This Matchweek

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid

Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid

La Liga · · San Mamés Barria

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Athletic Club · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid — Athletic Club won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Athletic Club: 1.90 to 0.75 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Athletic Club beat Atletico Madrid 3–0 at San Mamés Barria in La Liga on Saturday 5 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Athletic Club: Nico Williams (46’), Robert Navarro (48’, assisted by Iñaki Williams) and Oihan Sancet (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nico Williams’s goal on 46 minutes.

Discipline

José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain showed one yellow card — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico Madrid: Lee Kang-In (39’).

What it changes

Athletic Club move up from 12th to seventh (shared) (four league matches played). Athletic Club have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Athletic Club have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Atletico Madrid move down from first to sixth (four league matches played). Atletico Madrid have scored 22 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Robert Navarro (Athletic Club) 8.6, Oihan Sancet (Athletic Club) 6.7 and Pablo Barrios (Atletico Madrid) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Athletic Club or Atletico Madrid (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Athletic Club next travel to Osasuna on 7 November 2026.

Atletico Madrid next host Barcelona on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Athletic Club: Osasuna v Athletic Club, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: San Mamés Barria · Bilbao
  • Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 2 · draws 0 · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Athletic Club 1W 1D 3L · Atletico Madrid 3W 1D 1L

Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 5.88
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
25.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAthletic Club for / againstLineAtletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
7.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 25.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Athletic Club

Athletic Club Goalkeeper

Athletic Club — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Unai Simón390270 min124 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 890
2.87/2

Athletic Club Defensive

Athletic Club — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Aymeric Laporte371212 min41.7 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90104.2 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Yeray290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90105 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Aitor Paredes282164 min42.2 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90116 /9031.6 /9000 /90
Jesús Areso272144 min10.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9063.8 /9021.3 /9000 /90
Hugo Rincón253106 min10.8 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9065.1 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Oihan Sancet n 859.1
0.84/0
1.75/3
—
Aymeric Laporte n 875.3
0.63/1
0.64/0
Dávid Hancko
Álex Berenguer n 861.5
1.56/1
0.21/0
—
Peio Canales n 854.4
0.42/0
1.44/2
—
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Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Oihan Sancet n 859.1
2.16/3
Aymeric Laporte n 875.3
1.56/3
Álex Berenguer n 861.5
1.55/1
Peio Canales n 854.4
14/1
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 364.3
2.82/2
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Athletic Club Attacking

Athletic Club — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gorka Guruzeta355164 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Nico Williams336108 min00 /9000 /9043.3 /9000 /9000 /9043.3 /90
Oihan Sancet382245 min00 /9000 /9072.6 /9031.1 /9041.5 /9072.6 /90
Álex Berenguer370210 min10.4 /9000 /9041.7 /9020.9 /9083.4 /9020.9 /90
Peio Canales368205 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9041.8 /9041.8 /90
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Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Oihan Sancet n 859.1
1.96/3
0.83/1
Aymeric Laporte n 875.3
0.31/1
00/0
Álex Berenguer n 861.5
1.56/2
0.53/0
Peio Canales n 854.4
0.83/1
0.41/1
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Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Oihan Sancet n 859.1
0.21/0
00/0
Aymeric Laporte n 875.3
00/0
00/0
Álex Berenguer n 861.5
0.21/0
00/0
Peio Canales n 854.4
00/0
00/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jan Oblak390270 min93 /9031 /9000 /90
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
34/3

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dávid Hancko390270 min41.3 /9062 /9010.3 /90165.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Álex Grimaldo290180 min73.5 /9021 /9021 /90126 /9021 /9000 /90
Robin Le Normand283166 min31.6 /9042.2 /9000 /9084.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Marc Pubill278156 min10.6 /9000 /9010.6 /9074 /9021.2 /9010.6 /90
Dani Martínez19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
Aymeric Laporte
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Ademola Lookman n 869.8
1.34/4
1.96/3
—
Giuliano Simeone n 859.6
0.83/1
0.62/1
—
Pablo Barrios n 851.4
1.14/1
1.55/2
—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.84/1
Ademola Lookman n 869.8
15/1
Giuliano Simeone n 859.6
3.47/5
Pablo Barrios n 851.4
1.35/1
Lee Kang-In n 357
2.62/2
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ademola Lookman378235 min10.4 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
Lee Kang-In357171 min10.5 /9010.5 /9052.6 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9063.2 /90
Arnau Ortiz24181 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9044.4 /9011.1 /90
Julián Alvarez12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /90
Giuliano Simeone371213 min10.4 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9000 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.53/1
00/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Ademola Lookman n 869.8
1.35/3
0.84/1
Giuliano Simeone n 859.6
0.93/2
0.42/0
Pablo Barrios n 851.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Ademola Lookman n 869.8
0.53/0
00/0
Giuliano Simeone n 859.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Pablo Barrios n 851.4
00/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
38%Possession62%
1.41Expected goals (xG)1.02
11Shots15
4Shots on target5
4Shots off target9
3Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box10
3Corners8
0Offsides2
8Fouls6
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves1
387Passes631
82%Pass accuracy90%

