Athletic ClubVillarreal

Athletic Club v Villarreal result

Full-time · Athletic Club 1–2 Villarreal

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Athletic Club · Villarreal · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Athletic Club 1–2 Villarreal — Villarreal won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5270 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,041 of 2,727 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Athletic Club 1.32, Villarreal 1.55 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Villarreal won 2–1 at Athletic Club in La Liga on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

Villarreal led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Villarreal: Sergi Cardona (26’, assisted by Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi) and Alfon González (45’); Athletic Club: Gorka Guruzeta (84’, assisted by Yuri).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sergi Cardona’s goal on 26 minutes.

Discipline

J. Guzman showed five yellow cards — against 6.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Athletic Club: Gorka Guruzeta (90+1’) and Gorosabel (90+1’); Villarreal: Pau Navarro (19’), Santi Comesaña (75’) and Tajon Buchanan (77’).

What it changes

Athletic Club move down from 10th to 11th (shared) (31 league matches played). Athletic Club have scored 43 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Athletic Club have conceded 58 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Villarreal stay third after this result (31 league matches played). Villarreal have scored 72 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Villarreal have conceded 46 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sergi Cardona (Villarreal) 9.3, S. Mouriño (Villarreal) 5.6 and Pape Gueye (Villarreal) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Athletic Club or Villarreal (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4101 of 5270).

Next up

Athletic Club next host Espanyol on 22 November 2026.

Villarreal next travel to Barcelona on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Athletic Club: Athletic Club v Espanyol, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Villarreal: Barcelona v Villarreal, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Athletic Club 1–2 Villarreal · La Liga
  • Referee: J. Guzman
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Athletic Club 2 · draws 2 · Villarreal 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Athletic Club 1W 0D 4L · Villarreal 2W 1D 2L

Athletic Club 1–2 Villarreal (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.38
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.38 yellows
Referee · J. Guzman
23.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAthletic Club for / againstLineVillarreal for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.88 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: J. Guzman — 6.38 yellow cards a game, 0.75 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Athletic Club

Athletic Club Goalkeeper

Athletic Club — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Unai Simón39903510 min1102.8 /90621.6 /9010 /90
Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 890
2.15/2

Athletic Club Defensive

Athletic Club — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dani Vivian33872863 min662.1 /90381.2 /90160.5 /901213.8 /90481.5 /9090.3 /90
Yuri32822618 min431.5 /90351.2 /9060.2 /901434.9 /90270.9 /9040.1 /90
Jesús Areso28631769 min392 /90211.1 /9090.5 /90914.6 /90251.3 /9050.3 /90
Aitor Paredes25892227 min381.5 /90421.7 /9090.4 /90963.9 /90371.5 /9090.4 /90
Aymeric Laporte24811954 min251.2 /90200.9 /90150.7 /90974.5 /9080.4 /9030.1 /90
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Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mikel Jauregizar n 868.1
1.55/3
1.25/2
Santi Comesaña
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Gorka Guruzeta n 865.6
1.95/3
0.52/1
—
Ruíz de Galarreta n 860
2.35/4
2.16/3
T. Buchanan
Dani Vivian n 890
1.67/4
0.65/0
—
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Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mikel Jauregizar n 868.1
1.85/3
Gorka Guruzeta n 865.6
0.53/0
Ruíz de Galarreta n 860
2.17/4
Dani Vivian n 890
2.98/7
Álex Berenguer n 875.4
1.34/3
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Athletic Club Attacking

Athletic Club — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gorka Guruzeta37662435 min110.4 /9010 /90572.1 /90311.1 /90271 /90100.4 /90
Nico Serrano1143472 min20.4 /9000 /90132.5 /9081.5 /90101.9 /90112.1 /90
Maroan Sannadi1035353 min10.3 /9000 /9071.8 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Urko Izeta345134 min00 /9000 /9032 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
A. Hierro22550 min00 /9000 /9023.6 /9011.8 /9011.8 /9011.8 /90
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Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mikel Jauregizar n 868.1
0.73/1
0.52/1
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 865.6
1.53/2
1.23/2
Ruíz de Galarreta n 860
0.21/0
00/0
Dani Vivian n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mikel Jauregizar n 868.1
0.21/0
00/0
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 865.6
0.31/1
00/0
Ruíz de Galarreta n 860
00/0
00/0
Dani Vivian n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Villarreal

Villarreal Goalkeeper

Villarreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luíz Júnior32902880 min792.5 /90401.3 /9020.1 /90
Arnau Tenas790630 min182.6 /90152.1 /9000 /90
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 890
2.66/4
Arnau Tenas n 790
2.65/4

Villarreal Defensive

Villarreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Renato Veiga33812676 min230.8 /90291 /90321.1 /90782.6 /90250.8 /9050.2 /90
S. Mouriño29852479 min1154.2 /90321.2 /9080.3 /902057.4 /90582.1 /90130.5 /90
Sergi Cardona28752087 min472 /90341.5 /9080.3 /90924 /90271.2 /9040.2 /90
Pedraza27621665 min412.2 /90261.4 /9060.3 /90874.7 /90251.4 /9080.4 /90
Rafa Marín25862140 min391.6 /90291.2 /90170.7 /90964 /90180.8 /9040.2 /90
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Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Santi Comesaña n 877.8
1.46/4
0.64/0
Mikel Jauregizar
N. Pépé n 885.9
0.83/2
26/5
—
Alberto Moleiro n 868.1
1.77/2
14/2
—
G. Mikautadze n 880.8
0.11/0
2.17/4
—
T. Buchanan n 841.5
1.13/1
1.13/1
Ruíz de Galarreta
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Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Santi Comesaña n 877.8
1.66/4
N. Pépé n 885.9
0.32/0
Alberto Moleiro n 868.1
1.75/3
G. Mikautadze n 880.8
0.64/0
T. Buchanan n 841.5
0.31/0
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Villarreal Attacking

Villarreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Pépé38702641 min50.2 /9050.2 /90501.7 /90250.9 /90652.2 /90622.1 /90
G. Mikautadze34662237 min110.4 /9050.2 /90522.1 /90301.2 /90251 /90341.4 /90
Ayoze Pérez24511214 min30.2 /9040.3 /90201.5 /9090.7 /90181.3 /90181.3 /90
T. Oluwaseyi22501092 min70.6 /9010.1 /90262.1 /90161.3 /9070.6 /9080.7 /90
Gerard Moreno1855995 min80.7 /9000 /90232.1 /90131.2 /90201.8 /90111 /90
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Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Santi Comesaña n 877.8
0.42/1
0.42/1
N. Pépé n 885.9
1.65/4
0.95/2
Alberto Moleiro n 868.1
1.35/3
0.32/0
G. Mikautadze n 880.8
2.16/5
1.35/3
T. Buchanan n 841.5
1.13/1
0.31/0
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Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Santi Comesaña n 877.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
N. Pépé n 885.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Alberto Moleiro n 868.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Mikautadze n 880.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Buchanan n 841.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Athletic ClubVillarreal
61%Possession39%
1.20Expected goals (xG)1.29
18Shots12
6Shots on target6
4Shots off target3
8Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box10
15Corners3
1Offsides3
15Fouls8
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves5
557Passes377
86%Pass accuracy76%

Athletic Club Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Unai Simón9000000006.2
Dani Vivian9000001107.5
Aymeric Laporte9000110206.5
Yuri9001101107.5
Mikel Jauregizar9000111307
Gorka Guruzeta90102210Y7
I. Williams8200001006.5
Ruíz de Galarreta6600002106.7
Oihan Sancet6600100106.2
Nico Williams6600202106.9
Lekue4500000105.9
Gorosabel sub45000011Y7
Alejandro Rego sub2400000006.9
Álex Berenguer sub2400000206.6
Robert Navarro sub2400110006.3
Nico Serrano sub800110006.9

Villarreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Luíz Júnior9000000008.3
S. Mouriño9000000507.5
Renato Veiga9000000107.2
Sergi Cardona9010112608.5
Santi Comesaña90000021Y6.9
Gerard Moreno9000111207.7
P. Gueye8200111307.5
T. Buchanan78001101Y6.9
Alfon González6910211007.2
T. Oluwaseyi6901001006.6
Pau Navarro45000000Y6.5
Rafa Marín sub4500000107.2
N. Pépé sub2100110106.7
G. Mikautadze sub2100101006.5
Alberto Moleiro sub1200100006.5
Dani Parejo sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Athletic Club v Villarreal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Athletic ClubLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
VillarrealLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Athletic Club 2 · 2 draws · Villarreal 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-09-27 Villarreal 1–0 Athletic Club
  • 2025-04-06 Villarreal 0–0 Athletic Club
  • 2024-12-08 Athletic Club 2–0 Villarreal
  • 2024-04-14 Athletic Club 1–1 Villarreal
  • 2023-11-05 Villarreal 2–3 Athletic Club
  • 2023-05-13 Villarreal 5–1 Athletic Club
League standing · 2025/26
Athletic Club#12 pos45 pts38 pl-15 GD
Villarreal#3 pos72 pts38 pl+26 GD
Goals per game
Athletic Club scored1.13
Villarreal scored1.89
Athletic Club conceded1.53
Villarreal conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Athletic Club 1.32 xG from 18 shots, Villarreal 1.55 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Alberto Moleiro 93' · 0.12 xGAlfon 58' · 0.12 xGPape Alassane Gueye 70' · 0.11 xGTajon Buchanan 49' · 0.11 xGAlfon 2' · 0.11 xGNico Williams 45' · 0.11 xGAymeric Laporte 62' · 0.08 xGNicolas Pepe 81' · 0.08 xGNicolás Serrano 82' · 0.07 xGInigo Ruiz de Galarreta 60' · 0.06 xGNico Williams 45' · 0.06 xGTajon Buchanan 10' · 0.05 xGIñaki Williams 59' · 0.05 xGGorka Guruzeta 48' · 0.04 xGMikel Jauregizar 37' · 0.04 xGOihan Sancet 60' · 0.03 xGInigo Ruiz de Galarreta 60' · 0.03 xGPape Alassane Gueye 10' · 0.03 xGRoberto Navarro 75' · 0.02 xGGorka Guruzeta 48' · 0.02 xGYuri 16' · 0.02 xGNico Williams 47' · 0.02 xGYuri 37' · 0.02 xGNicolás Serrano 83' · 0.02 xGGerard Moreno 29' · 0.02 xGAlejandro Rego 73' · 0.02 xGGeorges Mikautadze 78' · 0.01 xGGorka Guruzeta 83' · 0.62 xG · goalAlfon 49' · 0.53 xG · goalSergi Cardona 25' · 0.27 xG · goal
Athletic Club (attacking right)Villarreal (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Athletic Club1811.32
Villarreal1221.55

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Athletic Club 0.24, Villarreal 0.47. At full time, xG was level: Athletic Club 1.32, Villarreal 1.55. The widest gap was 0.91 xG to Villarreal, in the 58th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Villarreal 25 minGoal - Villarreal 49 minGoal - Athletic Club 83 min
Athletic Club 1.32 xGVillarreal 1.55 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Athletic Club v Villarreal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Athletic Club v Villarreal was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Villarreal?
In their last 6 meetings, Athletic Club won 2, Villarreal won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Athletic Club and Villarreal?
Recent form — Athletic Club 1W 0D 4L; Villarreal 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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