Racing Santander v Espanyol prediction

La Liga · · Estadio El Sardinero

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Racing Santander v Espanyol, La Liga on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:15 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Racing Santander host Espanyol in La Liga on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Racing Santander or Espanyol (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Racing Santander have conceded 25 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Racing Santander are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Espanyol are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Racing Santander’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Racing Santander’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Racing Santander have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.57. Racing Santander have scored 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Seven of Espanyol’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Espanyol’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Espanyol have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33. Espanyol have scored 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Espanyol have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Racing Santander (16th) and Espanyol (15th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Espanyol the stronger side, 67 rating points above Racing Santander (Espanyol 1412, Racing Santander 1345, after at least nine rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 February 2024, finished Racing Santander 2–0 Espanyol.

Team news

Predicted Racing Santander XI (4-2-3-1): J. Agirrezabala, J. Salinas, Á. Mantilla, P. Ramón, J. Belocian, I. Vicente, S. Canales, I. Martín, M. Prati, A. Almeida, M. Zabiri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Iñigo Vicente (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three assists) and Jorge Salinas (4.1 per match over nine appearances, one assist) have been Racing Santander’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Racing Santander (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Iñigo Vicente averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 724 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. Jorge Salinas averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 721 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Espanyol XI (4-2-3-1): M. Dmitrović, O. El Hilali, R. Hinojo, L. Cabrera, C. Riedel, E. Expósito, J. Hernandez, T. Dolan, U. González, Á. Calatrava, R. Fernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Roberto Fernández (4.0 per match over nine appearances, six goals) and Javier Hernandez (3.4 per match over nine appearances, five assists) have been Espanyol’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Espanyol (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Roberto Fernández averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 867 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Javier Hernandez averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 691 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio El Sardinero
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Racing Santander 1 · draws 0 · Espanyol 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Racing Santander 1W 1D 3L · Espanyol 1W 1D 3L

Racing Santander v Espanyol (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 2.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.5 / 2.63
Corners
against 8 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 6.63 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.5 / 3.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRacing Santander for / againstLineEspanyol for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 8 against n 8
9.5standard
2.63 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 16.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 6.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
21.5standard
16 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
Racing Santander
Racing Santander — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Iker Luque n 345.7
2.62/2
2.62/1
—
M. Gueye n 838.3
2.65/4
0.31/0
—
André Almeida n 832.6
2.44/2
2.44/2
—
M. Zabiri n 867.6
2.27/3
0.74/0
—
Pedro Felipe n 633.8
2.22/2
0.41/0
—
Racing Santander — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pablo García n 838
3.37/3
1.85/1
Andrés Martín n 872.1
37/6
1.76/4
M. Zabiri n 867.6
2.25/4
1.84/4
Sergio Canales n 871.8
26/4
0.95/1
Juan Carlos Arana n 830
1.93/1
1.12/1
Racing Santander — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Juan Carlos Arana n 830
0.81/1
0.41/0
M. Zabiri n 867.6
1.24/2
00/0
Andrés Martín n 872.1
0.63/1
00/0
Pablo García n 838
0.62/0
00/0
Iñigo Vicente n 879.3
00/0
0.43/0
Racing Santander — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
André Almeida n 832.6
3.46/4
Jorge Salinas n 878.9
3.17/6
Iván Martín n 878.8
2.97/4
Íñigo Sainz-Maza n 831.1
2.96/2
Álvaro Mantilla n 886.5
2.78/5
Racing Santander — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Julen Agirrezabala n 890
3.86/6
Espanyol
Espanyol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marcos Fernández n 829
2.74/2
0.41/0
—
Rafel Bauzà n 857.9
2.56/4
2.17/2
—
O. El Hilali n 888.1
2.46/5
0.84/1
—
Javier Hernandez n 876.1
2.16/5
1.65/4
—
C. Riedel n 869.4
1.96/3
0.21/0
—
Espanyol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marcos Fernández n 829
3.56/2
1.63/1
Álex Calatrava n 843.8
2.35/3
0.83/0
Jofre Carreras n 820.9
2.22/1
1.11/1
Roberto Fernández n 885.9
2.18/7
15/2
Javi Puado n 853
2.13/2
1.33/2
Espanyol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marcos Fernández n 829
0.41/0
0.41/0
Rafel Bauzà n 857.9
0.21/0
0.42/0
Javier Hernandez n 876.1
00/0
0.64/0
Roberto Fernández n 885.9
0.53/1
00/0
Pere Milla n 825.5
00/0
0.41/0
Espanyol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Q. Hartman n 871
3.66/4
Álex Calatrava n 843.8
3.15/3
Gabriel Moscardo n 839.1
2.94/4
Roger Hinojo n 868
2.87/5
Pol Lozano n 848.9
2.85/3
Espanyol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dmitrović n 890
3.56/5
Ángel Fortuño n 490
3.23/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Racing Santander v Espanyol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Racing SantanderWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 3.4 conceded per game
EspanyolWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Racing Santander 1 · 0 draws · Espanyol 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2024-02-10 Racing Santander 2–0 Espanyol
  • 2023-08-19 Espanyol 2–0 Racing Santander
League standing · 2026/27
Racing Santander#16 pos8 pts9 pl-12 GD
Espanyol#15 pos8 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Racing Santander scored1.44
Espanyol scored1.22
Racing Santander conceded2.78
Espanyol conceded1.33

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Racing Santander v Espanyol?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Racing Santander v Espanyol is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Racing Santander and Espanyol?
In their last 2 meetings, Racing Santander won 1, Espanyol won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Racing Santander and Espanyol?
Recent form — Racing Santander 1W 1D 3L; Espanyol 1W 1D 3L.

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