Kortrijk v KV Mechelen prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Guldensporen Stadion

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 21:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kortrijk · KV Mechelen · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Kortrijk v KV Mechelen, Jupiler Pro League on Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.31 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,822 of 2,450 times (74.4%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kortrijk host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League on Wednesday 4 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Kortrijk or KV Mechelen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Kortrijk have scored three goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Nine of Kortrijk’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Kortrijk’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Kortrijk have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.67. Kortrijk have conceded 19 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Nine of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, KV Mechelen have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 2.00. KV Mechelen have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). KV Mechelen have conceded 17 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

Kortrijk are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. KV Mechelen are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Kortrijk (17th) and KV Mechelen (13th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have KV Mechelen the stronger side, 104 rating points above Kortrijk (KV Mechelen 1433, Kortrijk 1329, after at least 273 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 November 2024, finished Kortrijk 3–1 KV Mechelen.

Team news

Predicted Kortrijk XI (3-4-2-1): M. Ilić, H. Murray-Campbell, A. Drouhin, J. Ndjeungoue, B. Dejaegere, B. Lambert, A. Philips, J. Van Landschoot, J. Roche, S. Campbell, G. Koyalipou — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Dejaegere (3.7 per match over eight appearances) and Jamie Roche (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Kortrijk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kortrijk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Dejaegere averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 628 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Jamie Roche averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 624 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances.

Predicted KV Mechelen XI (3-4-2-1): N. Mirás, J. Marsà, L. Marijnissen, M. Eerdhuijzen, T. Koudou, F. Hammar, S. Michez, D. Praet, M. Decherf, B. Raman, M. van Brederode — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, S. Michez (4.7 per match over five appearances, two goals) and M. van Brederode (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals) have been KV Mechelen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for KV Mechelen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Michez averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 333 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances. M. van Brederode averages 0.7 shots per 90 over 799 minutes, with a shot in four of the last nine appearances.

The referee

B. Van Driessche takes charge; across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 3.8 yellow cards a game and 0.13 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Jupiler Pro League · Guldensporen Stadion
Referee: B. Van Driessche
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Kortrijk 1 · draws 0 · KV Mechelen 5 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Kortrijk 1W 2D 2L · KV Mechelen 3W 1D 1L

Kortrijk v KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.86 / 4.86

Corners

against 5.29 / 5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3 / 3.14

Shots on target

against 4.86 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.86 / 2

Cards

against 2.29 / 2.43 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.75 yellows

Referee · B. Van Driessche

22.38 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 16 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kortrijk for / against	Line	KV Mechelen for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.86 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.14 for · 13.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.71 for · 14.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.57 for · 9.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 13.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.86 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: B. Van Driessche — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 22.38 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Kortrijk

Kortrijk Goalkeeper

Kortrijk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Ilić	7	89626 min	243.5 /90	131.9 /90	00 /90
P. Gunnarsson	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	63 /90	00 /90

Kortrijk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kortrijk before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Ilić n 8	89.5	3.5 7/6
P. Gunnarsson n 7	80.4	3 4/4

Kortrijk Defensive

Kortrijk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Ruyssen	6	90540 min	122 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90	294.8 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
Harrison Murray-Campbell	6	89536 min	132.2 /90	101.7 /90	61 /90	223.7 /90	132.2 /90	10.2 /90
R. Kohon	6	88530 min	152.5 /90	91.5 /90	10.2 /90	294.9 /90	81.4 /90	20.3 /90
J. Ndjeungoue	6	87524 min	172.9 /90	132.2 /90	00 /90	295 /90	81.4 /90	20.3 /90
A. Drouhin	5	86429 min	102.1 /90	81.7 /90	00 /90	255.2 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Kortrijk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kortrijk before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Ambrose n 8	83.5	1.3 7/2	1.5 7/3	—
G. Koyalipou n 8	66.5	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0	—
B. Dejaegere n 8	78.5	2.1 6/3	2.6 7/6	—
J. Van Landschoot n 8	44.1	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0	—
M. Ilić n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Kortrijk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kortrijk before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Ambrose n 8	83.5	0.9 6/1
G. Koyalipou n 8	66.5	0.5 3/0
B. Dejaegere n 8	78.5	3.3 7/6
J. Van Landschoot n 8	44.1	1.5 6/0
S. Campbell n 7	66.9	1.9 5/3
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Kortrijk Attacking

