Alaves v Osasuna result

Full-time · Alaves 2–2 Osasuna

La Liga · Sun, 05 Apr 2026 20:00 BST · Estadio de Mendizorroza

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Alaves · Osasuna · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Alaves 2–2 Osasuna — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Alaves 1.66, Osasuna 1.61 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Alaves and Osasuna drew 2–2 at Estadio de Mendizorroza in La Liga on Sunday 5 April. Osasuna are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Alaves, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Osasuna: V. Rosier (4’) and Ante Budimir (80’ pen); Alaves: Toni Martínez (44’, assisted by Antonio Blanco) and Lucas Boyé (90’ pen). Asier Osambela (-5’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Boyé’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

C. Soto Grado showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Alaves: Antonio Blanco (41’) and Angel Pérez (90+4’); Osasuna: V. Rosier (16’), Moncayola (41’), Flavien Boyomo (87’), Catena (90’) and Iker Muñoz (90+4’).

What it changes

Alaves have scored 44 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Alaves have conceded 56 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Osasuna have scored 44 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Osasuna have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Alaves are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Toni Martínez (Alaves) 7.1, Ante Budimir (Osasuna) 6.4 and Lucas Boyé (Alaves) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Alaves next travel to Anaitasuna on 10 November 2026.

Osasuna next host Malaga on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Alaves: Anaitasuna v Alaves, Tuesday 10 November — the preview. Next for Osasuna: Osasuna v Malaga, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Alaves 2–2 Osasuna · La Liga
Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee: C. Soto Grado
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Alaves 0 · draws 2 · Osasuna 4 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Alaves 1W 2D 2L · Osasuna 2W 1D 2L

Alaves 2–2 Osasuna (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.75

Corners

against 5.13 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4

Shots on target

against 5 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.75 / 2.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.33 yellows

Referee · C. Soto Grado

22 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Alaves for / against	Line	Osasuna for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	17 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.88 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Soto Grado — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.56 red cards, 22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sivera	29	902610 min	772.7 /90	411.4 /90	00 /90

Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sivera n 8	90	2.8 7/5

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Tenaglia	30	902705 min	541.8 /90	341.1 /90	220.7 /90	1294.3 /90	260.9 /90	20.1 /90
Jonny	30	862571 min	592.1 /90	341.2 /90	100.4 /90	1354.7 /90	321.1 /90	50.2 /90
Jon Pacheco	24	832001 min	391.8 /90	130.6 /90	210.9 /90	934.2 /90	160.7 /90	60.3 /90
Víctor Parada	19	791499 min	251.5 /90	50.3 /90	50.3 /90	643.8 /90	251.5 /90	80.5 /90
Yusi	19	741400 min	171.1 /90	140.9 /90	20.1 /90	583.7 /90	271.7 /90	70.5 /90
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Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Toni Martínez n 8	81.8	1.9 7/5	1.2 7/2	—
N. Tenaglia n 8	89.9	1.1 6/2	0.6 4/1	Catena
Jonny n 8	88.4	1.3 6/3	1.3 6/3	Catena
Carles Aleñá n 8	74.9	2.3 7/5	1.1 4/3	—
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 8	81.8	1.2 6/2
N. Tenaglia n 8	89.9	1.5 6/3
Jonny n 8	88.4	2 7/5
Carles Aleñá n 8	74.9	1.7 6/3
Antonio Blanco n 8	84	2.7 7/6
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Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Toni Martínez	31	742290 min	100.4 /90	30.1 /90	612.4 /90	281.1 /90	190.7 /90	190.7 /90
L. Boyé	24	741785 min	90.5 /90	10.1 /90	432.2 /90	191 /90	231.2 /90	381.9 /90
Carlos Vicente	24	611473 min	80.5 /90	10.1 /90	150.9 /90	100.6 /90	301.8 /90	110.7 /90
A. Rebbach	19	52986 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	191.7 /90	90.8 /90	181.6 /90	131.2 /90
M. Díaz	8	41327 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
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Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 8	81.8	2.6 7/6	1.2 5/3
N. Tenaglia n 8	89.9	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
Jonny n 8	88.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Carles Aleñá n 8	74.9	0.8 4/1	0.2 1/0
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 8	81.8	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jonny n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carles Aleñá n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Osasuna

Osasuna Goalkeeper

Osasuna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sergio Herrera	29	902610 min	963.3 /90	351.2 /90	00 /90

Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sergio Herrera n 8	90	2.4 6/4

