Athletic Club v Sevilla result

Full-time · Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla

La Liga · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 18:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Athletic Club · Sevilla · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla — Athletic Club won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Athletic Club: 2.68 to 0.91 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Athletic Club beat Sevilla 3–2 in La Liga on Sunday 17 August.

The goals

Athletic Club led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Athletic Club: Nico Williams (36’ pen), Maroan Sannadi (43’) and Robert Navarro (81’, assisted by Nico Williams); Sevilla: D. Lukebakio (60’, assisted by Juanlu Sánchez) and Lucien Agoumé (72’, assisted by Akor Adams).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Robert Navarro’s goal on 81 minutes.

Discipline

Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sevilla: Andrés Castrín (6’) and Lucien Agoumé (37’).

What it changes

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across 10 matches. Sevilla have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nico Williams (Athletic Club) 14.8, Lucien Agoumé (Sevilla) 6.3 and D. Lukebakio (Sevilla) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Athletic Club or Sevilla (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3530 of 4561).

Next up

Athletic Club next host Getafe on 25 October 2026.

Sevilla next host Osasuna on 26 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Athletic Club: Athletic Club v Getafe, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Osasuna, Monday 26 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla · La Liga
Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 3 · draws 2 · Sevilla 1 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Athletic Club 3W 0D 2L · Sevilla 1W 1D 3L

Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4

Corners

against 3.75 / 3.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.38 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 4.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.75 / 2.86

Cards

against 1.88 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.89 yellows

Referee · Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain

2.22 home / 1.67 away

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Athletic Club for / against	Line	Sevilla for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	9.38 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.14 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	2.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.43 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.86 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain — 3.89 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 22.11 fouls over 9 matches (2.22 to the home side, 1.67 to the away side).

Home 2.22Away 1.67

Athletic Club

Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Prados Diaz n 8	43.9	3.3 5/3	0.5 1/1	—
Álvaro Djaló n 8	36.6	3.1 5/3	3.1 5/4	—
Ruíz de Galarreta n 8	61	2.8 6/4	0.7 3/1	—
Maroan Sannadi n 8	67	2.5 6/6	3 5/5	—
Unai Núñez n 8	65.3	1.9 5/3	0.3 2/0	—

Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gorka Guruzeta n 8	47.6	2.8 7/3	0.7 2/1
Nico Williams n 8	66.8	2.2 6/4	1 3/2
Oihan Sancet n 8	40.6	2.2 3/3	1.1 2/2
I. Williams n 8	52.9	1.3 3/3	0.4 1/1
Álex Berenguer n 8	77.3	1.2 6/2	0.6 3/1

Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Oihan Sancet n 8	40.6	0.8 2/1	0 0/0
Nico Williams n 8	66.8	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
Mikel Jauregizar n 8	72.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Dani Vivian n 8	66.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
De Marcos n 8	66	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Prados Diaz n 8	43.9	3.8 5/3
Gorosabel n 8	70.6	3.2 7/5
Mikel Jauregizar n 8	72.4	2.2 6/4
Unai Núñez n 8	65.3	1.9 6/4
Álvaro Djaló n 8	36.6	1.8 3/1

Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 8	94.5	1.9 4/2

Sevilla

Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Álvaro García n 8	51.1	2.4 6/4	1.1 3/1	—
S. Niguez n 8	47.6	2.4 7/3	0.2 1/0	—
Manu Bueno n 8	9.3	2.4 2/0	2.4 2/0	—
L. Agoumé n 8	86.3	2.3 8/5	0.4 3/0	—
José Ángel Carmona n 8	77	2.3 7/6	1.5 8/2	—

Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Antonetti n 3	34	2.6 2/1	2.6 2/1
D. Lukebakio n 8	64	2.3 7/2	0.7 4/0
Álvaro García n 8	51.1	2 6/2	0.9 4/0
Isaac n 8	45.1	2 6/2	1 4/0
Peque Fernández n 8	42	1.9 4/1	0.5 2/0

Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Idumbo-Muzambo n 8	11.3	0 0/0	1 1/0
L. Antonetti n 3	34	0.9 1/0	0 0/0
L. Agoumé n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Suso n 8	53.3	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
Kike Salas n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 8	86.3	3.8 8/7
Juanlu Sánchez n 8	60.8	3.5 7/5
C. Ejuke n 8	29.6	3 5/3
José Ángel Carmona n 8	77	2.6 8/4
S. Niguez n 8	47.6	2.6 6/3

Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Álvaro Fernández n 8	90	2.5 6/4
Ø. Nyland n 8	90	2.4 5/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Athletic Club		Sevilla
46%	Possession	54%
2.89	Expected goals (xG)	1.01
14	Shots	12
3	Shots on target	6
3	Shots off target	4
8	Blocked shots	2
11	Shots inside the box	10
10	Corners	1
0	Offsides	8
8	Fouls	12
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	0
387	Passes	477
78%	Pass accuracy	83%

Athletic Club player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Unai Simón	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Dani Vivian	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.6
Aitor Paredes	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	6
Yuri	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Mikel Jauregizar	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	6.7
I. Williams	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	6.5
Jesús Areso	83	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
Nico Williams	83	1	1	2	1	3	0	10
Ruíz de Galarreta	78	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
Álex Berenguer	67	0	0	0	0	1	1	7
Maroan Sannadi	67	1	0	2	1	1	0	6.3
Robert Navarro sub	23	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.2
Gorka Guruzeta sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.2
Mikel Vesga sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Gorosabel sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Alejandro Rego sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	7

Sevilla player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ø. Nyland	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Juanlu Sánchez	90	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	5.9
Kike Salas	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.5
José Ángel Carmona	90	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.3
D. Lukebakio	90	1	0	2	1	2	0	0	7.7
L. Agoumé	90	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.5
A. Adams	90	0	1	3	2	1	0	0	6.7
D. Sow	87	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	6.3
N. Gudelj	82	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.2
Andrés Castrín	71	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
S. Idumbo-Muzambo	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
C. Ejuke sub	45	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.7
A. Januzaj sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Isaac sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Marcão sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Athletic Club v Sevilla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Athletic ClubLWWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

SevillaDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Athletic Club 3 · 2 draws · Sevilla 1 · 1.67 goals/game

2025-03-16 Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club
2024-09-29 Athletic Club 1–1 Sevilla
2024-05-19 Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla
2024-01-04 Sevilla 0–2 Athletic Club
2023-04-27 Athletic Club 0–1 Sevilla
2022-10-08 Sevilla 1–1 Athletic Club

League standing · 2025/26

Athletic Club#12 pos45 pts38 pl-15 GD

Sevilla#13 pos43 pts38 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

Athletic Club scored1.13

Sevilla scored1.21

Athletic Club conceded1.53

Sevilla conceded1.58

Shot map and expected goals

Athletic Club 2.68 xG from 14 shots, Sevilla 0.91 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Athletic Club (attacking right)Sevilla (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Athletic Club	14	3	2.68
Sevilla	12	2	0.91

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Athletic Club v Sevilla?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Sevilla was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Sevilla?: In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 3, Sevilla won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Sevilla?: Recent form — Athletic Club 3W 0D 2L; Sevilla 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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