Atletico MadridElche

Atletico Madrid v Elche result

Full-time · Atletico Madrid 1–1 Elche

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico Madrid 1–1 Elche — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Atletico Madrid: 1.68 to 0.31 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Atletico Madrid and Elche drew 1–1 in La Liga on Saturday 23 August. Elche have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Alexander Sørloth (8’, assisted by Dávid Hancko); Elche: Rafa Mir (15’, assisted by Á. Rodríguez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rafa Mir’s goal on 15 minutes.

Discipline

César Soto Grado, Spain showed three yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Aleix Febas (29’), Rodrigo Mendoza (45’) and M. Dituro (90’).

What it changes

Atletico Madrid have scored 62 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Atletico Madrid have conceded 44 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Elche have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Elche have conceded 57 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Elche are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexander Sørloth (Atletico Madrid) 6.8, Bigas (Elche) 6.5 and Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Atletico Madrid next host Barcelona on 8 November 2026.

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atletico Madrid 1–1 Elche · La Liga
  • Referee: César Soto Grado, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico Madrid 5 · draws 0 · Elche 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atletico Madrid 3W 0D 2L · Elche 2W 1D 2L

Atletico Madrid 1–1 Elche (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico MadridElche
58%Possession42%
1.74Expected goals (xG)0.57
13Shots6
6Shots on target2
4Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box5
10Corners2
3Offsides0
14Fouls7
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves5
545Passes413
85%Pass accuracy81%

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jan Oblak9000000006.5
Marcos Llorente9000100407.5
Robin Le Normand9000000106.6
Dávid Hancko9001111207
Pablo Barrios9000001307.5
Julián Alvarez9000002006.3
Matteo Ruggeri7500000306.7
Giuliano Simeone7500102106.2
Johnny Cardoso6800000307.3
Thiago Almada6800002006.3
Alexander Sørloth6810221008.5
C. Gallagher sub2300100206.5
G. Raspadori sub2300210006.5
Antoine Griezmann sub2300220006.9
Javi Galán sub1600001006.3
Nahuel Molina sub1500001106.9

Elche Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dituro90000000Y7.3
D. Affengruber9000000207.2
Álvaro Núñez9000002106.9
Aleix Febas90000000Y6.2
Germán Valera9000002307.5
Á. Rodríguez9001001106.5
Marc Aguado8500000306.9
Bigas8200111607
Rodrigo Mendoza68001001Y6.2
Rafa Mir6710210007.5
John Nwankwo4500000006.5
Víctor Chust sub4500100106.9
André Silva sub2400000106.3
Martim Neto sub2300000006.6
F. Redondo sub1300000006.6
L. Pétrot sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atletico Madrid v Elche — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atletico MadridWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ElcheLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atletico Madrid 5 · 0 draws · Elche 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-01-15 Elche 0–4 Atletico Madrid
  • 2023-05-14 Elche 1–0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2022-12-29 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Elche
  • 2022-05-11 Elche 0–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2021-08-22 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Elche
  • 2021-05-01 Elche 0–1 Atletico Madrid
League standing · 2025/26
Atletico Madrid#4 pos69 pts38 pl+18 GD
Elche#15 pos43 pts38 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Atletico Madrid scored1.63
Elche scored1.29
Atletico Madrid conceded1.16
Elche conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 1.68 xG from 13 shots, Elche 0.31 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Marcos Llorente 80' · 0.54 xGAlexander Sørloth 13' · 0.37 xGAlexander Sørloth 58' · 0.10 xGGiacomo Raspadori 96' · 0.09 xGVictor Chust 48' · 0.09 xGGiuliano Simeone 25' · 0.07 xGGiacomo Raspadori 90' · 0.06 xGAlvaro Rodríguez 12' · 0.05 xGAntoine Griezmann 87' · 0.05 xGDavid Hancko 59' · 0.05 xGPablo Barrios Rivas 61' · 0.03 xGRodrigo Mendoza 6' · 0.03 xGRafa Mir 10' · 0.03 xGPedro Bigas 51' · 0.03 xGPablo Barrios Rivas 48' · 0.02 xGAntoine Griezmann 70' · 0.02 xGConor Gallagher 78' · 0.01 xGAlexander Sørloth 7' · 0.28 xG · goalRafa Mir 14' · 0.09 xG · goal
Atletico Madrid (attacking right)Elche (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Atletico Madrid1311.68
Elche610.31

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Atletico Madrid led on xG, 0.72 to 0.20. At full time, Atletico Madrid led on xG, 1.68 to 0.31. The widest gap was 1.37 xG to Atletico Madrid, in the 96th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Atletico Madrid 7 minGoal - Elche 14 min
Atletico Madrid 1.68 xGElche 0.31 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico Madrid v Elche?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Madrid v Elche was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Elche?
In their last 6 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 5, Elche won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico Madrid and Elche?
Recent form — Atletico Madrid 3W 0D 2L; Elche 2W 1D 2L.

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