Athletic Club v Sevilla result

Full-time · Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla

La Liga · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:00 BST · San Mamés Barria

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 02:01 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Athletic Club · Sevilla · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla — Sevilla won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Athletic Club: 1.51 to 0.97 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 69th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Sevilla won 3–1 at San Mamés Barria in La Liga on Saturday 22 August.

The goals

Sevilla led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sevilla: Oso (15’), Chidera Ejuke (50’, assisted by Isaac) and Isaac (57’, assisted by Oso); Athletic Club: Aitor Paredes (70’, assisted by Yeray). Yuri (11’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oso’s goal on 15 minutes.

Discipline

C. Soto Grado showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Athletic Club: Gorka Guruzeta (25’) and Ruíz de Galarreta (86’); Sevilla: Peque Fernández (22’), M. Sierra (25’), Jon Guridi (39’), Isaac (90’) and N. Guillen (90+3’).

What it changes

Athletic Club are 17th after this result (one league match played).

Sevilla move up from second to first (two league matches played).

Athletic Club are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Oso (Sevilla) 11.2, Isaac (Sevilla) 8.3 and Aitor Paredes (Athletic Club) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Athletic Club or Sevilla (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Athletic Club next host Espanyol on 20 November 2026.

Sevilla next host Real Betis on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Athletic Club: Athletic Club v Espanyol, Friday 20 November — the preview. Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla · La Liga
Venue: San Mamés Barria · Bilbao
Referee: C. Soto Grado
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 4 · draws 1 · Sevilla 1 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Athletic Club 1W 1D 3L · Sevilla 3W 0D 2L

Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

7.38 / 3.63

Corners

against 3.63 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 3

Cards

against 2 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.54 yellows

Referee · C. Soto Grado

21.23 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 13 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Athletic Club for / against	Line	Sevilla for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.25 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.63 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Soto Grado — 4.54 yellow cards a game, 0.54 red cards, 21.23 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Vlachodimos	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	1.9 3/2

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Sangante	1	9090 min	11 /90	33 /90	00 /90	55 /90	11 /90	00 /90
G. Suazo	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90	88 /90	44 /90	11 /90
Juan Iglesias	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90	66 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Kike Salas	1	8888 min	33.1 /90	11 /90	00 /90	77.2 /90	11 /90	00 /90
L. Agoumé	1	9090 min	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90	88 /90	33 /90	11 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Agoumé n 8	78.8	2.1 6/4	1 4/2	—
G. Suazo n 8	77.6	1.9 6/4	1 6/1	—
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Kike Salas n 8	89.8	0.8 5/1	1.3 7/2	—
Oso n 8	77	0.7 4/1	1 5/2	—
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 8	78.8	3.9 8/7
G. Suazo n 8	77.6	3.3 8/5
Kike Salas n 8	89.8	2.8 7/7
Oso n 8	77	1.8 6/4
Peque Fernández n 8	47.4	1.7 4/3
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Isaac	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Peque Fernández	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90
Robbie Ure	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90
Jon Guridi	1	8282 min	11.1 /90	00 /90	22.2 /90	22.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Oso	1	7878 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
G. Suazo n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Kike Salas n 8	89.8	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
Oso n 8	77	1 5/2	0.6 3/1
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Agoumé n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Suazo n 8	77.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Kike Salas n 8	89.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Oso n 8	77	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Athletic Club		Sevilla
65%	Possession	35%
1.25	Expected goals (xG)	0.41
18	Shots	7
8	Shots on target	4
7	Shots off target	2
3	Blocked shots	1
11	Shots inside the box	4
10	Corners	3
0	Offsides	3
11	Fouls	16
2	Yellow cards	5
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	6
517	Passes	285
82%	Pass accuracy	73%

Athletic Club Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Unai Simón	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.3
Yeray	90	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	6.6
Peio Canales	90	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	6.9
Oihan Sancet	90	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	6.7
Álex Berenguer	90	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	6.3
Beñat Gerenabarrena	83	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6.3
Aitor Paredes	74	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.3
Jesús Areso	58	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	5.7
I. Williams	58	0	0	2	2	2	1	0	6.7
Gorka Guruzeta	58	0	0	2	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Yuri	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	R	3
Aymeric Laporte sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.5
Nico Williams sub	32	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Maroan Sannadi sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Hugo Rincón sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Ruíz de Galarreta sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5

Sevilla Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Vlachodimos	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Juan Iglesias	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.9
Andrés Castrín	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
G. Suazo	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
L. Agoumé	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.3
Robbie Ure	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.6
Oso	78	1	1	2	1	1	3	0	8.2
A. Sangante	68	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Jon Guridi	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
M. Sierra	45	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	7.2
Peque Fernández	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
N. Guillen sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
Isaac sub	45	1	1	1	1	1	1	Y	8.2
C. Ejuke sub	45	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.7
José Ángel Carmona sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Julio Díaz sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Athletic Club v Sevilla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Athletic ClubWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

SevillaWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Athletic Club 4 · 1 draw · Sevilla 1 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-01-24 Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Club
2025-08-17 Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla
2025-03-16 Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club
2024-09-29 Athletic Club 1–1 Sevilla
2024-05-19 Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla
2024-01-04 Sevilla 0–2 Athletic Club

League standing · 2026/27

Athletic Club#7 pos16 pts11 pl+4 GD

Sevilla#6 pos18 pts12 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Athletic Club scored1.36

Sevilla scored1.42

Athletic Club conceded1

Sevilla conceded1.58

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.51 xG from 18 shots, Sevilla 0.97 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Athletic Club (attacking right)Sevilla (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Athletic Club	18	1	1.51
Sevilla	7	3	0.97

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Athletic Club 0.40, Sevilla 0.53. At full time, Athletic Club led on xG, 1.51 to 0.97. The widest gap was 0.54 xG to Athletic Club, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Athletic Club 1.51 xGSevilla 0.97 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Athletic Club v Sevilla?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Sevilla was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Sevilla?: In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 4, Sevilla won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Sevilla?: Recent form — Athletic Club 1W 1D 3L; Sevilla 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 02:01 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.