Genk v Zulte Waregem result

Full-time · Genk 3–2 Zulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro League · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 18:15 BST · Cegeka Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Genk · Zulte Waregem · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Genk 3–2 Zulte Waregem — Genk won this Jupiler Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1685 landed (95% range 73.4–77.5%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 944 of 1,269 times (74.4%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Genk beat Zulte Waregem 3–2 at Cegeka Arena in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 31 August. Genk have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Zulte Waregem: Jeppe Erenbjerg (2’, assisted by Thomas Claes) and Anton Tanghe (35’ pen); Genk: Mujaid Sadick (13’, assisted by Matte Smets), Robin Mirisola (29’, assisted by Zakaria El Ouahdi) and Zakaria El Ouahdi (56’, assisted by Jarne Steuckers). Mujaid Sadick (33’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zakaria El Ouahdi’s goal on 56 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Genk 2.45, Zulte Waregem 1.32, from 11 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Bram Van Driessche, Belgium showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Genk: Robin Mirisola (14’) and Joris Kayembe (90+2’); Zulte Waregem: Enrique Lofolomo (47’) and Tochukwu Nnadi (74’).

What it changes

Genk have scored 57 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs (2025/26 so far). Genk have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Zulte Waregem have scored 53 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2025/26 so far). Zulte Waregem have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Zulte Waregem have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Zakaria El Ouahdi (Genk) 11.0, Anton Tanghe (Zulte Waregem) 7.4 and Robin Mirisola (Genk) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Genk are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Zulte Waregem, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Genk or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1273 of 1685).

Next up

Genk next travel to KV Mechelen on 31 October 2026.

Zulte Waregem next host Club Brugge KV on 30 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Genk: KV Mechelen v Genk, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Zulte Waregem: Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV, Friday 30 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Genk 3–2 Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League
Venue: Cegeka Arena · Genk
Referee: Bram Van Driessche, Belgium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Genk 6 · draws 0 · Zulte Waregem 0 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Genk 2W 1D 2L · Zulte Waregem 2W 0D 3L

Genk 3–2 Zulte Waregem (Jupiler Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.75

Corners

against 3.88 / 7.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 4 matches

5.63 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 4 matches

1.5 / 2

Cards

against 2 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 4 matches

3.8 yellows

Referee · Bram Van Driessche, Belgium

21 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Genk for / against	Line	Zulte Waregem for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 7.25 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	8 for · 17.25 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 5.5 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 10.25 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 0.75 against n 4 Last 5

Referee: Bram Van Driessche, Belgium — 3.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Genk

Genk Defensive

Genk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genk before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Bryan Heynen n 8	90	1.3 5/3	1.4 6/4	Yannick Cappelle
Mujaid Sadick n 8	89.9	1 6/2	0.4 3/0	Anton Tanghe
Matte Smets n 8	83.8	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0	Anton Tanghe
T. Lawal n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Zakaria El Ouahdi n 8	87.3	0.3 2/0	1.3 7/2	Anton Tanghe
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Genk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genk before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Matte Smets n 8	83.8	2.3 7/3
Bryan Heynen n 8	90	2.1 7/4
Mujaid Sadick n 8	89.9	1.8 6/5
T. Lawal n 3	90	0 0/0
Zakaria El Ouahdi n 8	87.3	1.2 4/4
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Genk Attacking

Genk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genk before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Bryan Heynen n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
Matte Smets n 8	83.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Lawal n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mujaid Sadick n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Zakaria El Ouahdi n 8	87.3	1.9 7/4	1.2 5/3
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Genk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genk before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Bryan Heynen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Lawal n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mujaid Sadick n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matte Smets n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Zakaria El Ouahdi n 8	87.3	0.6 3/2	0 0/0
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Zulte Waregem

Zulte Waregem Defensive

Zulte Waregem — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zulte Waregem before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Laurent Lemoine n 5	90	0.8 3/1	0.6 2/1	—
Anton Tanghe n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.1 1/0	Zakaria El Ouahdi
Brent Gabriel n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
T. Nnadi n 7	86.6	3.1 7/6	1.9 6/3	—
Yannick Cappelle n 5	88.2	0.4 1/1	0.8 3/1	Bryan Heynen
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Zulte Waregem — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zulte Waregem before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Laurent Lemoine n 5	90	1.2 4/2
Anton Tanghe n 8	90	0.6 3/2
Brent Gabriel n 4	90	0 0/0
T. Nnadi n 7	86.6	3.3 6/6
Yannick Cappelle n 5	88.2	1.8 4/3
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Zulte Waregem Attacking

Zulte Waregem — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zulte Waregem before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Brent Gabriel n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Laurent Lemoine n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Anton Tanghe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Nnadi n 7	86.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Yannick Cappelle n 5	88.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Zulte Waregem — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zulte Waregem before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Brent Gabriel n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Laurent Lemoine n 5	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Anton Tanghe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Nnadi n 7	86.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Yannick Cappelle n 5	88.2	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Genk		Zulte Waregem
47%	Possession	53%
2.45	Expected goals (xG)	1.32
11	Shots	8
4	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	3
3	Blocked shots	2
5	Shots inside the box	7
5	Corners	4
9	Fouls	21
2	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
1	Saves	1
380	Passes	438
82%	Pass accuracy	84%

Genk Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Lawal	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Zakaria El Ouahdi	90	1	1	2	2	1	3	0	8.3
Matte Smets	90	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
Joris Kayembe	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.6
Bryan Heynen	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
Robin Mirisola	88	1	0	2	1	1	0	Y	7.7
Jarne Steuckers	77	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	7.9
Konstantinos Karetsas	77	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.7
Junya Ito	77	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.2
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura	38	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Mujaid Sadick	33	1	0	1	1	0	0	R	5.3
J. Kongolo sub	52	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Yaimar Medina sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Nikolas Sattlberger sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Ken Nkuba sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Zulte Waregem Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Brent Gabriel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Anton Tanghe	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.5
Jakob Kiilerich	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Wilguens Paugain	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6
T. Nnadi	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.9
Yannick Cappelle	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
Jeppe Erenbjerg	90	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.7
Joseph Opoku	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Thomas Claes	82	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	7.2
Enrique Lofolomo	78	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
Serxho Ujka	63	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	5.9
N. Mituljikić sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Anosike Ementa sub	12	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.6
Stavros Gavriel sub	8	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Genk v Zulte Waregem — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GenkDLWWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Zulte WaregemWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Genk 6 · 0 draws · Zulte Waregem 0 · 4 goals/game

2023-01-14 Genk 1–0 Zulte Waregem
2022-08-14 Zulte Waregem 1–4 Genk
2022-02-06 Genk 2–0 Zulte Waregem
2021-10-31 Zulte Waregem 2–6 Genk
2021-01-27 Genk 3–2 Zulte Waregem
2020-08-09 Zulte Waregem 1–2 Genk

League standing · 2025/26

Genk#1 pos38 pts40 pl+4 GD

Zulte Waregem#1 pos48 pts36 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Genk scored1.43

Zulte Waregem scored1.47

Genk conceded1.32

Zulte Waregem conceded1.47

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Genk v Zulte Waregem?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Genk v Zulte Waregem was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Genk and Zulte Waregem?: In their last 6 meetings, Genk won 6, Zulte Waregem won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Genk and Zulte Waregem?: Recent form — Genk 2W 1D 2L; Zulte Waregem 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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