Alaves v Levante result
Team pages: Alaves · Levante · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Alaves 2–1 Levante — Alaves won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
What xG said
xG said Alaves: 1.72 to 0.77 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 35th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Alaves beat Levante 2–1 at Estadio de Mendizorroza in La Liga on Saturday 16 August. Levante have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Alaves led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Alaves: Toni Martínez (36’, assisted by Carles Aleñá) and N. Tenaglia (90’); Levante: Jeremy Toljan (68’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with N. Tenaglia’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Levante: Manu Sánchez (9’).
What it changes
Alaves are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Toni Martínez (Alaves) 6.5, N. Tenaglia (Alaves) 6.4 and Carles Aleñá (Alaves) 5.2 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.4% of the time in the last 90 days (89 of 170).
Next up
Alaves next host Malaga on 23 October 2026.
Levante next host Athletic Club on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Alaves: Alaves v Malaga, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Levante: Levante v Athletic Club, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Alaves 2–1 Levante · La Liga
- Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz
- Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Alaves 2 · draws 1 · Levante 3 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Alaves 2W 2D 1L · Levante 4W 1D 0L
Alaves 2–1 Levante (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Alaves | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| 62% | Possession | 38% |
| 1.29 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.87 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 471 | Passes | 296 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 67% |
Alaves player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivera | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jonny | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Garcés | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Tenaglia | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Antonio Blanco | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Toni Martínez | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Víctor Parada | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Carles Aleñá | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Carlos Vicente | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Jon Guridi | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Pablo Ibáñez | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Calebe sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Rebbach sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Díaz sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Guevara sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Yusi sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Levante player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Cuñat | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Toljan | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Dela | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Unai Elgezabal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jorge Cabello | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Oriol Rey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Brugui | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Pablo Martínez | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Manu Sánchez | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| Iván Romero | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Víctor García | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| José Luis Morales sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Moreno sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Carlos Álvarez sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Diego Pampín sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Sergio Lozano sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Alaves v Levante — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-06-17 Levante 0–1 Alaves
- 2023-06-11 Alaves 0–0 Levante
- 2023-04-29 Levante 2–0 Alaves
- 2022-12-12 Alaves 0–2 Levante
- 2022-05-15 Levante 3–1 Alaves
- 2021-11-06 Alaves 2–1 Levante
Shot map and expected goals
Alaves 1.72 xG from 15 shots, Levante 0.77 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 15 | 2 | 1.72 |
| Levante | 7 | 1 | 0.77 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Alaves v Levante?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Alaves v Levante was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Levante?
- In their last 6 meetings, Alaves won 2, Levante won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Alaves and Levante?
- Recent form — Alaves 2W 2D 1L; Levante 4W 1D 0L.
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