Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo result

Full-time · Tokyo Verdy 0–4 FC Tokyo

J1 League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 06:00 BST · Ajinomoto Stadium

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 08:58 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tokyo Verdy · FC Tokyo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tokyo Verdy 0–4 FC Tokyo — FC Tokyo won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.21 at Betano

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Tokyo won 4–0 at Ajinomoto Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October.

Tokyo Verdy are winless in their last five matches.

The goals

FC Tokyo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Tokyo: A. Scholz (41’, assisted by K. Tawaratsumida), Marcelo Ryan (55’ pen), M. Nagakura (68’, assisted by R. Omori) and Dani Gómez (90’, assisted by F. Yamada). Itsuki Someno (18’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Scholz’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Tokyo Verdy 0.17, FC Tokyo 2.44, from 2 shots to 23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Tokyo Verdy: Yuta Arai (58’) and K. Ichimi (81’).

What it changes

FC Tokyo’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 10 so far, across eight matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Scholz (FC Tokyo) 7.5, S. Nagano (FC Tokyo) 7.1 and Marcelo Ryan (FC Tokyo) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (872 of 1302).

Next up

Tokyo Verdy next travel to Yokohama F. Marinos on 21 October 2026.

FC Tokyo next host Kashiwa Reysol on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tokyo Verdy: Yokohama F. Marinos v Tokyo Verdy, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for FC Tokyo: FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Tokyo Verdy 0–4 FC Tokyo · J1 League
Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium · Chōfu
Referee: Atsushi Kamimura
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Tokyo Verdy 0 · draws 4 · FC Tokyo 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Tokyo Verdy 1W 1D 3L · FC Tokyo 1W 2D 2L

Tokyo Verdy 0–4 FC Tokyo (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 2 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 6.13

Corners

against 4 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

0.88 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.38 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Tokyo Verdy for / against	Line	FC Tokyo for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Atsushi Kamimura.

Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Fukuda n 8	63.8	3 8/6	1.4 4/3	T. Ko
K. Fujimoto n 8	29	2.7 5/2	1.2 3/0	T. Ko
Itsuki Someno n 8	74.5	2.4 6/3	3.8 8/7	Marcelo Ryan
Kai Shibato n 8	60.6	2.4 6/4	2.6 6/5	T. Ko
Shimon Teranuma n 8	33.4	2 4/1	2 3/2	—

Tokyo Verdy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Shimon Teranuma n 8	33.4	3.4 5/4	1 3/0
Issei Kumatoriya n 8	43.5	1.8 3/2	0.5 1/1
Itsuki Someno n 8	74.5	1.4 6/3	0.6 3/1
Shuto Tanabe n 8	43.1	1.3 4/1	0.3 1/0
Ryosuke Shirai n 8	34.6	1.3 3/1	1 3/0

Tokyo Verdy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Yuta Arai n 8	55.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Issei Kumatoriya n 8	43.5	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Ryosuke Shirai n 8	34.6	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Shimon Teranuma n 8	33.4	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Rei Hirakawa n 8	64	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Tokyo Verdy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Shion Nakayama n 6	42.7	2.8 5/1
Yuta Arai n 8	55.1	2.7 7/4
Yuan Matsuhashi n 8	53.9	2.7 7/5
Y. Fukuda n 8	63.8	2.6 8/3
Koki Morita n 8	81.9	2.2 7/4

Tokyo Verdy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Yuya Nagasawa n 8	90	2.3 5/4
Matheus Vidotto n 8	84.8	1.6 4/2

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. C. Otani n 5	15.2	5.9 4/1	1.2 1/0	—
T. Nakagawa n 8	25	2.3 5/0	0.5 1/0	—
Kyota Tokiwa n 8	75.9	2.1 8/5	1.3 8/1	—
Marcelo Ryan n 8	67.1	2 6/4	0.7 4/0	Itsuki Someno
T. Ko n 8	45.5	1.7 4/2	0.2 1/0	Kai Shibato