Kortrijk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Ambrose	9	83748 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	111.3 /90	141.7 /90
G. Koyalipou	9	68611 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	223.2 /90	101.5 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90
J. Van Landschoot	8	44353 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90
K. Masui	5	62311 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	30.9 /90
S. Podgoreanu	4	46182 min	00 /90	00 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	42 /90	21 /90
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Kortrijk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kortrijk before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Ambrose n 8	83.5	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0
G. Koyalipou n 8	66.5	3.2 7/4	1.5 5/2
B. Dejaegere n 8	78.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Van Landschoot n 8	44.1	2.3 6/1	0.8 3/0
M. Ilić n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Kortrijk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kortrijk before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Ambrose n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
G. Koyalipou n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
B. Dejaegere n 8	78.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Van Landschoot n 8	44.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Ilić n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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KV Mechelen

KV Mechelen Goalkeeper

KV Mechelen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Nacho Mirás	8	90720 min	232.9 /90	172.1 /90	00 /90
O. De Wolf	1	7979 min	55.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90

KV Mechelen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nacho Mirás n 8	90	2.9 6/4
O. De Wolf n 8	83	3 6/4

KV Mechelen Defensive

KV Mechelen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
José Marsà	9	86773 min	141.6 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90	344 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
Luc Marijnissen	7	84591 min	91.4 /90	30.5 /90	60.9 /90	436.5 /90	81.2 /90	00 /90
M. Eerdhuijzen	5	86431 min	81.7 /90	71.5 /90	40.8 /90	265.4 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
M. Decoene	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90	144.7 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
K. Corbanie	3	77231 min	41.6 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	83.1 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90
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KV Mechelen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. van Brederode n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0	1 3/3	—
José Marsà n 8	87.1	0.8 6/0	0.5 3/1	—
F. Hammar n 8	82.6	2.6 8/4	1.4 6/2	—
Nacho Mirás n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
T. Koudou n 8	86.3	0.9 6/1	1.4 7/3	—
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KV Mechelen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. van Brederode n 8	88.6	1 6/2
José Marsà n 8	87.1	1.8 6/5
F. Hammar n 8	82.6	4.9 8/8
T. Koudou n 8	86.3	1 6/2
Dennis Praet n 8	74.3	2.6 7/6
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KV Mechelen Attacking

KV Mechelen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. van Brederode	9	89799 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	60.7 /90	50.6 /90	222.5 /90	131.5 /90
B. Raman	7	49343 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne	6	56333 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	92.4 /90
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi	5	62309 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
Bouke Boersma	4	78310 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.5 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90
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KV Mechelen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. van Brederode n 8	88.6	0.8 4/2	0.6 4/1
José Marsà n 8	87.1	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
F. Hammar n 8	82.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Nacho Mirás n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Koudou n 8	86.3	0.8 3/2	0.1 1/0
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KV Mechelen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. van Brederode n 8	88.6	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
José Marsà n 8	87.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Hammar n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nacho Mirás n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Koudou n 8	86.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kortrijk v KV Mechelen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KortrijkLWDLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

KV MechelenLDWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kortrijk 1 · 0 draws · KV Mechelen 5 · 3.17 goals/game

2024-11-29 Kortrijk 3–1 KV Mechelen
2024-10-20 KV Mechelen 3–0 Kortrijk
2024-02-24 KV Mechelen 3–0 Kortrijk
2023-11-26 Kortrijk 0–3 KV Mechelen
2023-01-21 KV Mechelen 3–2 Kortrijk
2023-01-11 Kortrijk 0–1 KV Mechelen

League standing · 2026/27

Kortrijk#17 pos4 pts9 pl-16 GD

KV Mechelen#13 pos9 pts9 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

Kortrijk scored0.33

KV Mechelen scored1.11

Kortrijk conceded2.11

KV Mechelen conceded1.89

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Kortrijk v KV Mechelen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kortrijk v KV Mechelen is Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Kortrijk and KV Mechelen?: In their last 6 meetings, Kortrijk won 1, KV Mechelen won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kortrijk and KV Mechelen?: Recent form — Kortrijk 1W 2D 2L; KV Mechelen 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 21:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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