ElcheAtletico Madrid

Elche v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid

La Liga · · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Elche · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid — Elche won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Elche: 3.63 to 0.85 in expected goals, 0.74 of it from a penalty, from 14 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Elche beat Atletico Madrid 3–2 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga on Wednesday 22 April. Atletico Madrid have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Nicolás González (10’, assisted by Rodrigo Mendoza; 34’, assisted by Robin Le Normand); Elche: David Affengruber (18’, assisted by Tete Morente) and André Silva (33’ pen; 75’, assisted by David Affengruber). Thiago Almada (30’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with André Silva’s goal on 75 minutes.

Discipline

G. Cuadra showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Buba Sangaré (45+4’) and Aleix Febas (45+4’); Atletico Madrid: Clément Lenglet (36’) and Julio Díaz (38’).

What it changes

Atletico Madrid are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicolás González (Atletico Madrid) 12.4, David Affengruber (Elche) 11.0 and André Silva (Elche) 11.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Elche or Atletico Madrid (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Atletico Madrid next host Barcelona on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche
  • Referee: G. Cuadra
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Elche 1 · draws 1 · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Elche 2W 0D 3L · Atletico Madrid 1W 1D 3L

Elche 3–2 Atletico Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4
Corners
against 4.63 / 5.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.13 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 3.43
Cards
against 2.5 / 3.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3 yellows
Referee · G. Cuadra
22.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameElche for / againstLineAtletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.71 against n 7
Shots
11.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.29 for · 15.43 against n 7
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.29 for · 7 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 15.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.29 for · 8.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.43 for · 3.14 against n 7

Referee: G. Cuadra — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 22.67 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Elche

Elche Goalkeeper

Elche — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dituro17901530 min513 /90211.2 /9010.1 /90
Iñaki Peña16901440 min553.4 /90281.8 /9000 /90
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
3.87/5
Iñaki Peña n 890
3.86/5

Elche Defensive

Elche — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Affengruber30822445 min632.3 /90431.6 /90210.8 /901525.6 /90281 /9060.2 /90
Víctor Chust23811873 min562.7 /90201 /90160.8 /90954.6 /90331.6 /9080.4 /90
L. Pétrot23691581 min442.5 /90160.9 /90171 /90885 /90171 /9010.1 /90
Bigas22731610 min281.6 /90251.4 /90160.9 /90794.4 /90201.1 /9050.3 /90
Álvaro Núñez19871652 min241.3 /90160.9 /9060.3 /90643.5 /90120.7 /9020.1 /90
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Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleix Febas n 885.6
0.96/1
3.58/7
—
Germán Valera n 886
0.84/2
2.47/4
—
D. Affengruber n 878.6
0.95/1
1.46/4
—
Marc Aguado n 868.1
1.24/2
1.24/2
—
Á. Rodríguez n 869.3
14/1
15/1
—
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Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
2.96/5
Germán Valera n 886
16/1
D. Affengruber n 878.6
37/6
Marc Aguado n 868.1
1.86/4
Á. Rodríguez n 869.3
15/1
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Elche Attacking

Elche — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Á. Rodríguez27671819 min40.2 /9040.2 /90492.4 /90170.8 /90271.3 /90311.5 /90
Rafa Mir25691737 min80.4 /9000 /90603.1 /90351.8 /9090.5 /9050.3 /90
André Silva20671340 min60.4 /9000 /90281.9 /90171.1 /90181.2 /90140.9 /90
Adam Boayar543213 min20.8 /9000 /9073 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9031.3 /90
M. El Ghezouani22550 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /9000 /90
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Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
00/0
00/0
Germán Valera n 886
0.74/1
0.11/0
D. Affengruber n 878.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
Marc Aguado n 868.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Á. Rodríguez n 869.3
1.95/2
0.53/0
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Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
00/0
0.11/0
Germán Valera n 886
00/0
0.11/0
D. Affengruber n 878.6
00/0
00/0
Marc Aguado n 868.1
0.21/0
00/0
Á. Rodríguez n 869.3
00/0
00/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jan Oblak39903510 min972.5 /90481.2 /9000 /90
Juan Musso14911267 min654.6 /90181.3 /9010.1 /90
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
3.96/6
Juan Musso n 890.9
5.27/7

