MalagaReal Sociedad

Malaga v Real Sociedad result

Full-time · Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad

La Liga · · Estadio La Rosaleda

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Malaga · Real Sociedad

The model’s pre-match pick

Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad — Real Sociedad won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Odds: 1.29 at Betvictor
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Sociedad: 2.57 to 1.93 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 17, ahead on xG from the 72nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Sociedad won 5–2 at Estadio La Rosaleda in La Liga on Sunday 18 October. Malaga are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Sociedad led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Sociedad: Takefusa Kubo (3’, assisted by Héctor Fort), Orri Óskarsson (26’), Mikel Oyarzabal (59’, assisted by Takefusa Kubo; 67’, assisted by Jon Martín) and Gonçalo Guedes (73’); Malaga: Adrián Niño Heredia (54’, assisted by Pablo Martínez) and Pablo Martínez (66’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Takefusa Kubo’s goal on 3 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Malaga: Chupe (67’); Real Sociedad: Jon Martín (37’) and Mamadou Sarr (62’).

What it changes

Malaga move down from 19th to 20th (nine league matches played). Malaga have scored eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Malaga have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Sociedad move up from sixth to fifth (nine league matches played). Real Sociedad have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Real Sociedad have conceded 20 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Real Sociedad have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Martínez (Malaga) 10.8, Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) 9.5 and Takefusa Kubo (Real Sociedad) 9.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Malaga or Real Sociedad (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Malaga next host Racing Santander on 7 November 2026.

Real Sociedad next host Rayo Vallecano on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Malaga: Malaga v Racing Santander, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda · Málaga
  • Referee: Luis Bestard Servera
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Malaga 2 · draws 0 · Real Sociedad 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Malaga 0W 3D 2L · Real Sociedad 2W 1D 2L

Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 7.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMalaga for / againstLineReal Sociedad for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: Luis Bestard Servera.

Malaga

Malaga Goalkeeper

Malaga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfonso Herrero890720 min303.8 /90131.6 /9000 /90
Malaga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfonso Herrero n 890
3.88/7

Malaga Defensive

Malaga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ángel Recio890720 min81 /9060.8 /9050.6 /90222.8 /9050.6 /9000 /90
Rafita882652 min101.4 /9091.2 /9071 /90365 /9071 /9010.1 /90
Puga758405 min173.8 /9061.3 /9061.3 /90408.9 /90132.9 /9030.7 /90
Einar Galilea678469 min71.3 /9071.3 /9030.6 /90152.9 /9051 /9020.4 /90
José Salinas660360 min82 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90174.3 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Malaga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ángel Recio n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
Jon Martín
Alfonso Herrero n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
David Larrubia n 883
0.94/2
1.27/2
—
Chupe n 881.6
1.57/3
1.26/3
Mikel Oyarzabal
Rafita n 881.5
15/1
1.96/5
Jon Martín
See more players · Pro
Malaga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ángel Recio n 890
15/2
David Larrubia n 883
38/5
Chupe n 881.6
0.64/0
Rafita n 881.5
1.46/4
Joaquín Muñoz n 856.4
14/1
See more players · Pro

Malaga Attacking

Malaga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Chupe882653 min10.1 /9000 /90121.7 /9040.6 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
Adrián Niño Heredia431125 min21.4 /9000 /9075 /9032.2 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
H. Abaida21733 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9012.7 /9012.7 /90
Eneko Jauregi14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9000 /9000 /90
David Larrubia883664 min00 /9000 /9091.2 /9040.5 /90111.5 /90233.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Malaga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ángel Recio n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
Alfonso Herrero n 890
00/0
00/0
David Larrubia n 883
1.26/3
0.53/1
Chupe n 881.6
1.76/3
0.63/1
Rafita n 881.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Malaga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 890
00/0
00/0
Ángel Recio n 890
00/0
00/0
David Larrubia n 883
00/0
00/0
Chupe n 881.6
0.11/0
00/0
Rafita n 881.5
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad Goalkeeper

Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álex Remiro790630 min294.1 /90131.9 /9000 /90
Unai Marrero390270 min134.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 890
3.98/4
Unai Marrero n 890
46/5

