Malaga v Athletic Club prediction

La Liga · Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Estadio La Rosaleda

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Malaga v Athletic Club, La Liga on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Malaga host Athletic Club in La Liga on Sunday 29 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Malaga have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Malaga have no wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.57. Malaga have scored eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Malaga have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Athletic Club’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Athletic Club have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.71. Athletic Club have scored 14 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Athletic Club have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Athletic Club have won their last three matches in all competitions. Malaga (20th) and Athletic Club (seventh) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Athletic Club the stronger side, 354 rating points above Malaga (Athletic Club 1605, Malaga 1251, after at least 49 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 February 2018, finished Athletic Club 2–1 Malaga.

Team news

Predicted Malaga XI (4-1-4-1): A. Herrero, Rafita, Á. Recio, Puga, E. Galilea, D. Larrubia, D. Lorenzo, C. Dotor, R. Enríquez, A. Ben Cheikh, A. Heredia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, David Larrubia (4.0 per match over 11 appearances) and Adrián Niño Heredia (4.0 per match over seven appearances, five goals) have been Malaga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Malaga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), David Larrubia averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Adrián Niño Heredia averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 370 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Athletic Club XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, Yuri, A. Laporte, H. Rincón, A. Paredes, R. Navarro, Á. Berenguer, B. Gerenabarrena, N. Williams, P. Canales, I. Williams — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Berenguer (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Robert Navarro (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) have been Athletic Club’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Athletic Club (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Berenguer averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 685 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Robert Navarro averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 702 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · La Liga · Estadio La Rosaleda
Head-to-head (last 2): Malaga 0 · draws 1 · Athletic Club 1 · 4.5 goals/game
Recent form: Malaga 1W 2D 2L · Athletic Club 3W 1D 1L

Malaga v Athletic Club (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.75 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 5.5

Corners

against 5.43 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 6 / 3 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.29 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.43 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Malaga for / against	Line	Athletic Club for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 17.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	16.63 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.29 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Malaga

Malaga Goalkeeper

Malaga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfonso Herrero	11	90990 min	403.6 /90	191.7 /90	00 /90

Malaga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	3.5 8/7

Malaga Defensive

Malaga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rafita	11	84922 min	121.2 /90	131.3 /90	80.8 /90	464.5 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
Ángel Recio	10	90900 min	111.1 /90	60.6 /90	80.8 /90	282.8 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Puga	9	64572 min	294.6 /90	101.6 /90	60.9 /90	568.8 /90	142.2 /90	30.5 /90
Einar Galilea	8	81649 min	91.2 /90	111.5 /90	30.4 /90	243.3 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90
José Salinas	8	53427 min	122.5 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	245.1 /90	61.3 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Malaga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
Rafita n 8	81.5	0.6 4/0	1.8 7/5	—
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	1.2 4/3	1.1 6/2	—
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1	—
Chupe n 8	74.1	1.4 5/3	1.2 5/3	—
See more players · Pro

Malaga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Rafita n 8	81.5	1.2 6/3
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	2.2 7/4
Ángel Recio n 8	90	1.3 6/3
Chupe n 8	74.1	0.5 3/0
Carlos Dotor n 8	73.3	2.5 6/6
See more players · Pro

Malaga Attacking

Malaga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Chupe	10	77773 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	161.9 /90	60.7 /90	30.3 /90	30.3 /90
Adrián Niño Heredia	7	53370 min	51.2 /90	00 /90	143.4 /90	92.2 /90	30.7 /90	41 /90
H. Abaida	2	1733 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90
Eneko Jauregi	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90
David Larrubia	11	80882 min	00 /90	00 /90	101 /90	40.4 /90	151.5 /90	262.7 /90
See more players · Pro

Malaga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rafita n 8	81.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	0.8 4/2	0.3 1/1
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Chupe n 8	74.1	2 7/3	0.8 3/2
See more players · Pro

Malaga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rafita n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Chupe n 8	74.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Athletic Club

Athletic Club Goalkeeper

Athletic Club — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Unai Simón	10	90900 min	292.9 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Álex Padilla	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Athletic Club — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 8	90	2.4 5/4
Álex Padilla n 8	84.4	3.2 7/5

Athletic Club Defensive

Athletic Club — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Aymeric Laporte	9	82735 min	111.3 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	283.4 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
Yuri	7	89625 min	142 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90	284 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90
Aitor Paredes	7	80558 min	81.3 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90	233.7 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
Jesús Areso	7	66461 min	91.8 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90	295.7 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
Johaneko Louis-Jean	7	47332 min	71.9 /90	102.7 /90	00 /90	205.4 /90	71.9 /90	10.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Athletic Club — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Unai Simón n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
I. Williams n 8	69.6	0.8 5/0	1.5 5/3	—
Álex Berenguer n 8	65	1.6 5/2	1.6 5/2	—
Aymeric Laporte n 8	87.9	0.9 5/1	0.5 3/1	—
Robert Navarro n 8	78.4	0.7 3/1	1 6/1	—
See more players · Pro

Athletic Club — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Williams n 8	69.6	0.3 2/0
Álex Berenguer n 8	65	1.6 5/2
Aymeric Laporte n 8	87.9	1 5/1
Robert Navarro n 8	78.4	1.1 5/1
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 8	72.5	2.9 7/5
See more players · Pro

Athletic Club Attacking

Athletic Club — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Williams	10	68675 min	30.4 /90	20.3 /90	192.5 /90	91.2 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90
Maroan Sannadi	6	50300 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	72.1 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90
Gorka Guruzeta	3	55164 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
C. Mitogo	2	2652 min	11.7 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	58.7 /90
T. Vizcay	1	3030 min	13 /90	13 /90	26 /90	26 /90	26 /90	13 /90
See more players · Pro

Athletic Club — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Unai Simón n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Williams n 8	69.6	2.7 7/6	1.1 5/2
Álex Berenguer n 8	65	2.4 4/4	0.9 4/1
Aymeric Laporte n 8	87.9	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
Robert Navarro n 8	78.4	1.9 8/4	1.1 6/2
See more players · Pro

Athletic Club — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Athletic Club before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Unai Simón n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Williams n 8	69.6	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
Álex Berenguer n 8	65	0.7 4/0	0.7 2/1
Aymeric Laporte n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Navarro n 8	78.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Malaga v Athletic Club — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MalagaDLDWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Athletic ClubDLWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Malaga 0 · 1 draw · Athletic Club 1 · 4.5 goals/game

2018-02-25 Athletic Club 2–1 Malaga
2017-09-23 Malaga 3–3 Athletic Club

League standing · 2026/27

Malaga#20 pos5 pts11 pl-13 GD

Athletic Club#7 pos15 pts10 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Malaga scored0.73

Athletic Club scored1.4

Malaga conceded1.91

Athletic Club conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Malaga and Athletic Club?: In their last 2 meetings, Malaga won 0, Athletic Club won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Malaga and Athletic Club?: Recent form — Malaga 1W 2D 2L; Athletic Club 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.