FC Tokyo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Marcelo Ryan n 8	67.1	4.2 8/7	1.8 7/2
F. Yamada n 8	12.1	3.7 3/1	2.8 3/0
M. Nagakura n 8	71.6	2.7 6/4	1.3 6/1
L. Nozawa n 8	27.3	2.1 4/1	0.8 2/0
K. Sato n 8	77.6	1.7 7/4	0.7 5/0

FC Tokyo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Nozawa n 8	27.3	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
K. Tawaratsumida n 8	33	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
M. Nagakura n 8	71.6	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Marcelo Ryan n 8	67.1	0.2 1/0	0.3 1/1
T. Nakagawa n 8	25	0 0/0	0.5 1/0

FC Tokyo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Hashimoto n 8	78.5	3 8/6
K. Hashimoto n 8	76.1	2.4 6/3
K. Higashi n 8	33	2.4 3/3
T. Nakagawa n 8	25	2.3 2/1
H. Inamura n 8	80.5	2 7/3

FC Tokyo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
H. Tanaka n 4	90	2.3 3/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Tokyo Verdy		FC Tokyo
18%	Possession	82%
0.17	Expected goals (xG)	2.44
2	Shots	23
0	Shots on target	8
2	Shots off target	8
0	Blocked shots	7
2	Shots inside the box	13
1	Corners	11
3	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	0
1	Red cards	0
4	Saves	0
158	Passes	707

Tokyo Verdy player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Kaito Suzuki	90	1	0	1	0	5.9
Matheus Vidotto	90	0	0	0	0	6.2
Yuta Arai	90	0	0	0	Y	5.3
Maaya Sako	90	1	0	2	0	6.1
Naoki Hayashi	90	0	0	3	0	6
Kai Shibato	80	0	0	0	0	6
K. Fujimoto	80	0	2	1	0	6.1
Kosuke Saito	66	0	0	2	0	5.6
Issei Kumatoriya	62	0	0	1	0	6.4
Kim Hyun-Woo	46	0	0	2	0	6.4
K. Ichimi	44	0	0	0	Y	5.8
Y. Fukuda	28	0	0	0	0	5.4
Rei Hirakawa	24	0	0	1	0	5.9
Itsuki Someno	18	0	0	1	R	5.5
Koki Morita	10	0	0	0	0	5.8
Cho Yu-Min	10	0	0	0	0	5.7

FC Tokyo player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Nagakura	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	8
S. Nagano	90	0	0	4	0	2	4	7.2
H. Inamura	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	8
A. Scholz	90	1	0	2	1	1	1	8.4
Hirokazu Ishihara	90	0	0	2	0	3	0	7.6
Kim Seung-Gyu	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
S. Anzai	84	0	0	4	1	1	2	7.3
Marcelo Ryan	83	1	0	2	1	4	0	7.8
T. Ko	74	0	0	2	1	0	1	7.1
K. Tawaratsumida	67	0	1	2	1	3	0	7.7
K. Bangnagande	67	0	0	0	0	1	1	7.5
R. Omori	23	0	1	0	0	1	0	7
K. Sato	23	0	0	2	1	1	0	6.6
Kyota Tokiwa	16	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
Dani Gómez	7	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.4
F. Yamada	6	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Tokyo VerdyWLDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

FC TokyoWDLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Tokyo Verdy 0 · 4 draws · FC Tokyo 2 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-10 FC Tokyo 2–1 Tokyo Verdy
2026-03-22 Tokyo Verdy 0–0 FC Tokyo
2025-09-15 FC Tokyo 1–0 Tokyo Verdy
2025-04-02 Tokyo Verdy 2–2 FC Tokyo
2024-08-17 FC Tokyo 0–0 Tokyo Verdy
2024-04-13 Tokyo Verdy 2–2 FC Tokyo

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Tokyo Verdy#20 pos4 pts9 pl-10 GD

FC Tokyo#4 pos20 pts9 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

Tokyo Verdy scored0.44

FC Tokyo scored1.89

Tokyo Verdy conceded1.56

FC Tokyo conceded0.89

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo was Draw or Away (best price 1.21 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo?: In their last 6 meetings, Tokyo Verdy won 0, FC Tokyo won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo?: Recent form — Tokyo Verdy 1W 1D 3L; FC Tokyo 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 08:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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