Shimizu S-pulse v Tokyo Verdy prediction

J1 League · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 04:00 GMT · IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Shimizu S-pulse · Tokyo Verdy

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Shimizu S-pulse v Tokyo Verdy, J1 League on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 04:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.36 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Shimizu S-pulse host Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 04:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Shimizu S-pulse or Tokyo Verdy (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Shimizu S-pulse have scored 10 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Shimizu S-pulse are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Tokyo Verdy are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Shimizu S-pulse’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Shimizu S-pulse’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Shimizu S-pulse have no wins, four draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 2.00. Shimizu S-pulse have conceded 22 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Eight of Tokyo Verdy’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Tokyo Verdy’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Tokyo Verdy have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Tokyo Verdy have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Tokyo Verdy have conceded 22 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Shimizu S-pulse have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Shimizu S-pulse (13th) and Tokyo Verdy (17th) are three points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tokyo Verdy the stronger side, 187 rating points above Shimizu S-pulse (Tokyo Verdy 1519, Shimizu S-pulse 1332, after at least 101 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 October 2025, finished Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 Tokyo Verdy.

Team news

Predicted Shimizu S-pulse XI (4-3-3): T. Umeda, M. Brunetti, H. Sugai, Y. Honda, S. Hasukawa, M. Yumiba, K. Koizumi, K. Matsuzaki, S. Oh, R. Germain, Capixaba — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Masaki Yumiba (4.1 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Mateus Brunetti (4.1 per match over five appearances) have been Shimizu S-pulse’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Shimizu S-pulse (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Masaki Yumiba averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 376 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances. Mateus Brunetti averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 435 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Predicted Tokyo Verdy XI (4-4-2): M. Vidotto, N. Hayashi, C. Yu-Min, K. Suzuki, Y. Uchida, R. Hirakawa, K. Fujimoto, Y. Arai, K. Saito, K. Ichimi, I. Someno — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Shuhei Mizoguchi (5.0 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Kanya Fujimoto (3.9 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Tokyo Verdy’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Tokyo Verdy (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Shuhei Mizoguchi averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 290 minutes. Kanya Fujimoto averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 402 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 04:00 GMT · J1 League · IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Shimizu S-pulse 2 · draws 0 · Tokyo Verdy 0 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Shimizu S-pulse 1W 1D 3L · Tokyo Verdy 2W 1D 2L

Shimizu S-pulse v Tokyo Verdy (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.25

Goals

against 2.5 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.13

Corners

against 3.88 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2.88

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Shimizu S-pulse for / against	Line	Tokyo Verdy for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.5 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Shimizu S-pulse

Shimizu S-pulse Goalkeeper

Shimizu S-pulse — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Togo Umeda	4	90360 min	133.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Yuya Oki	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Shimizu S-pulse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shimizu S-pulse before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Togo Umeda n 8	90	2.8 6/3
Yuya Oki n 8	90	2.1 5/2

Shimizu S-pulse Defensive

Shimizu S-pulse — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Sugai	5	88439 min	40.8 /90	51 /90	00 /90	265.3 /90	71.4 /90	10.2 /90
Mateus Brunetti	5	87435 min	122.5 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90	408.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
Sodai Hasukawa	3	90270 min	62 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	196.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Y. Honda	3	90270 min	31 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	175.7 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
Yuji Takahashi	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	126 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
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Shimizu S-pulse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shimizu S-pulse before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Sugai n 5	87.8	1.4 4/3	1.2 3/2	—
Mateus Brunetti n 8	86.4	0.8 5/1	2.3 7/6	—
Masaki Yumiba n 8	77.9	1 6/1	1.3 6/2	—
Ryo Germain n 5	65.2	2.5 4/2	1.4 4/1	—
Se-hun Oh n 8	73.8	2 6/3	1.2 6/2	—
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Shimizu S-pulse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shimizu S-pulse before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Sugai n 5	87.8	0.8 3/1
Mateus Brunetti n 8	86.4	2.7 7/5
Masaki Yumiba n 8	77.9	2.6 6/5
Ryo Germain n 5	65.2	0.6 2/0
Se-hun Oh n 8	73.8	0.9 5/1
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Shimizu S-pulse Attacking

