Celta Vigo v Valencia prediction

La Liga · Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 13:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Valencia · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Valencia, La Liga on Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celta Vigo host Valencia in La Liga on Sunday 17 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Valencia are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Celta Vigo have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.00. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of Valencia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Valencia’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Valencia have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50. Valencia have scored seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Valencia have conceded 17 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Celta Vigo (ninth) and Valencia (19th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 145 rating points above Valencia (Celta Vigo 1583, Valencia 1438, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Celta Vigo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Valencia. The most recent meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo.

Team news

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, J. Rodríguez, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, A. Febas, I. Moriba, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, H. Álvarez, P. Durán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ionuț Radu (3.6 per match over 14 appearances) and Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ionuț Radu averages 3.4 saves per 90 over 1440 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Valencia XI (5-4-1): S. Dimitrievski, J. Gayà, P. Maffeo, J. de Haas, C. Tárrega, Pepelu, G. Rodríguez, J. Guerra, F. Ugrinic, L. Rioja, H. Duro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Guido Rodríguez (3.9 per match over seven appearances) and Javi Guerra (3.1 per match over 10 appearances, two assists) have been Valencia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Valencia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Guido Rodríguez averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 583 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last seven appearances. Javi Guerra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 841 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · La Liga
Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 3 · draws 2 · Valencia 1 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L · Valencia 1W 2D 2L

Celta Vigo v Valencia (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88

Goals

against 1 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.13

Corners

against 4 / 5.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 2.75

Cards

against 2 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Celta Vigo for / against	Line	Valencia for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.13 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.63 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Radu	14	901260 min	493.5 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Radu n 8	90	4.1 8/6

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Yoel Lago	12	861035 min	161.4 /90	171.5 /90	90.8 /90	413.6 /90	191.7 /90	40.3 /90
Marcos Alonso	10	86861 min	141.5 /90	151.6 /90	30.3 /90	333.4 /90	101 /90	20.2 /90
Javi Rodríguez	9	85765 min	111.3 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	242.8 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
Álvaro Núñez	5	86431 min	71.5 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	132.7 /90	51 /90	00 /90
S. Cáceres	5	82408 min	102.2 /90	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	235.1 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.9 5/0	1.1 4/2	—
Javi Rueda n 8	74	1.8 7/3	0.8 4/1	—
W. Swedberg n 8	39	2.9 6/3	0.9 2/1	—
Yoel Lago n 8	90	1.6 6/3	1.6 7/5	—
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.8 2/2
Javi Rueda n 8	74	0.5 3/0
W. Swedberg n 8	39	2 3/2
Yoel Lago n 8	90	1.6 5/4
I. Moriba n 8	74.5	3 7/4
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Swedberg	13	43558 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.1 /90	40.6 /90	101.6 /90	30.5 /90
Ferran Jutglà	12	69833 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	192.1 /90	50.5 /90	91 /90	50.5 /90
Hugo Álvarez	12	63760 min	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	131.5 /90	40.5 /90
Iago Aspas	10	36363 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	82 /90	30.7 /90	82 /90	41 /90
Pablo Durán	9	55493 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	112 /90	61.1 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0.8 4/0	0.2 1/0
Javi Rueda n 8	74	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	39	1.2 2/1	0.3 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	59.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Javi Rueda n 8	74	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	39	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Dimitrievski	10	90900 min	333.3 /90	171.7 /90	00 /90

Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	3.5 6/6

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pepelu	10	84838 min	161.7 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90	252.7 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90
Pablo Maffeo	9	65583 min	101.5 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90	335.1 /90	91.4 /90	30.5 /90
José Gayà	8	78625 min	162.3 /90	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	294.2 /90	91.3 /90	10.1 /90
César Tárrega	7	73510 min	111.9 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	274.8 /90	91.6 /90	10.2 /90
J. de Haas	6	76458 min	51 /90	61.2 /90	40.8 /90	173.3 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Pepelu n 8	82.5	1.4 4/3	0.7 3/1	—
Javi Guerra n 8	78.8	1.1 4/3	1 5/2	—
A. Danjuma n 8	76.6	0.6 4/0	1.2 7/1	—
Pablo Maffeo n 8	70.3	1.4 5/3	0.8 5/0	—
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pepelu n 8	82.5	1.9 7/4
Javi Guerra n 8	78.8	1.6 6/3
A. Danjuma n 8	76.6	0.3 1/1
Pablo Maffeo n 8	70.3	1.6 6/2
José Gayà n 8	78.1	2.3 6/4
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Danjuma	10	75751 min	00 /90	00 /90	151.8 /90	60.7 /90	91.1 /90	131.6 /90
Hugo Duro	7	56389 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
David Otorbi	7	47329 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	20.5 /90	61.6 /90	61.6 /90
Luis Rioja	5	48240 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	51.9 /90	20.8 /90
U. Sadiq	3	53158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepelu n 8	82.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Javi Guerra n 8	78.8	1.6 4/4	0.4 2/1
A. Danjuma n 8	76.6	1.6 7/3	0.7 4/1
Pablo Maffeo n 8	70.3	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepelu n 8	82.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Javi Guerra n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
A. Danjuma n 8	76.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pablo Maffeo n 8	70.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Valencia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Celta VigoLWWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

ValenciaWLDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Celta Vigo 3 · 2 draws · Valencia 1 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-08-22 Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo
2026-04-05 Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo
2026-01-03 Celta Vigo 4–1 Valencia
2025-02-02 Valencia 2–1 Celta Vigo
2024-08-23 Celta Vigo 3–1 Valencia
2024-05-26 Celta Vigo 2–2 Valencia

League standing · 2026/27

Celta Vigo#9 pos12 pts10 pl+3 GD

Valencia#19 pos6 pts10 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Celta Vigo scored1

Valencia scored0.7

Celta Vigo conceded0.7

Valencia conceded1.7

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Valencia?: In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 3, Valencia won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Valencia?: Recent form — Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L; Valencia 1W 2D 2L.

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