Athletic Club Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jesús Areso9000001407.2
Unai Simón9000000008.9
Oihan Sancet9010211007.9
Beñat Gerenabarrena9000000306.6
Yuri9000000007
Aymeric Laporte9000000007.3
Nico Williams7610210107.6
I. Williams6601102106.2
Robert Navarro6610211408.3
Ruíz de Galarreta6000001006.9
Yeray4500000007
Aitor Paredes sub4500000207.3
Mikel Jauregizar sub3000110306.9
Álex Berenguer sub2400000106.3
Johaneko Louis-Jean sub2400000106.9
Gorka Guruzeta sub1400000106.3

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pablo Barrios9000213207.2
Álex Grimaldo9000100206.5
Dávid Hancko9000000006.3
Marc Pubill9000000306.2
Marcos Llorente9000222006.3
Jan Oblak9000000005.3
Alex Baena7600213006.6
Lee Kang-In59001010Y6.5
Morten Hjulmand5900002106.6
Giuliano Simeone5900201005.6
Ademola Lookman5800100006
Arnau Ortiz sub3200100006.3
Cristian Romero sub3100100006.6
Koke sub3100001006.9
Julián Alvarez sub3100111006.7
Johnny Cardoso sub1400000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Athletic ClubDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Atletico MadridWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Athletic Club 2 · 0 draws · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Athletic Club
  • 2025-12-06 Athletic Club 1–0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-03-01 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club
  • 2024-08-31 Athletic Club 0–1 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-04-27 Atletico Madrid 3–1 Athletic Club
  • 2024-02-29 Athletic Club 3–0 Atletico Madrid
League standing · 2026/27
Athletic Club#7 pos15 pts10 pl+4 GD
Atletico Madrid#2 pos28 pts11 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Athletic Club scored1.4
Atletico Madrid scored2
Athletic Club conceded1
Atletico Madrid conceded0.73

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.90 xG from 11 shots, Atletico Madrid 0.75 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Cristian Romero 59' · 0.13 xGOihan Sancet 17' · 0.12 xGIñaki Williams 10' · 0.09 xGJulián Álvarez 70' · 0.09 xGNico Williams 62' · 0.09 xGÁlex Baena 22' · 0.09 xGLee Kang-In 2' · 0.08 xGOihan Sancet 17' · 0.07 xGPablo Barrios Rivas 47' · 0.06 xGArnau Ortiz 70' · 0.05 xGAdemola Lookman 32' · 0.05 xGGiuliano Simeone 32' · 0.04 xGIñaki Williams 45' · 0.04 xGMarcos Llorente 87' · 0.04 xGMikel Jauregizar 84' · 0.04 xGMarcos Llorente 78' · 0.04 xGIñaki Williams 14' · 0.03 xGRoberto Navarro 17' · 0.02 xGÁlex Grimaldo 15' · 0.02 xGGiuliano Simeone 6' · 0.02 xGLee Kang-In 39' · 0.02 xGPablo Barrios Rivas 67' · 0.01 xGÁlex Baena 22' · 0.01 xGOihan Sancet 89' · 0.52 xG · goalNico Williams 45' · 0.47 xG · goalRoberto Navarro 47' · 0.41 xG · goal
Athletic Club (attacking right)Atletico Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Athletic Club1131.90
Atletico Madrid1500.75

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Athletic Club led on xG, 0.84 to 0.32. At full time, Athletic Club led on xG, 1.90 to 0.75. The widest gap was 1.15 xG to Athletic Club, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.90.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Athletic Club 45 minGoal - Athletic Club 47 minGoal - Athletic Club 89 min
Athletic Club 1.90 xGAtletico Madrid 0.75 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, Atletico Madrid won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid?
Recent form — Athletic Club 1W 1D 3L; Atletico Madrid 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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