher than 67%1.40
Offsidesper 900.90fewer than 10%0.72

Per 90 minutes over 1097 minutes in J1 League 2026. Ranked against 69 J1 League forwards with 450+ minutes; “higher than N%” means a higher figure than N% of them, and for fouls, cards, offsides and goals conceded “fewer than” is the better direction. Last season: the same competition, 1997 minutes.

Last 10 Appearances · All Competitions

How often, not how much: the matches where each line happened, out of the matches where it was recorded (2026-05-13 to 2026-11-03, newest first). History, not a forecast — the model’s player projections are on Pro.

Profile Radar · J1 League 2026, forward

Rafael Elias — radar against Forwards, J1 League 2026 (n = 69)ShootingScoringCreationPassingDribblingDuelsDefendingDiscipline

Rafael Elias · Forwards, J1 League 2026 (n = 69) median

AxisRafael EliasMedianPct
Shootingshots p902.79on target 64.7%1.5994th
Scoringgoals p900.490.2883rd
Creationkey passes + assists p901.971.2188th
Passingpasses p9024.53accuracy 62.9%22.9867th
Dribblingsuccessful dribbles p900.82success 38.5%0.6665th
Duelsduels won p905.00win rate 40.7%4.5958th
Defendingtackles + interceptions + blocks p900.571.3310th
Disciplinecards + fouls p90 (fewer is better)1.891.2672nd

Radius is the percentile within the cohort; Discipline count fewer as better. Figures are per 90 minutes over 1097 minutes in J1 League 2026. Cohort: 69 players with 450+ minutes.

Where That Sits in the J1 League

J1 League 2026: this player is in the 97th percentile of 432 qualifying players by Impact per match.0.25

3.9 per match — 97th percentile of 432 qualifying J1 League players (6+ apps), 2026. Shaded band = 10th–90th percentile; the line is the median.

Career · Every Team, by Season · All Competitions

SeasonTeamAppsGoalsAssistsSoT/90KP/90Impact
2027Kyoto Sanga2204.590.926.0
2026Kyoto Sanga18731.991.913.8
2025Kyoto Sanga271841.581.224.8
2024Cruzeiro8100.900.450.5
2024Kyoto Sanga3302.461.766.2
2023Cruzeiro12101.140.811.3
2021Cuiaba7100.400.400.6
2019Goias200––0.3
2018Palmeiras100––1.0

Game Log · Last 10 Appearances · All Competitions

DateOpponentMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRatingImpact
2026-11-03@ Công An Nhân Dân4500313007.22
2026-10-31v Shimizu S-pulse2027772055120911.3
2026-10-27v Newcastle Jets7210942008.18.4
2026-10-24@ Gamba Osaka20272100400006.80.7
2026-09-15@ Daejeon Citizen1000000006.2-0.3
2026-06-06@ Kashiwa Reysol900011106.20.4
2026-05-30v Kashiwa Reysol901143300911.2
2026-05-23v V-varen Nagasaki9010652108.68.3
2026-05-17v Sanfrecce Hiroshima9000001006.91.4
2026-05-13@ Vissel Kobe9000200006.22.1

Min = minutes; Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that match. Rating is the data provider’s; Impact is TACTIX’s published formula.

Home v away · per 90 · 2026 · all competitions: Shots 4.47 at home (584 min), 2.39 away (640 min); Shots on target 2.77 at home (584 min), 1.27 away (640 min).

Impact Trend · Last 10 Matches

Rafael Elias: Impact per match over the last 10 matches, from 2.1 on 2026-05-13 to 2 on 2026-11-03.2026-05-132026-11-03

TACTIX Model: Rafael Elias’s Match Projections

Anytime scorer, assists & shots probabilitiesThe calibrated model’s player projections for Rafael Elias’s upcoming matches, with value vs the bookmakers — unlock with Pro.
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Frequently Asked Questions

How many shots does Rafael Elias average per 90?
Rafael Elias averages 2.79 shots per 90 minutes in J1 League 2026 (1097 minutes) — higher than 94% of 69 J1 League forwards with 450+ minutes.
How many goals and assists does Rafael Elias have this season?
This season Rafael Elias has 7 goals and 3 assists in 18 appearances (1224 minutes played).
Does Rafael Elias start every game?
Rafael Elias started 15 of 18 appearances in 2026, averaging 68 minutes per appearance (all competitions).
How often does Rafael Elias get booked?
Rafael Elias was booked in 1 of the last 10 appearances where cards were recorded (all competitions); 3 yellow and 0 red this season.

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