Athletic Club v Celta Vigo result
Team pages: Athletic Club · Celta Vigo · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots on over 2.5.
What xG said
xG said Athletic Club: 2.90 to 0.31 in expected goals, from 26 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the 20th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.
The result
Athletic Club and Celta Vigo drew 1–1 in La Liga on Sunday 17 May.
The goals
Celta Vigo led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Celta Vigo: Williot Swedberg (4’, assisted by I. Moriba); Athletic Club: Iñaki Williams (52’, assisted by Yuri).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Iñaki Williams’s goal on 52 minutes.
Discipline
I. Diaz showed four yellow cards — against 5.9 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Athletic Club: Yuri (38’) and Aymeric Laporte (68’); Celta Vigo: Javi Rueda (10’) and Ionuț Radu (42’).
What it changes
Athletic Club stay ninth after this result (37 league matches played). Athletic Club have scored eight goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Athletic Club have conceded nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Celta Vigo stay sixth after this result (37 league matches played). Celta Vigo have scored eight goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Celta Vigo have conceded eight goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Athletic Club are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Celta Vigo have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) 7.9, Iñaki Williams (Athletic Club) 7.4 and Williot Swedberg (Celta Vigo) 5.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Celta Vigo shots on over 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Athletic Club next host Espanyol on 22 November 2026.
Celta Vigo next travel to Salamanca UDS on 13 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Athletic Club: Athletic Club v Espanyol, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Celta Vigo: Salamanca UDS v Celta Vigo, Friday 13 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga
- Referee: I. Diaz
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 4 · draws 0 · Celta Vigo 2 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Athletic Club 2W 0D 3L · Celta Vigo 2W 0D 3L
Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Athletic Club for / against | Line | Celta Vigo for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.25our book | 1 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.88 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 7.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.75 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: I. Diaz — 5.9 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 23.8 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Athletic Club
Athletic Club Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | 45 | 904050 min | 1262.8 /90 | 721.6 /90 | 20 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
Athletic Club Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Vivian | 38 | 833148 min | 702 /90 | 401.1 /90 | 170.5 /90 | 1343.8 /90 | 481.4 /90 | 90.3 /90 |
| Yuri | 37 | 823032 min | 521.5 /90 | 401.2 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 1654.9 /90 | 290.9 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| Jesús Areso | 30 | 621857 min | 401.9 /90 | 211 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 984.7 /90 | 261.3 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| Aymeric Laporte | 29 | 812344 min | 321.2 /90 | 251 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 1174.5 /90 | 90.3 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Aitor Paredes | 26 | 892317 min | 381.5 /90 | 421.6 /90 | 90.3 /90 | 993.8 /90 | 381.5 /90 | 90.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 62.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 | I. Moriba |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 73 | 1.2 | 0.5 | — |
| Ruíz de Galarreta n 8 | 63.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | I. Moriba |
| Dani Vivian n 8 | 69.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 62.8 | 1.8 |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 73 | 1.1 |
| Ruíz de Galarreta n 8 | 63.3 | 2.7 |
| Dani Vivian n 8 | 69.4 | 1.9 |
| Álex Berenguer n 8 | 61.3 | 1.3 |
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Athletic Club Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorka Guruzeta | 43 | 682912 min | 140.4 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 712.2 /90 | 391.2 /90 | 331 /90 | 100.3 /90 |
| Nico Serrano | 11 | 43472 min | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 132.5 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 101.9 /90 | 112.1 /90 |
| Maroan Sannadi | 10 | 35353 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 71.8 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| Urko Izeta | 3 | 45134 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 32 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Hierro | 2 | 2550 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 23.6 /90 | 11.8 /90 | 11.8 /90 | 11.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 62.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 73 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Ruíz de Galarreta n 8 | 63.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Dani Vivian n 8 | 69.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Mikel Jauregizar n 8 | 62.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Gorka Guruzeta n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Ruíz de Galarreta n 8 | 63.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Dani Vivian n 8 | 69.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
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Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | 48 | 904326 min | 1292.7 /90 | 631.3 /90 | 20 /90 |
