Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht result

Full-time · Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht

Jupiler Pro League · · Stade Joseph Mariën

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht — Union St. Gilloise won this Jupiler Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 400 of 607 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Union St. Gilloise beat Anderlecht 2–0 at Stade Joseph Mariën in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 31 August. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Anderlecht are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Union St. Gilloise led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Union St. Gilloise: Raul Florucz (4’ pen) and P. David (90’). Nathan-Dylan Saliba (81’) and N. Angulo (83’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Raul Florucz’s goal on 4 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Union St. Gilloise 2.24, Anderlecht 0.78, from 16 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jasper Vergoote, Belgium showed seven yellow cards and two reds — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Union St. Gilloise: M. Rasmussen (86’); Anderlecht: C. Huerta (38’), Nathan-Dylan Saliba (51’), N. Angulo (52’), Thorgan Hazard (72’), Nathan-Dylan Saliba (81’) and N. Angulo (83’).

What it changes

Union St. Gilloise have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Sykes (Union St. Gilloise) 7.4, Raul Florucz (Union St. Gilloise) 6.9 and M. Rasmussen (Union St. Gilloise) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.6% of the time in the last 90 days (422 of 643).

Next up

Union St. Gilloise next host Hapoel Beer Sheva on 22 October 2026.

Anderlecht next travel to Jagiellonia on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Union St. Gilloise: Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Anderlecht: Jagiellonia v Anderlecht, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League
  • Venue: Stade Joseph Mariën · Brussels
  • Referee: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Union St. Gilloise 3 · draws 2 · Anderlecht 1 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Union St. Gilloise 4W 1D 0L · Anderlecht 1W 2D 2L

Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht (Jupiler Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.38 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.4 / 5.5
Corners
against 4 / 4 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
7.2 / 6.17
Shots on target
against 2 / 4.17 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.6 / 2.43
Cards
against 2 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUnion St. Gilloise for / againstLineAnderlecht for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.4 for · 4 against n 5
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
14 for · 8.2 against n 5
19.5standard
15.17 for · 10.67 against n 6
Shots on target
7.2 for · 2 against n 5
8.5standard
6.17 for · 4.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
12.4 for · 8.8 against n 5
21.5standard
16.83 for · 7.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.6 for · 2 against n 5
3.5standard
2.43 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium.

Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Giger n 45.5
4.11/0
00/0
—
M. Fuseini n 831.6
2.55/2
1.84/1
—
S. Boufal n 849.8
2.35/3
3.47/4
—
R. Sykes n 818.6
1.82/1
1.82/1
—
K. Mac Allister n 886.4
1.68/3
1.77/4
—
Union St. Gilloise — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Giger n 45.5
4.11/0
4.11/0
K. Rodríguez n 853
37/3
2.36/3
P. David n 847.3
2.45/4
1.74/3
R. Florucz n 857.1
2.26/4
1.24/2
F. Ivanović n 865.8
2.16/3
1.24/2
Union St. Gilloise — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. David n 847.3
13/1
0.51/1
S. Boufal n 849.8
00/0
0.73/0
R. Florucz n 857.1
0.41/1
0.21/0
A. Zorgane n 889.3
0.11/0
0.54/0
K. Rodríguez n 853
0.62/1
00/0
Union St. Gilloise — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Mac Allister n 886.4
3.88/6
M. Rasmussen n 840.6
3.35/3
A. Khalaili n 886.8
2.98/7
O. Niang n 870.6
2.96/6
N. Sadiki n 890
2.88/8
Union St. Gilloise — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Moris n 893.8
2.57/4
Anderlecht
Anderlecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Huerta n 851.4
2.86/4
1.54/2
—
E. Llansana n 877.8
2.58/5
1.23/3
—
N. Saliba n 841
2.55/3
0.82/1
—
N. Angulo n 884
2.48/4
1.98/4
—
E. Dao n 832.4
2.44/2
3.13/2
—
Anderlecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Dolberg n 872.3
3.78/7
2.38/5
A. Bertaccini n 850.8
3.18/3
2.26/2
E. Dao n 832.4
2.45/2
0.72/0
T. Hazard n 874.5
2.17/4
1.14/3
C. Huerta n 851.4
25/3
0.93/1
Anderlecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bertaccini n 850.8
0.72/1
0.73/0
E. Dao n 832.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
T. Hazard n 874.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
K. Dolberg n 872.3
0.53/0
00/0
N. Angulo n 884
0.11/0
0.31/1
Anderlecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Llansana n 877.8
4.58/8
N. Saliba n 841
3.87/3
M. N'Diaye n 861.8
3.36/3
N. Angulo n 884
3.28/8
M. Stroeykens n 838.9
3.25/4
Anderlecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Coosemans n 891
3.28/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
49%Possession51%
2.24Expected goals (xG)0.78
16Shots9
5Shots on target4
7Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box4
5Corners5
0Offsides3
7Fouls17
1Yellow cards6
0Red cards2
3Saves3
368Passes383
82%Pass accuracy79%

Union St. Gilloise player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Scherpen9000000007.2
R. Sykes9000312508.3
C. Burgess9000000107.3
F. Leysen9000000507.3
A. Khalaili9000000207.3
A. Zorgane9000100006.6
M. Rasmussen90001016Y8
O. Niang9000000107.3
A. Ait El Hadj8500213006.9
R. Florucz7410112107
K. Rodríguez6200310206.3
P. David sub2810110007.7
M. Fuseini sub1600000006.2
M. Giger sub1100000006.6

Anderlecht player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Coosemans9000000007.3
L. Hey9000000106.9
M. Kana9000000206.3
L. Augustinsson9000000306.3
T. Hazard90001113Y6.3
T. Degreef8400111206.2
N. Angulo83000001RY6
N. Saliba81002023RY6.2
C. Huerta73001013Y5.9
L. Vázquez7300111106.2
E. Llansana6600111206.3
Nathan De Cat sub2400000006.3
M. Stroeykens sub1700000106.3
K. Dolberg sub1700000006.5
K. Sardella sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union St. GilloiseWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
AnderlechtLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Union St. Gilloise 3 · 2 draws · Anderlecht 1 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2025-05-10 Anderlecht 0–1 Union St. Gilloise
  • 2025-04-12 Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Anderlecht
  • 2025-02-23 Anderlecht 0–2 Union St. Gilloise
  • 2024-09-01 Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Anderlecht
  • 2024-05-05 Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Anderlecht
  • 2024-04-14 Anderlecht 2–1 Union St. Gilloise
League standing · 2025/26
Union St. Gilloise#2 pos53 pts40 pl+39 GD
Anderlecht#4 pos33 pts40 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Union St. Gilloise scored1.65
Anderlecht scored1.48
Union St. Gilloise conceded0.68
Anderlecht conceded1.55

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Union St. Gilloise v Anderlecht was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht?
In their last 6 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 3, Anderlecht won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht?
Recent form — Union St. Gilloise 4W 1D 0L; Anderlecht 1W 2D 2L.

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