This Matchweek

AlavesGetafe

Alaves v Getafe result

Full-time · Alaves 3–0 Getafe

La Liga · · Estadio de Mendizorroza

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Alaves 3–0 Getafe — Alaves won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Alaves: 2.29 to 0.26 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Alaves beat Getafe 3–0 at Estadio de Mendizorroza in La Liga on Saturday 15 August. Alaves have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Alaves: N. Tenaglia (73’, assisted by M. Díaz), M. Díaz (90’) and Mikel Rodríguez (90’, assisted by M. Díaz). Kiko Femenía (42’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with N. Tenaglia’s goal on 73 minutes.

Discipline

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 5.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Alaves: Denis Suárez (45+3’), Abderrahmane Rebbach (66’), Antonio Blanco (85’) and M. Díaz (90+2’); Getafe: Davinchi (10’), Mario Martín (23’) and D. Dakonam (76’).

What it changes

Alaves are first after this result (one league match played). Alaves have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Alaves have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Getafe are 20th after this result (one league match played). Getafe have scored eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Getafe have conceded 16 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

It is Alaves’s first win over Getafe since 18 May 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Díaz (Alaves) 10.8, Mikel Rodriguez (Alaves) 7.7 and N. Tenaglia (Alaves) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Getafe are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Alaves.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Alaves next travel to Sevilla on 6 November 2026.

Getafe next travel to Villarreal on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Alaves: Sevilla v Alaves, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Getafe: Villarreal v Getafe, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Alaves 3–0 Getafe · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz
  • Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Alaves 1 · draws 1 · Getafe 4 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Alaves 2W 1D 2L · Getafe 2W 1D 2L

Alaves 3–0 Getafe (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 1.75
over 8 matches
5.63 / 3.63
Corners
against 6.25 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 1.88
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.8 yellows
Referee · Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain
29.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAlaves for / againstLineGetafe for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
1.75our book
0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
8.13 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
1.88 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
16.38 for · 15 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 3.25 against n 8

Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain — 5.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 29.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AlavesGetafe
52%Possession48%
1.93Expected goals (xG)0.24
18Shots6
8Shots on target2
7Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box3
5Corners3
4Offsides0
16Fouls13
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
2Saves5
354Passes339
81%Pass accuracy79%

Alaves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sivera9000000006.9
N. Tenaglia9010110208.7
V. Koski9000000006.9
Jonny9000000207.3
Pablo Ibáñez9000000006.2
Toni Martínez9000302106.6
Antonio Blanco89003011Y6.3
A. Rebbach89001105Y7
Angel Pérez6500110207
Denis Suárez57001130Y6.6
Aitor Mañas5700001006.5
Mikel Rodriguez sub3310212308.2
M. Díaz sub33122220Y9.3
Yusi sub2500001207
Guevara sub10000000–
Carles Aleñá sub10011000–

Getafe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David Soria9000000007
A. Abqar9000000206.3
Z. Romero9000000106.5
Ramón Terrats9000211006.9
O. Mangala9000000306.7
D. Dakonam81000000Y6.3
Andrés García8100001106.2
M. Satriano7300110006.2
Mario Martín66000001Y6.9
Davinchi45000011Y6.7
Kiko Femenía42000000R5.3
E. Ünal sub4500100006.3
A. R. Alcantara sub2400000206.2
J. Valou sub1700000005.9
Saba Sazonov sub900000106.3
S. Boselli sub900000005.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Alaves v Getafe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlavesLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
GetafeLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Alaves 1 · 1 draw · Getafe 4 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 Alaves 0–2 Getafe
  • 2025-09-24 Getafe 1–1 Alaves
  • 2025-02-09 Alaves 0–1 Getafe
  • 2024-09-28 Getafe 2–0 Alaves
  • 2024-05-18 Alaves 1–0 Getafe
  • 2023-08-28 Getafe 1–0 Alaves
League standing · 2026/27
Alaves#11 pos12 pts11 pl-2 GD
Getafe#13 pos12 pts11 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Alaves scored1.36
Getafe scored0.73
Alaves conceded1.55
Getafe conceded1.45

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Alaves 2.29 xG from 18 shots, Getafe 0.26 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Denis Suárez 56' · 0.58 xGMikel Rodríguez 84' · 0.52 xGMariano 77' · 0.08 xGAntonio Martínez 19' · 0.08 xGEnes Ünal 81' · 0.06 xGOrel Mangala 86' · 0.06 xGÁngel Pérez 48' · 0.05 xGAntonio Martínez 31' · 0.05 xGRamón Terrats 51' · 0.05 xGMariano 70' · 0.04 xGAntonio Blanco 69' · 0.04 xGAntonio Martínez 48' · 0.04 xGMartín Satriano 44' · 0.04 xGAntonio Blanco 57' · 0.03 xGRamón Terrats 78' · 0.03 xGNahuel Tenaglia 10' · 0.03 xGAntonio Blanco 79' · 0.02 xGCarles Aleñá 98' · 0.02 xGAbderrahmane Rebbach 48' · 0.02 xGNahuel Tenaglia 97' · 0.02 xGAlberto Risco 88' · 0.01 xGNahuel Tenaglia 72' · 0.42 xG · goalMikel Rodríguez 93' · 0.13 xG · goalMariano 90' · 0.08 xG · goal
Alaves (attacking right)Getafe (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Alaves1832.29
Getafe600.26

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Alaves 0.16, Getafe 0.04. At full time, Alaves led on xG, 2.29 to 0.26. The widest gap was 2.03 xG to Alaves, in the 98th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Alaves 72 minGoal - Alaves 90 minGoal - Alaves 93 min
Alaves 2.29 xGGetafe 0.26 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Alaves v Getafe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Alaves v Getafe was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Getafe?
In their last 6 meetings, Alaves won 1, Getafe won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alaves and Getafe?
Recent form — Alaves 2W 1D 2L; Getafe 2W 1D 2L.

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