Osasuna Defensive

Osasuna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Catena	28	872443 min	291.1 /90	301.1 /90	250.9 /90	1134.2 /90	401.5 /90	80.3 /90
F. Boyomo	22	831825 min	502.5 /90	120.6 /90	120.6 /90	874.3 /90	241.2 /90	40.2 /90
V. Rosier	22	801756 min	341.7 /90	331.7 /90	10.1 /90	753.8 /90	261.3 /90	50.3 /90
Jorge Herrando	20	701402 min	301.9 /90	151 /90	100.6 /90	634 /90	211.3 /90	20.1 /90
Javi Galán	12	881052 min	332.8 /90	201.7 /90	40.3 /90	927.9 /90	161.4 /90	20.2 /90
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Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Víctor Muñoz n 8	87.1	1.5 6/4	1.5 8/3	—
Sergio Herrera n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0	—
Catena n 8	80.4	1.5 6/4	0.4 3/0	Jonny
Moncayola n 8	78.4	0.9 5/1	0.3 1/1	—
A. Budimir n 8	80	0.6 3/1	1.3 5/3	—
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Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Víctor Muñoz n 8	87.1	0.5 3/1
Catena n 8	80.4	1 5/2
Moncayola n 8	78.4	1.4 7/3
A. Budimir n 8	80	0.6 2/2
Rubén García n 8	75	2.1 8/4
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Osasuna Attacking

Osasuna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Budimir	27	812193 min	140.6 /90	00 /90	662.7 /90	281.1 /90	120.5 /90	30.1 /90
Raúl García	19	41771 min	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	192.2 /90	141.6 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90
S. Becker	7	33230 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	62.3 /90	31.2 /90
Kike Barja	7	27190 min	00 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90	41.9 /90	41.9 /90
Iker Benito	3	47140 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90
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Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Víctor Muñoz n 8	87.1	2.6 5/5	1.3 4/4
Sergio Herrera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Catena n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Moncayola n 8	78.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Budimir n 8	80	2.4 7/5	1 5/2
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Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Víctor Muñoz n 8	87.1	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Sergio Herrera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Catena n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Moncayola n 8	78.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
A. Budimir n 8	80	0.7 5/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Alaves		Osasuna
48%	Possession	52%
2.07	Expected goals (xG)	1.31
18	Shots	8
6	Shots on target	5
9	Shots off target	0
3	Blocked shots	3
12	Shots inside the box	5
7	Corners	1
1	Offsides	3
7	Fouls	17
2	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	1
3	Saves	5
372	Passes	423
80%	Pass accuracy	82%

Alaves Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Sivera	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Jonny	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.2
N. Tenaglia	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Víctor Parada	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.6
Angel Pérez	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	Y	6
Antonio Blanco	90	0	1	0	0	1	3	Y	7.2
Toni Martínez	90	1	0	6	3	1	0	0	7.6
Pablo Ibáñez	81	0	0	3	1	2	2	0	7.2
I. Diabate	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Yusi	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Jon Guridi	45	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	6.5
A. Rebbach sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
Carles Aleñá sub	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
Guevara sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Boyé sub	9	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.2

Osasuna Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Sergio Herrera	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
V. Rosier	90	1	1	1	1	0	Y	7.2
Catena	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
F. Boyomo	90	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
Javi Galán	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Moncayola	90	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.6
A. Budimir	85	1	2	2	0	1	0	6.9
Lucas Torró	77	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
Rubén García	77	0	2	2	2	0	0	6.2
Aimar Oroz	77	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Kike Barja	60	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Víctor Muñoz sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Iker Muñoz sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
Raúl García sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Abel Bretones sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Jorge Herrando sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Alaves v Osasuna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AlavesDLLDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

OsasunaWLDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Alaves 0 · 2 draws · Osasuna 4 · 2.17 goals/game

2025-12-20 Osasuna 3–0 Alaves
2025-05-24 Alaves 1–1 Osasuna
2024-12-08 Osasuna 2–2 Alaves
2024-03-04 Osasuna 1–0 Alaves
2023-10-01 Alaves 0–2 Osasuna
2022-04-10 Osasuna 1–0 Alaves

League standing · 2025/26

Alaves#14 pos43 pts38 pl-12 GD

Osasuna#17 pos42 pts38 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

Alaves scored1.16

Osasuna scored1.16

Alaves conceded1.47

Osasuna conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Alaves 1.66 xG from 18 shots, Osasuna 1.61 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Alaves (attacking right)Osasuna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Alaves	18	2	1.66
Osasuna	8	2	1.61

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Alaves 0.54, Osasuna 0.69. At full time, xG was level: Alaves 1.66, Osasuna 1.61, including 1.49 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.74 xG to Osasuna, in the 79th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)

Alaves 1.66 xGOsasuna 1.61 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Alaves v Osasuna?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Alaves v Osasuna was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Alaves and Osasuna?: In their last 6 meetings, Alaves won 0, Osasuna won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alaves and Osasuna?: Recent form — Alaves 1W 2D 2L; Osasuna 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.