| Iván Villar | 2 | 90180 min | 63 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Radu n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Celta Vigo Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Alonso | 41 | 873585 min | 571.4 /90 | 350.9 /90 | 190.5 /90 | 1594 /90 | 320.8 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| Javi Rodríguez | 41 | 813319 min | 561.5 /90 | 280.8 /90 | 200.5 /90 | 1373.7 /90 | 461.2 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| C. Starfelt | 29 | 812352 min | 291.1 /90 | 281.1 /90 | 220.8 /90 | 873.3 /90 | 281.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Manu Fernández | 14 | 721007 min | 171.5 /90 | 111 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 353.1 /90 | 131.2 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| Yoel Lago | 12 | 79953 min | 151.4 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 111 /90 | 393.7 /90 | 232.2 /90 | 50.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Borja Iglesias n 8 | 45 | 1.5 | 2.3 | — |
| I. Moriba n 8 | 78.8 | 2.1 | 2 | Ruíz de Galarreta |
| Marcos Alonso n 8 | 88.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez n 8 | 78.8 | 1 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Borja Iglesias n 8 | 45 | 0.5 |
| I. Moriba n 8 | 78.8 | 3.1 |
| Marcos Alonso n 8 | 88.3 | 2.2 |
| Javi Rodríguez n 8 | 78.8 | 1.1 |
| Sergio Carreira n 8 | 75.9 | 1 |
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Celta Vigo Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borja Iglesias | 45 | 552480 min | 160.6 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 521.9 /90 | 341.2 /90 | 220.8 /90 | 140.5 /90 |
| Ferran Jutglà | 38 | 542057 min | 100.4 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 472.1 /90 | 271.2 /90 | 190.8 /90 | 231 /90 |
| Iago Aspas | 35 | 491724 min | 80.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 321.7 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 482.5 /90 | 160.8 /90 |
| W. Swedberg | 35 | 481694 min | 90.5 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 231.2 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 170.9 /90 | 120.6 /90 |
| Pablo Durán | 34 | 511747 min | 50.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 301.5 /90 | 180.9 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 100.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Borja Iglesias n 8 | 45 | 1.5 | 1 |
| I. Moriba n 8 | 78.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Marcos Alonso n 8 | 88.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Javi Rodríguez n 8 | 78.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Borja Iglesias n 8 | 45 | 0.8 | 0 |
| I. Moriba n 8 | 78.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Marcos Alonso n 8 | 88.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Javi Rodríguez n 8 | 78.8 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Athletic Club | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Possession | 42% |
| 2.49 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.15 |
| 27 | Shots | 3 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 14 | Shots off target | 0 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 19 | Shots inside the box | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 528 | Passes | 392 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Athletic Club Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Gorosabel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Yeray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Aymeric Laporte | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| Yuri | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Y | 9.2 |
| Ruíz de Galarreta | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| I. Williams | 86 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Álex Berenguer | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Mikel Jauregizar | 71 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Unai Gómez | 45 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Robert Navarro sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Alejandro Rego sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Urko Izeta sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Nico Serrano sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Maroan Sannadi sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Celta Vigo Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| Javi Rodríguez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Yoel Lago | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Marcos Alonso | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| I. Moriba | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Sergio Carreira | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Fer López | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| W. Swedberg | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Ferran Jutglà | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Borja Iglesias | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Javi Rueda | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| Óscar Mingueza sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Iago Aspas sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Pablo Durán sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Hugo Álvarez sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Vecino sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Athletic Club v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-14 Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Club
- 2025-01-19 Celta Vigo 1–2 Athletic Club
- 2024-09-22 Athletic Club 3–1 Celta Vigo
- 2024-05-15 Celta Vigo 2–1 Athletic Club
- 2023-11-10 Athletic Club 4–3 Celta Vigo
- 2023-05-20 Athletic Club 2–1 Celta Vigo
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Athletic Club 2.90 xG from 26 shots, Celta Vigo 0.31 from 3. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 26 | 1 | 2.90 |
| Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0.31 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Athletic Club led on xG, 0.72 to 0.26. At full time, Athletic Club led on xG, 2.90 to 0.31. The widest gap was 2.59 xG to Athletic Club, in the 96th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Athletic Club v Celta Vigo?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Celta Vigo was Away shots on over 2.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Celta Vigo?
- In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 4, Celta Vigo won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Celta Vigo?
- Recent form — Athletic Club 2W 0D 3L; Celta Vigo 2W 0D 3L.
Today’s Boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.