Celta VigoAthletic Club

Celta Vigo v Athletic Club result

Full-time · Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club

La Liga · · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club — Athletic Club won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.73 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Athletic Club: 3.13 to 1.20 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 16th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Athletic Club won 2–0 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga on Sunday 30 August.

The goals

Athletic Club led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Athletic Club: Álex Berenguer (20’, assisted by Iñaki Williams) and Robert Navarro (22’, assisted by Ruíz de Galarreta).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Álex Berenguer’s goal on 20 minutes.

Discipline

M. Busquets showed three yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Athletic Club: Yuri (48’), Robert Navarro (61’) and Beñat Gerenabarrena (71’).

What it changes

Celta Vigo move down from 14th to 17th (shared) (three league matches played).

Athletic Club move up from 19th to 12th (three league matches played).

Celta Vigo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Álex Berenguer (Athletic Club) 7.4, Carl Starfelt (Celta Vigo) 4.7 and Ruíz de Galarreta (Athletic Club) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Celta Vigo next travel to Salamanca UDS on 13 November 2026.

Athletic Club next host Espanyol on 20 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celta Vigo: Salamanca UDS v Celta Vigo, Friday 13 November — the preview. Next for Athletic Club: Athletic Club v Espanyol, Friday 20 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · Vigo
  • Referee: M. Busquets
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 2 · draws 1 · Athletic Club 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L · Athletic Club 0W 1D 4L

Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3 / 6.75
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.88 yellows
Referee · M. Busquets
23.25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineAthletic Club for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
6.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: M. Busquets — 4.88 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23.25 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Radu290180 min42 /9021 /9000 /90
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.28/4

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Javi Rodríguez290180 min21 /9031.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Yoel Lago290180 min21 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9042 /9042 /9000 /90
Marcos Alonso271141 min21.3 /9063.8 /9010.6 /9074.5 /9021.3 /9000 /90
Sergio Carreira258115 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9064.7 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
C. Starfelt13838 min12.4 /9000 /9000 /90511.8 /9012.4 /9000 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yoel Lago n 890
1.55/4
1.36/2
—
Javi Rodríguez n 890
0.84/2
17/1
—
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.32/0
0.43/0
—
I. Radu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Marcos Alonso n 883.4
0.85/1
0.84/2
—
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yoel Lago n 890
1.67/4
Javi Rodríguez n 890
15/2
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.42/1
Marcos Alonso n 883.4
1.34/3
Javi Galán n 878
37/7
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pablo Durán253105 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9032.6 /90
W. Swedberg24998 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
J. El Abdellaoui24589 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
Iago Aspas23978 min11.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
Miguel Román290180 min00 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Javi Rodríguez n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Yoel Lago n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Marcos Alonso n 883.4
0.42/1
00/0
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Miguel Román n 883.6
00/0
0.32/0
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Yoel Lago n 890
00/0
00/0
Javi Rodríguez n 890
00/0
00/0
Marcos Alonso n 883.4
00/0
00/0
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Athletic Club

Athletic Club Goalkeeper

Athletic Club — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Unai Simón290180 min105 /9052.5 /9000 /90
Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 890
2.87/2

Athletic Club Defensive

Athletic Club — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Yeray290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90105 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Aymeric Laporte261122 min32.2 /9021.5 /9021.5 /9064.4 /9010.7 /9000 /90
Hugo Rincón253106 min10.8 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9065.1 /9010.8 /9000 /90
Aitor Paredes17474 min33.6 /9000 /9000 /9078.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Johaneko Louis-Jean17070 min33.9 /9056.4 /9000 /90911.6 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
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Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yeray n 878.8
0.64/0
0.95/1
—
Oihan Sancet n 859.9
0.63/0
1.96/3
—
Peio Canales n 758.6
0.42/0
1.13/1
—
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Gorka Guruzeta n 874
1.77/2
0.84/1
—
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Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Oihan Sancet n 859.9
2.47/4
Peio Canales n 758.6
1.14/1
Yeray n 878.8
0.11/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 874
1.23/2
Aymeric Laporte n 875.3
1.66/4
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Athletic Club Attacking

