Espanyol v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Espanyol 2–1 Atletico Madrid

La Liga · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 20:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Espanyol · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Espanyol 2–1 Atletico Madrid — Espanyol won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Espanyol 1.42, Atletico Madrid 1.29 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Espanyol beat Atletico Madrid 2–1 in La Liga on Sunday 17 August.

The goals

Espanyol came from behind: Atletico Madrid led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Julián Alvarez (37’); Espanyol: Miguel Rubio (73’, assisted by Edu Expósito) and Pere Milla (84’, assisted by Omar El Hilali).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pere Milla’s goal on 84 minutes.

Discipline

Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain showed six yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Espanyol: Fernando Calero (54’), Omar El Hilali (74’) and José Salinas (90+3’); Atletico Madrid: Johnny Cardoso (42’), Robin Le Normand (67’) and Marcos Llorente (72’).

What it changes

Espanyol are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Atletico Madrid are 15th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Edu Expósito (Espanyol) 6.8, Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid) 6.2 and Pere Milla (Espanyol) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Atletico Madrid, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Espanyol next travel to Racing Santander on 24 October 2026.

Atletico Madrid next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Espanyol: Racing Santander v Espanyol, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: VfB Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Espanyol 2–1 Atletico Madrid · La Liga
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Espanyol 0 · draws 4 · Atletico Madrid 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Espanyol 1W 0D 4L · Atletico Madrid 4W 0D 1L

Espanyol 2–1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 2

Goals

against 1.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.57

Corners

against 6.13 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.5 / 6.86

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.75 / 0.86

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 June 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 June 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Espanyol for / against	Line	Atletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.57 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.63 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.43 for · 8.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.86 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.13 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.14 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.86 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain.

Espanyol

Espanyol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Cheddira n 8	15.9	5.7 5/2	5.7 4/2	—
Pol Lozano n 8	52.6	2.4 6/2	0.4 2/0	C. Gallagher
Álvaro Tejero n 8	19.3	1.8 2/1	1.2 1/1	—
Álvaro Aguado n 8	19.6	1.7 2/1	0.6 1/0	—
Alex Král n 8	29.9	1.5 3/1	0.4 1/0	—

Espanyol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alejo Véliz n 8	67	3 7/6	1.3 4/2
W. Cheddira n 8	15.9	2.1 2/1	0.7 1/0
Javi Puado n 8	83.6	2 6/5	0.9 5/2
Pere Milla n 8	24.6	1.8 3/1	1.4 3/0
Edu Expósito n 8	79.9	1.4 6/3	0.7 4/1

Espanyol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pere Milla n 8	24.6	1.4 3/0	0 0/0
Javi Puado n 8	83.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Álvaro Aguado n 8	19.6	0 0/0	0.6 1/0
Álvaro Tejero n 8	19.3	0 0/0	0.6 1/0
L. Cabrera n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Espanyol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Carlos Romero n 8	89	3.4 7/6
Fernando Calero n 8	39.1	3.2 7/4
Urko González n 8	76.6	2.6 7/5
Álvaro Tejero n 8	19.3	2.3 4/0
Pol Lozano n 8	52.6	2.1 5/3

Espanyol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joan García n 8	90	3.8 7/5

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Gallagher n 8	37.5	3 7/3	1.5 4/1	Pol Lozano
Javi Galán n 8	80.1	1.7 7/4	2 8/4	—
A. Correa n 8	53.9	1.7 6/2	0.8 3/1	—
Clément Lenglet n 8	84	1.6 8/3	0.3 2/0	—
Marcos Llorente n 8	90	1.5 7/4	0.8 4/1	—

Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alexander Sørloth n 8	62.8	5.4 8/7	3 5/5
T. Lemar n 8	16.6	2.7 4/0	2 3/0
A. Correa n 8	53.9	2.5 5/4	2.1 5/3
Antoine Griezmann n 8	36	2.5 3/2	1.3 3/1
Julián Alvarez n 8	82.4	1.8 6/4	1 4/2

Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Correa n 8	53.9	1.3 4/2	0.2 1/0
Alexander Sørloth n 8	62.8	1.3 2/2	0 0/0
Antoine Griezmann n 8	36	0.3 1/0	0.6 2/0
Julián Alvarez n 8	82.4	0.4 2/1	0.4 3/0
R. de Paul n 8	74.3	0 0/0	0.6 3/1

Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
César Azpilicueta n 8	46.5	3.1 5/3
Nahuel Molina n 8	25.9	3 6/1
Pablo Barrios n 8	68.1	2.6 7/4
Samuel Lino n 8	61.3	2.6 6/5
Javi Galán n 8	80.1	2.5 6/5

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Juan Musso n 8	90	2.9 5/5
Jan Oblak n 8	90	2.8 5/4

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Espanyol		Atletico Madrid
40%	Possession	60%
1.26	Expected goals (xG)	1.10
9	Shots	15
5	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	7
0	Blocked shots	4
6	Shots inside the box	9
1	Corners	3
0	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	11
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
394	Passes	618
82%	Pass accuracy	89%

Espanyol player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Dmitrović	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
O. El Hilali	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	Y	7.2
L. Cabrera	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.5
Carlos Romero	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	7
Pol Lozano	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Edu Expósito	90	0	1	1	0	4	1	0	8.7
Javi Puado	88	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Roberto Fernández	74	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
Fernando Calero	66	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Jofre Carreras	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Ramón Terrats	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
T. Dolan sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Kike García sub	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
Miguel Rubio sub	24	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.5
Pere Milla sub	16	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.9
José Salinas sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7

Atletico Madrid player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jan Oblak	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Marcos Llorente	90	0	0	0	2	3	Y	6.3
Robin Le Normand	90	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.6
Dávid Hancko	90	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.6
Matteo Ruggeri	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Giuliano Simeone	90	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
Julián Alvarez	82	1	4	3	1	0	0	7.5
Alex Baena	68	0	0	0	4	0	0	6.6
Thiago Almada	68	0	1	0	2	0	0	7.3
C. Gallagher	45	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Johnny Cardoso	45	0	1	0	0	2	Y	7.2
Koke sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Pablo Barrios sub	45	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
G. Raspadori sub	22	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Antoine Griezmann sub	22	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.2
Alexander Sørloth sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Espanyol v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EspanyolLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Atletico MadridWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Espanyol 0 · 4 draws · Atletico Madrid 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-03-29 Espanyol 1–1 Atletico Madrid
2024-08-28 Atletico Madrid 0–0 Espanyol
2023-05-24 Espanyol 3–3 Atletico Madrid
2022-11-06 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Espanyol
2022-04-17 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Espanyol
2021-09-12 Espanyol 1–2 Atletico Madrid

League standing · 2025/26

Espanyol#11 pos46 pts38 pl-12 GD

Atletico Madrid#4 pos69 pts38 pl+18 GD

Goals per game

Espanyol scored1.13

Atletico Madrid scored1.63

Espanyol conceded1.45

Atletico Madrid conceded1.16

Shot map and expected goals

Espanyol 1.42 xG from 9 shots, Atletico Madrid 1.29 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Espanyol (attacking right)Atletico Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Espanyol	9	2	1.42
Atletico Madrid	15	1	1.29

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Espanyol v Atletico Madrid?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Espanyol v Atletico Madrid was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Espanyol and Atletico Madrid?: In their last 6 meetings, Espanyol won 0, Atletico Madrid won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Espanyol and Atletico Madrid?: Recent form — Espanyol 1W 0D 4L; Atletico Madrid 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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