Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale result
Team pages: Machida Zelvia · Kawasaki Frontale
The model’s pre-match pick
Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale — this J1 League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale drew 1–1 in the J1 League on Saturday 28 March.
The goals
Machida Zelvia led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Machida Zelvia: Erik (41’, assisted by Y. Soma); Kawasaki Frontale: Erison (59’). Erik (78’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erison’s goal on 59 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Machida Zelvia 1.17, Kawasaki Frontale 0.98, from 12 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
M. Ueda showed one yellow card and one red — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Machida Zelvia: Hiroyuki Mae (90+4’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Erison (Kawasaki Frontale) 5.7, Henry Heroki Mochizuki (Machida Zelvia) 4.3 and Daihachi Okamura (Machida Zelvia) 4.2 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Machida Zelvia or Kawasaki Frontale (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).
Next up
Machida Zelvia next travel to Shimizu S-pulse on 21 October 2026.
Kawasaki Frontale next host Vissel Kobe on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Machida Zelvia: Shimizu S-pulse v Machida Zelvia, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Kawasaki Frontale: Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale · J1 League
- Referee: M. Ueda
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Machida Zelvia 1 · draws 1 · Kawasaki Frontale 2 · 4.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Machida Zelvia 3W 1D 1L · Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L
Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Machida Zelvia for / against | Line | Kawasaki Frontale for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.75 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.25 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.75 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 7.88 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Ueda — 2.25 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 12 matches (0.75 to the home side, 1.5 to the away side).
Machida Zelvia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuwayama n 8 | 19.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
| Tete Yengi n 8 | 62.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | — |
| Daihachi Okamura n 8 | 83.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Keiya Sento n 8 | 46.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | — |
| Hotaka Nakamura n 8 | 84.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shota Fujio n 8 | 34.3 | 3 | 1.3 |
| Tete Yengi n 8 | 62.5 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Y. Soma n 8 | 64.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| T. Nishimura n 8 | 44.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Erik n 8 | 62.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuwayama n 8 | 19.1 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Erik n 8 | 62.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Keiya Sento n 8 | 46.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Y. Soma n 8 | 64.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Asahi Masuyama n 8 | 73 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Neta Lavi n 8 | 69.3 | 4.2 |
| T. Nishimura n 8 | 44.8 | 2 |
| Gen Shoji n 8 | 87.3 | 1.9 |
| Hiroyuki Mae n 8 | 32.1 | 1.8 |
| Ibrahim Drešević n 8 | 73.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kosei Tani n 8 | 91 | 3.1 |
Kawasaki Frontale
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Romanic n 8 | 36.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| A. Ienaga n 8 | 37 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Y. Yamamoto n 8 | 67.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Sai Van Wermeskerken n 8 | 83.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | — |
| F. Uremović n 8 | 76.8 | 1.2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erison n 8 | 54.8 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| L. Romanic n 8 | 36.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| T. Ito n 8 | 49 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Y. Wakizaka n 8 | 89.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| A. Ienaga n 8 | 37 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erison n 8 | 54.8 | 1 | 0 |
| Y. Wakizaka n 8 | 89.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| T. Ito n 8 | 49 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Sai Van Wermeskerken n 8 | 83.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| R. Yamahara n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Ienaga n 8 | 37 | 3 |
| F. Uremović n 8 | 76.8 | 2.3 |
| Marcinho n 8 | 53 | 2.3 |
| Sai Van Wermeskerken n 8 | 83.3 | 2.2 |
| A. Sasaki n 8 | 86.4 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Brodersen n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| L. Thebault-Yamaguchi n 8 | 88.9 | 2.8 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Machida Zelvia | Kawasaki Frontale | |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Possession | 53% |
| 1.17 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.98 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 443 | Passes | 508 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
Machida Zelvia player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosei Tani | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.3 |
| Daihachi Okamura | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Yuta Nakayama | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Henry Heroki Mochizuki | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.5 |
| Y. Soma | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Gen Shoji | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Neta Lavi | 80 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Erik | 78 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | R | 7.5 |
| Tete Yengi | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Shota Fujio sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ibrahim Drešević sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Sang-Ho Na sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Kawasaki Frontale player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brodersen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Y. Matsunagane | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Y. Maruyama | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Miura | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.5 |
| R. Yamahara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Kawahara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Miyagi | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Erison | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| K. Tachibanada | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Marcinho | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Ito | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. Yamamoto sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| T. Myogan sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Y. Kobayashi sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| L. Romanic sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| S. Kanda sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Machida Zelvia
- 2025-04-06 Machida Zelvia 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale
- 2024-10-05 Machida Zelvia 1–4 Kawasaki Frontale
- 2024-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Machida Zelvia
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Machida Zelvia v Kawasaki Frontale was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale?
- In their last 4 meetings, Machida Zelvia won 1, Kawasaki Frontale won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale?
- Recent form — Machida Zelvia 3W 1D 1L; Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L.
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