Shimizu S-pulse — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Ryo Germain	5	65326 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90	41.1 /90	20.6 /90
Se-hun Oh	5	64320 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	51.4 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
K. Inoue	3	47142 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	00 /90
Kinoshita Kosuke	2	3672 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Masaki Yumiba	5	75376 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90
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Shimizu S-pulse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shimizu S-pulse before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Sugai n 5	87.8	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Mateus Brunetti n 8	86.4	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
Masaki Yumiba n 8	77.9	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
Ryo Germain n 5	65.2	1.7 2/2	0.6 1/1
Se-hun Oh n 8	73.8	1.5 6/3	0.5 3/0
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Shimizu S-pulse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shimizu S-pulse before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Sugai n 5	87.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Mateus Brunetti n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Masaki Yumiba n 8	77.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Ryo Germain n 5	65.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
Se-hun Oh n 8	73.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy Goalkeeper

Tokyo Verdy — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Matheus Vidotto	5	90450 min	132.6 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90

Tokyo Verdy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tokyo Verdy before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matheus Vidotto n 8	83.8	2.1 5/4

Tokyo Verdy Defensive

Tokyo Verdy — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Naoki Hayashi	5	82409 min	40.9 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90	204.4 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
Shuhei Mizoguchi	4	73290 min	61.9 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	154.7 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
Maaya Sako	4	60239 min	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	114.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Cho Yu-Min	3	82245 min	20.7 /90	41.5 /90	00 /90	186.6 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Kaito Suzuki	3	80241 min	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	83 /90	41.5 /90	20.7 /90
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Tokyo Verdy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tokyo Verdy before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Yuta Arai n 8	82.6	0.5 4/0	1 4/2	—
Matheus Vidotto n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Naoki Hayashi n 8	84.9	0.5 3/1	1.1 4/2	—
K. Fujimoto n 5	80.4	1.3 3/3	0.9 3/1	—
Kosuke Saito n 8	63.6	0.5 2/1	1.2 4/2	—
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Tokyo Verdy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tokyo Verdy before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Yuta Arai n 8	82.6	1.8 7/4
Naoki Hayashi n 8	84.9	0.7 3/1
K. Fujimoto n 5	80.4	1.3 5/1
Kosuke Saito n 8	63.6	1.4 5/2
K. Ichimi n 5	57.8	1.2 3/1
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Tokyo Verdy Attacking

Tokyo Verdy — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Ichimi	5	58289 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	61.9 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	30.9 /90
Issei Kumatoriya	5	50252 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Itsuki Someno	3	60180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
Kim Hyun-woo	2	51102 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Kim Hyun-Woo	2	51102 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Tokyo Verdy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tokyo Verdy before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Yuta Arai n 8	82.6	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
Matheus Vidotto n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Naoki Hayashi n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Fujimoto n 5	80.4	1.1 3/2	0.2 1/0
Kosuke Saito n 8	63.6	0.9 4/1	0 0/0
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Tokyo Verdy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tokyo Verdy before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Yuta Arai n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Matheus Vidotto n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Naoki Hayashi n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Fujimoto n 5	80.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Kosuke Saito n 8	63.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Shimizu S-pulse v Tokyo Verdy — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Shimizu S-pulseWDLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Tokyo VerdyLLDWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Shimizu S-pulse 2 · 0 draws · Tokyo Verdy 0 · 1 goals/game

2025-10-25 Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 Tokyo Verdy
2025-02-16 Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Shimizu S-pulse

League standing · 2027

Shimizu S-pulse#13 pos14 pts13 pl-12 GD

Tokyo Verdy#17 pos11 pts13 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Shimizu S-pulse scored0.77

Tokyo Verdy scored0.85

Shimizu S-pulse conceded1.69

Tokyo Verdy conceded1.69

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Shimizu S-pulse v Tokyo Verdy?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Shimizu S-pulse v Tokyo Verdy is Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Shimizu S-pulse and Tokyo Verdy?: In their last 2 meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 2, Tokyo Verdy won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shimizu S-pulse and Tokyo Verdy?: Recent form — Shimizu S-pulse 1W 1D 3L; Tokyo Verdy 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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