Celta VigoElche

Celta Vigo v Elche result

Full-time · Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche

La Liga · · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Elche · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche — Celta Vigo won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Celta Vigo: 1.44 to 1.65 in expected goals, 0.74 of Elche’s from a penalty, from 6 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 69th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Celta Vigo beat Elche 3–1 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga on Sunday 3 May.

The goals

Celta Vigo led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Celta Vigo: Hugo Álvarez (14’, assisted by Javi Rueda), Iago Aspas (30’, assisted by Ferran Jutglà) and Borja Iglesias (85’, assisted by Williot Swedberg); Elche: André Silva (82’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hugo Álvarez’s goal on 14 minutes.

Discipline

R. De Burgos showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Celta Vigo: Javi Rueda (41’) and Yoel Lago (83’); Elche: Gonzalo Villar (28’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, André Silva (Elche) 7.8, Iago Aspas (Celta Vigo) 5.6 and Hugo Álvarez (Celta Vigo) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Celta Vigo or Elche (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Celta Vigo next host Levante on 8 November 2026.

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo v Levante, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · Vigo
  • Referee: R. De Burgos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 4 · draws 0 · Elche 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 0W 0D 5L · Elche 4W 0D 1L

Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.38 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.56 yellows
Referee · R. De Burgos
23.56 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineElche for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: R. De Burgos — 3.56 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 23.56 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Radu45904056 min1192.6 /90591.3 /9020 /90
Iván Villar290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
2.37/2

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Marcos Alonso39873405 min541.4 /90350.9 /90190.5 /901504 /90300.8 /9070.2 /90
Javi Rodríguez38803049 min511.5 /90260.8 /90160.5 /901253.7 /90451.3 /9060.2 /90
C. Starfelt29812352 min291.1 /90281.1 /90220.8 /90873.3 /90281.1 /9040.2 /90
Manu Fernández1374962 min171.6 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90343.2 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90
J. Aidoo1077774 min80.9 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90232.7 /9050.6 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Radu n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
I. Moriba n 871.5
1.46/2
27/4
Aleix Febas
Borja Iglesias n 845.1
24/3
2.25/3
—
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
1.58/4
15/3
—
Óscar Mingueza n 869.9
1.14/3
1.15/2
—
See more players · Pro
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 871.5
3.57/5
Borja Iglesias n 845.1
0.21/0
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
2.26/4
Óscar Mingueza n 869.9
1.34/2
Sergio Carreira n 877.6
0.73/2
See more players · Pro

Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Borja Iglesias42562369 min140.5 /9030.1 /90491.9 /90311.2 /90220.8 /90140.5 /90
Ferran Jutglà35541888 min80.4 /9020.1 /90442.1 /90241.1 /90180.9 /90211 /90
Pablo Durán32521655 min50.3 /9020.1 /90281.5 /90181 /90130.7 /9080.4 /90
W. Swedberg32491574 min90.5 /9050.3 /90231.3 /90201.1 /90150.9 /90110.6 /90
Iago Aspas32491573 min70.4 /9030.2 /90301.7 /90201.1 /90472.7 /90160.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Moriba n 871.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Borja Iglesias n 845.1
0.72/1
0.21/0
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
0.31/1
00/0
Óscar Mingueza n 869.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Moriba n 871.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Borja Iglesias n 845.1
0.21/0
00/0
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
00/0
00/0
Óscar Mingueza n 869.9
00/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Elche

Elche Goalkeeper

Elche — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dituro19901710 min542.8 /90241.3 /9010.1 /90
Iñaki Peña16901440 min553.4 /90281.8 /9000 /90
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
3.27/4
Iñaki Peña n 890
3.86/5

Elche Defensive

Elche — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Affengruber32822625 min662.3 /90471.6 /90210.7 /901645.6 /90301 /9060.2 /90
Víctor Chust24791903 min572.7 /90200.9 /90160.8 /90964.5 /90331.6 /9080.4 /90
L. Pétrot24691663 min442.4 /90181 /90170.9 /90945.1 /90170.9 /9010.1 /90
Bigas23741700 min301.6 /90261.4 /90170.9 /90864.6 /90201.1 /9050.3 /90
Adrià Pedrosa20551108 min383.1 /90151.2 /9010.1 /90594.8 /90221.8 /9050.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleix Febas n 885.6
1.16/2
3.48/7
I. Moriba
Germán Valera n 879.1
1.15/2
1.36/2
—
D. Affengruber n 888
0.96/1
1.47/4
—
Marc Aguado n 872.4
1.25/2
1.14/2
—
Á. Rodríguez n 860.9
1.13/2
1.35/2
—
See more players · Pro
Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
3.58/7
Germán Valera n 879.1
1.16/1
D. Affengruber n 888
2.67/5
Marc Aguado n 872.4
1.66/3
Á. Rodríguez n 860.9
1.15/1
See more players · Pro