Athletic Club — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gorka Guruzeta270139 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Álex Berenguer260120 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9043 /9010.8 /90
Oihan Sancet290180 min00 /9000 /9042 /9010.5 /9042 /9063 /90
Peio Canales290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9021 /9042 /9042 /90
I. Williams259118 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9021.5 /9021.5 /9021.5 /90
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Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Oihan Sancet n 859.9
1.35/2
0.42/0
Peio Canales n 758.6
0.93/1
0.41/1
Yeray n 878.8
0.63/1
00/0
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 874
2.77/6
0.94/2
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Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oihan Sancet n 859.9
0.21/0
00/0
Yeray n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Peio Canales n 758.6
00/0
00/0
Gorka Guruzeta n 874
0.32/0
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Celta VigoAthletic Club
54%Possession46%
0.75Expected goals (xG)2.78
8Shots17
2Shots on target7
5Shots off target9
1Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box12
4Corners7
3Offsides0
8Fouls17
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves2
574Passes489
88%Pass accuracy87%

Celta Vigo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Radu9000000008.3
C. Starfelt9000100406.6
Álvaro Núñez9000001207
Aleix Febas9000000406.2
Sergio Carreira9000101006.5
Ferran Jutglà9000101006.6
W. Swedberg5700220006.7
Javi Rodríguez4500000106.2
A. Faye4500000106.2
I. Moriba4500000006.5
Hugo González4500001106.6
Yoel Lago sub4500000107.3
Miguel Román sub4500002107.3
Javi Rueda sub4500100207.2
Iago Aspas sub4500101006.9
Hugo Álvarez sub3300000006.3

Athletic Club Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Unai Simón9000000007.6
Aitor Paredes9000000107.3
Aymeric Laporte9000200107
Yuri90002031Y7.2
Beñat Gerenabarrena90000003Y7.2
Álex Berenguer9010214108.3
Jesús Areso8600002007
Robert Navarro74102200Y7.9
Ruíz de Galarreta6501103107.3
Oihan Sancet6500320006.3
I. Williams6501221006.7
Mikel Jauregizar sub2500000106.7
Peio Canales sub2500000006.7
Gorka Guruzeta sub2500001006.2
Nico Williams sub1600200206.3
Johaneko Louis-Jean sub40000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Athletic Club — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Athletic ClubLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 2 · 1 draw · Athletic Club 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-12-14 Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Club
  • 2025-01-19 Celta Vigo 1–2 Athletic Club
  • 2024-09-22 Athletic Club 3–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-05-15 Celta Vigo 2–1 Athletic Club
  • 2023-11-10 Athletic Club 4–3 Celta Vigo
League standing · 2026/27
Celta Vigo#11 pos13 pts12 pl0 GD
Athletic Club#7 pos16 pts11 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored0.83
Athletic Club scored1.36
Celta Vigo conceded0.83
Athletic Club conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.20 xG from 8 shots, Athletic Club 3.13 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Iñaki Williams 34' · 0.54 xGAymeric Laporte 17' · 0.52 xGOihan Sancet 16' · 0.47 xGNico Williams 88' · 0.45 xGWilliot Swedberg 10' · 0.43 xGCarl Starfelt 58' · 0.37 xGWilliot Swedberg 52' · 0.24 xGRoberto Navarro 41' · 0.09 xGOihan Sancet 55' · 0.09 xGNico Williams 80' · 0.09 xGAymeric Laporte 27' · 0.08 xGSergio Carreira 62' · 0.06 xGOihan Sancet 14' · 0.06 xGIñaki Williams 61' · 0.06 xGWilliot Swedberg 53' · 0.05 xGInigo Ruiz de Galarreta 6' · 0.04 xGYuri 88' · 0.03 xGAlex Berenguer 25' · 0.03 xGFerrán Jutglà 36' · 0.03 xGYuri 17' · 0.02 xGYuri 29' · 0.02 xGIago Aspas 73' · 0.01 xGJavier Rueda 63' · 0.01 xGRoberto Navarro 21' · 0.48 xG · goalAlex Berenguer 19' · 0.07 xG · goal
Celta Vigo (attacking right)Athletic Club (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Celta Vigo801.20
Athletic Club1723.13

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Athletic Club led on xG, 2.41 to 0.46. At full time, Athletic Club led on xG, 3.13 to 1.20. The widest gap was 1.95 xG to Athletic Club, in the 41st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.11.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Athletic Club 19 minGoal - Athletic Club 21 min
Celta Vigo 1.20 xGAthletic Club 3.13 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celta Vigo v Athletic Club?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Athletic Club was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Athletic Club?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, Athletic Club won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Athletic Club?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L; Athletic Club 0W 1D 4L.

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