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dávid Hancko42853580 min701.8 /90421.1 /90210.5 /901533.8 /90190.5 /9020.1 /90
Marcos Llorente42823431 min832.2 /90270.7 /90100.3 /901353.5 /90401 /9080.2 /90
Matteo Ruggeri37762821 min802.6 /90441.4 /9060.2 /901203.8 /90431.4 /9070.2 /90
Robin Le Normand32752393 min431.6 /90220.8 /90130.5 /901345 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
Nahuel Molina32642055 min522.3 /90221 /9040.2 /90833.6 /90160.7 /9040.2 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Giuliano Simeone n 866.5
0.84/1
1.97/3
—
Julián Alvarez n 869.6
1.85/4
0.63/1
—
Koke n 864.9
1.66/2
0.74/0
—
Alexander Sørloth n 848.3
2.16/2
0.72/1
—
Antoine Griezmann n 861.6
0.53/0
1.15/1
—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 866.5
2.97/5
Julián Alvarez n 869.6
2.16/4
Koke n 864.9
2.96/5
Alexander Sørloth n 848.3
0.92/1
Antoine Griezmann n 861.6
1.15/1
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Julián Alvarez48723456 min180.5 /90100.3 /90902.3 /90511.3 /90912.4 /90571.5 /90
Alexander Sørloth45562542 min170.6 /9010 /90822.9 /90491.7 /90200.7 /90190.7 /90
Antoine Griezmann45502245 min120.5 /9040.2 /90612.4 /90371.5 /90532.1 /90130.5 /90
Ademola Lookman1753906 min60.6 /9030.3 /90212.1 /9090.9 /90131.3 /90161.6 /90
G. Raspadori1235422 min20.4 /9010.2 /90102.1 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 866.5
1.25/1
0.74/0
Julián Alvarez n 869.6
2.67/4
1.87/3
Koke n 864.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Alexander Sørloth n 848.3
2.14/1
0.93/1
Antoine Griezmann n 861.6
1.54/3
0.73/1
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 866.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Julián Alvarez n 869.6
0.63/1
0.53/0
Koke n 864.9
00/0
00/0
Alexander Sørloth n 848.3
0.52/0
00/0
Antoine Griezmann n 861.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ElcheAtletico Madrid
72%Possession28%
2.78Expected goals (xG)1.01
14Shots6
6Shots on target3
6Shots off target2
2Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box2
13Corners3
1Offsides2
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
1Saves4
654Passes259
89%Pass accuracy73%

Elche Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dituro9000000006.6
D. Affengruber9011211109.6
Gonzalo Villar9000001006.9
Aleix Febas90001002Y7.7
Germán Valera9000104006.9
André Silva9020331207.6
L. Pétrot8200000007.2
Tete Morente6701002006.2
Martim Neto6700001306.9
Rafa Mir6700210005.7
Buba Sangaré60000002Y6.7
Víctor Chust sub3000000107.2
L. Cepeda sub2300111207.2
Josan sub2300001207.2
Á. Rodríguez sub2300200006.6
Bigas sub800000006.7

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jan Oblak9000000006
Javier Boñar9000001206.2
Clément Lenglet90000002Y6.5
N. González9020320309.5
Johnny Cardoso9000000306.3
Rodrigo Mendoza6201001005.9
Obed Vargas6200000207
Alex Baena6200000006.2
Robin Le Normand4501001006.5
Julio Díaz45000003Y6.3
Thiago Almada30000001R4.3
Marc Pubill sub4500000106.7
Nahuel Molina sub4500000106.2
Pablo Barrios sub2800100106.9
Giuliano Simeone sub2800000106.7
Antoine Griezmann sub2800110106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Elche v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ElcheLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Atletico MadridLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Elche 1 · 1 draw · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-08-23 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Elche
  • 2025-01-15 Elche 0–4 Atletico Madrid
  • 2023-05-14 Elche 1–0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2022-12-29 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Elche
  • 2022-05-11 Elche 0–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2021-08-22 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Elche
League standing · 2025/26
Elche#15 pos43 pts38 pl-8 GD
Atletico Madrid#4 pos69 pts38 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Elche scored1.29
Atletico Madrid scored1.63
Elche conceded1.5
Atletico Madrid conceded1.16

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Elche 3.63 xG from 14 shots, Atletico Madrid 0.85 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Alvaro Rodríguez 79' · 0.52 xGRafa Mir 52' · 0.38 xGAlvaro Rodríguez 85' · 0.37 xGRafa Mir 1' · 0.36 xGAndré Silva 72' · 0.13 xGGerman Valera 43' · 0.06 xGPablo Barrios Rivas 88' · 0.04 xGGonzalo Villar 65' · 0.04 xGAntoine Griezmann 87' · 0.04 xGGonzalo Villar 41' · 0.04 xGPablo Barrios Rivas 88' · 0.03 xGAleix Febas 70' · 0.02 xGNicolás González 7' · 0.02 xGDavid Affengruber 74' · 0.02 xGLucas Cepeda 68' · 0.02 xGAndré Silva 32' · 0.74 xG · goalAndré Silva 74' · 0.54 xG · goalNicolás González 9' · 0.42 xG · goalDavid Affengruber 17' · 0.39 xG · goalNicolás González 33' · 0.30 xG · goal
Elche (attacking right)Atletico Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Elche1433.63
Atletico Madrid620.85

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Elche led on xG, 1.59 to 0.75, 0.74 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Elche led on xG, 3.63 to 0.85, 0.74 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.88 xG to Elche, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.61.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Atletico Madrid 9 minGoal - Elche 17 minGoal - Elche 32 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 33 minGoal - Elche 74 min
Elche 3.63 xGAtletico Madrid 0.85 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Elche v Atletico Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Elche v Atletico Madrid was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Atletico Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Elche won 1, Atletico Madrid won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Elche and Atletico Madrid?
Recent form — Elche 2W 0D 3L; Atletico Madrid 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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