Elche Attacking

Elche — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Á. Rodríguez29671932 min40.2 /9050.2 /90512.4 /90170.8 /90281.3 /90341.6 /90
Rafa Mir26691804 min80.4 /9000 /90623.1 /90361.8 /9090.4 /9050.2 /90
André Silva22681499 min80.5 /9000 /90321.9 /90211.3 /90191.1 /90140.8 /90
L. Cepeda848380 min10.2 /9000 /9092.1 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9051.2 /90
Adam Boayar543213 min20.8 /9000 /9073 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9031.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
0.11/0
00/0
Germán Valera n 879.1
0.95/1
0.11/0
D. Affengruber n 888
0.64/1
0.43/0
Marc Aguado n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Á. Rodríguez n 860.9
1.74/2
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
00/0
0.11/0
Germán Valera n 879.1
00/0
0.11/0
D. Affengruber n 888
0.11/0
0.11/0
Marc Aguado n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Á. Rodríguez n 860.9
00/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Celta VigoElche
33%Possession67%
1.05Expected goals (xG)1.71
6Shots15
4Shots on target4
1Shots off target8
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box11
4Corners2
0Offsides1
14Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
306Passes594
75%Pass accuracy90%

Celta Vigo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Radu9000000006.9
Javi Rodríguez9000101306.7
Yoel Lago90000002Y6.9
Fer López9000002406.9
I. Moriba9000000306.9
Sergio Carreira9000000207
Álvaro Núñez7800000106.7
Hugo Álvarez7110110107.9
Ferran Jutglà7101111107.7
Iago Aspas6310110207.7
Javi Rueda45010010Y7.3
Manu Fernández sub4500000006
J. El Abdellaoui sub2700000006.5
W. Swedberg sub1901001206.9
Borja Iglesias sub1910110007.7
Óscar Mingueza sub1200000106.2

Elche Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dituro9000000006.9
John Nwankwo9000101306.5
Bigas9000002106.6
Aleix Febas9000002207
Á. Rodríguez9000200106.6
André Silva9010330007.2
Marc Aguado7700111106.7
Tete Morente6900102006.5
Adrià Pedrosa6900001106.3
D. Affengruber5800100205.9
Gonzalo Villar58000000Y7.3
Víctor Chust sub3200101006.2
Martim Neto sub3200000106.3
Héctor Fort sub2100100006.2
Josan sub2100000106.7
L. Cepeda sub1300100006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Elche — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
ElcheWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 4 · 0 draws · Elche 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-09-28 Elche 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2023-04-26 Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
  • 2023-01-06 Elche 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2022-05-15 Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
  • 2021-10-03 Elche 1–0 Celta Vigo
  • 2021-02-12 Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche
League standing · 2025/26
Celta Vigo#6 pos54 pts38 pl+5 GD
Elche#15 pos43 pts38 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored1.39
Elche scored1.29
Celta Vigo conceded1.26
Elche conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.44 xG from 6 shots, Elche 1.65 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ferrán Jutglà 69' · 0.48 xGJohn Donald 36' · 0.30 xGMarc Aguado 4' · 0.09 xGDavid Affengruber 31' · 0.08 xGJones El Abdellaoui 89' · 0.06 xGAndré Silva 41' · 0.06 xGTete Morente 52' · 0.06 xGAdrià Pedrosa 59' · 0.05 xGAndré Silva 46' · 0.05 xGAlvaro Rodríguez 61' · 0.05 xGAndré Silva 1' · 0.04 xGAlvaro Rodríguez 34' · 0.04 xGTete Morente 59' · 0.03 xGHector Fort 93' · 0.03 xGJavier Rodríguez 70' · 0.02 xGLucas Cepeda 95' · 0.01 xGVictor Chust 68' · 0.01 xGAndré Silva 81' · 0.74 xG · goalHugo Álvarez 13' · 0.44 xG · goalBorja Iglesias 84' · 0.38 xG · goalIago Aspas 29' · 0.07 xG · goal
Celta Vigo (attacking right)Elche (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Celta Vigo631.44
Elche1511.65

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Celta Vigo 0.51, Elche 0.61. At full time, xG was level: Celta Vigo 1.44, Elche 1.65, including 0.74 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.60 xG to Elche, in the 81st minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Celta Vigo 13 minGoal - Celta Vigo 29 minGoal - Elche 81 minGoal - Celta Vigo 84 min
Celta Vigo 1.44 xGElche 1.65 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celta Vigo v Elche?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Elche was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Elche?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 4, Elche won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Elche?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 0W 0D 5L; Elche 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+