Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale result

Full-time · Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale

J1 League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale — this J1 League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale drew 1–1 in the J1 League on Saturday 28 March.

The goals

Machida Zelvia led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Machida Zelvia: Erik (41’, assisted by Y. Soma); Kawasaki Frontale: Erison (59’). Erik (78’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erison’s goal on 59 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Machida Zelvia 1.17, Kawasaki Frontale 0.98, from 12 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Ueda showed one yellow card and one red — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Machida Zelvia: Hiroyuki Mae (90+4’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Erison (Kawasaki Frontale) 5.7, Henry Heroki Mochizuki (Machida Zelvia) 4.3 and Daihachi Okamura (Machida Zelvia) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Machida Zelvia or Kawasaki Frontale (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Machida Zelvia next travel to Shimizu S-pulse on 21 October 2026.

Kawasaki Frontale next host Vissel Kobe on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Machida Zelvia: Shimizu S-pulse v Machida Zelvia, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Kawasaki Frontale: Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale · J1 League
  • Referee: M. Ueda
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Machida Zelvia 1 · draws 1 · Kawasaki Frontale 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Machida Zelvia 3W 1D 1L · Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L

Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.13
Corners
against 3.63 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 0.75
Cards
against 1 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.25 yellows
Referee · M. Ueda
0.75 home / 1.5 away
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMachida Zelvia for / againstLineKawasaki Frontale for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 17.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
7.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: M. Ueda — 2.25 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 12 matches (0.75 to the home side, 1.5 to the away side).

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Kuwayama n 819.1
2.44/0
1.22/0
—
Tete Yengi n 862.5
2.36/4
2.26/3
—
Daihachi Okamura n 883.6
1.77/4
0.74/1
—
Keiya Sento n 846.6
1.45/1
0.73/0
—
Hotaka Nakamura n 884.8
1.35/2
1.24/3
—
Machida Zelvia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Shota Fujio n 834.3
34/3
1.33/1
Tete Yengi n 862.5
2.97/5
27/2
Y. Soma n 864.5
2.16/3
0.53/0
T. Nishimura n 844.8
1.84/2
0.81/1
Erik n 862.1
1.45/2
0.73/1
Machida Zelvia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Kuwayama n 819.1
00/0
1.22/0
Erik n 862.1
0.73/1
0.21/0
Keiya Sento n 846.6
0.21/0
0.73/0
Y. Soma n 864.5
0.53/0
0.21/0
Asahi Masuyama n 873
0.21/0
0.32/0
Machida Zelvia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Neta Lavi n 869.3
4.26/6
T. Nishimura n 844.8
25/2
Gen Shoji n 887.3
1.96/4
Hiroyuki Mae n 832.1
1.83/2
Ibrahim Drešević n 873.3
1.75/4
Machida Zelvia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kosei Tani n 891
3.17/5
Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Romanic n 836.1
1.96/0
1.64/1
—
A. Ienaga n 837
1.85/1
0.61/1
—
Y. Yamamoto n 867.5
1.56/3
0.32/0
—
Sai Van Wermeskerken n 883.3
1.47/2
0.43/0
—
F. Uremović n 876.8
1.24/2
15/2
—
Kawasaki Frontale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Erison n 854.8
3.55/5
2.15/2
L. Romanic n 836.1
1.95/1
0.62/0
T. Ito n 849
1.65/2
1.15/0
Y. Wakizaka n 889.3
1.47/3
0.97/0
A. Ienaga n 837
1.24/0
0.93/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Erison n 854.8
13/1
00/0
Y. Wakizaka n 889.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
T. Ito n 849
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sai Van Wermeskerken n 883.3
00/0
0.32/0
R. Yamahara n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Kawasaki Frontale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Ienaga n 837
36/3
F. Uremović n 876.8
2.37/5
Marcinho n 853
2.36/3
Sai Van Wermeskerken n 883.3
2.28/3
A. Sasaki n 886.4
2.18/4
Kawasaki Frontale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brodersen n 890
3.57/7
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi n 888.9
2.86/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale
47%Possession53%
1.17Expected goals (xG)0.98
12Shots10
3Shots on target2
7Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box7
3Corners3
1Offsides0
11Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
1Saves2
443Passes508
81%Pass accuracy84%

Machida Zelvia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kosei Tani9000001009.3
Daihachi Okamura9000100306.9
Yuta Nakayama9000212207.7
Henry Heroki Mochizuki9000003206.9
Hiroyuki Mae90000003Y6.5
Y. Soma9001001008.2
Gen Shoji8900000206.2
Kotaro Hayashi8900101006.6
Neta Lavi8000310006.7
Erik78102111R7.5
Tete Yengi6100100106.9
Shota Fujio sub2900000006.9
Ryohei Shirasaki sub1000000006.3
Ibrahim Drešević sub10000000–
Sang-Ho Na sub10000000–

Kawasaki Frontale player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brodersen9000000006.6
Y. Matsunagane9000000206.9
Y. Maruyama9000000006.6
S. Miura9000000407.5
R. Yamahara9000103006.9
S. Kawahara9000001206.5
T. Miyagi8900001106.3
Erison8910110007.5
K. Tachibanada8600000206.6
Marcinho8600001106.7
T. Ito7600210106.3
Y. Yamamoto sub1400001007.3
T. Myogan sub1300000006.6
Y. Kobayashi sub1300000005.9
L. Romanic sub800000005.9
S. Kanda sub800200006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Machida ZelviaDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Kawasaki FrontaleLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Machida Zelvia 1 · 1 draw · Kawasaki Frontale 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Machida Zelvia
  • 2025-04-06 Machida Zelvia 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2024-10-05 Machida Zelvia 1–4 Kawasaki Frontale
  • 2024-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Machida Zelvia
League standing · 2026
Machida Zelvia#3 pos37 pts18 pl+6 GD
Kawasaki Frontale#4 pos28 pts18 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Machida Zelvia scored1.56
Kawasaki Frontale scored1.44
Machida Zelvia conceded1.22
Kawasaki Frontale conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale?
In their last 4 meetings, Machida Zelvia won 1, Kawasaki Frontale won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale?
Recent form — Machida Zelvia 3W 1D 1L; Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L.

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