Real Sociedad Defensive

Real Sociedad — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Sergio Gómez1086861 min181.9 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90363.8 /9030.3 /9010.1 /90
Jon Martín890720 min162 /9081 /9081 /90496.1 /9060.8 /9000 /90
J. Aramburu785597 min223.3 /90162.4 /9020.3 /90548.1 /90253.8 /9030.5 /90
Zubeldia772504 min142.5 /9071.3 /9000 /90244.3 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90
M. Sarr584418 min91.9 /9061.3 /9030.6 /90194.1 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sergio Gómez n 887.4
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
L. Sučić n 868.6
0.74/0
0.32/0
—
Mikel Oyarzabal n 873.1
0.95/1
1.76/3
Chupe
Y. Herrera n 860.5
2.66/4
1.97/3
—
Jon Martín n 890
0.83/2
0.54/0
Rafita
See more players · Pro
Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sergio Gómez n 887.4
1.97/5
L. Sučić n 868.6
12/2
Mikel Oyarzabal n 873.1
1.16/1
Y. Herrera n 860.5
3.77/5
Jon Martín n 890
26/5
See more players · Pro

Real Sociedad Attacking

Real Sociedad — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mikel Oyarzabal1067674 min00 /9020.3 /90131.7 /9060.8 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90
O. Óskarsson666397 min10.2 /9000 /9071.6 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
Alex Garcia425101 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.8 /9010.9 /90
A. Zakharyan15656 min11.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /90
L. Sučić1073726 min30.4 /9000 /90131.6 /9060.7 /90111.4 /9091.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sergio Gómez n 887.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Sučić n 868.6
1.56/2
0.73/1
Mikel Oyarzabal n 873.1
1.86/4
0.84/1
Y. Herrera n 860.5
1.34/2
0.42/0
Jon Martín n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sergio Gómez n 887.4
0.11/0
00/0
L. Sučić n 868.6
0.32/0
00/0
Mikel Oyarzabal n 873.1
00/0
0.31/1
Y. Herrera n 860.5
0.21/0
00/0
Jon Martín n 890
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MalagaReal Sociedad
45%Possession55%
1.24Expected goals (xG)2.44
17Shots21
6Shots on target9
7Shots off target6
4Blocked shots6
12Shots inside the box12
4Corners5
2Offsides2
4Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves4
478Passes590
86%Pass accuracy89%

Malaga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alfonso Herrero9000000005.2
Rafita9000001105.9
Fernando Calero9000000207.2
Ángel Recio9000100205.9
Pablo Martínez9011314108.3
Chupe90003201Y6
Adrián Niño Heredia8210221007.6
David Larrubia6800102507
Carlos Dotor6400001507
José Salinas4500001206.9
Izan Merino4500000006.3
Adam Aznou Ben Cheikh sub4500101205.9
Ramón Enríquez sub4500000007.2
Dani Lorenzo sub2600101106.7
Joaquín Muñoz sub2200112007
Puga sub800000006.7

Real Sociedad Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Álex Remiro9000001007.5
Jon Martín90010013Y7
M. Sarr90001001Y6.7
Jon Gorrotxategi9000001106.7
Carlos Soler9000223107.2
Mikel Oyarzabal9020331009.2
O. Óskarsson7910410006.6
Aihen Muñoz7100000306.2
T. Kubo7111111207.9
Héctor Fort6101001106.6
Barrenetxea6100214206.5
Gonçalo Guedes sub2910211007.9
Zubeldia sub2900000006.7
Sergio Gómez sub1900001106.9
J. Ochieng sub1900001206.3
Alex Garcia sub1100000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Malaga v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MalagaDDLLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Real SociedadLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Malaga 2 · 0 draws · Real Sociedad 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2024-01-07 Malaga 0–1 Real Sociedad
  • 2018-04-22 Malaga 2–0 Real Sociedad
  • 2017-12-10 Real Sociedad 0–2 Malaga
League standing · 2026/27
Malaga#20 pos5 pts11 pl-13 GD
Real Sociedad#5 pos19 pts11 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Malaga scored0.73
Real Sociedad scored1.82
Malaga conceded1.91
Real Sociedad conceded1.82

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Malaga 1.93 xG from 17 shots, Real Sociedad 2.57 from 21. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Adrián Niño 20' · 0.42 xGOrri Óskarsson 72' · 0.38 xGAnder Barrenetxea 27' · 0.31 xGPablo Martínez 70' · 0.28 xGChupe 64' · 0.24 xGOrri Óskarsson 37' · 0.14 xGMikel Oyarzabal 93' · 0.12 xGChupe 82' · 0.12 xGAdam Aznou 52' · 0.09 xGJoaquín Muñoz 76' · 0.09 xGAihen Muñoz 48' · 0.08 xGOrri Óskarsson 23' · 0.07 xGDavid Larrubia 62' · 0.07 xGMamadou Sarr 46' · 0.06 xGCarlos Soler 51' · 0.05 xGCarlos Soler 29' · 0.05 xGJob Ochieng 82' · 0.05 xGGonçalo Guedes 78' · 0.05 xGChupe 76' · 0.05 xGJon Martín 41' · 0.04 xGAdrián Niño 37' · 0.04 xGChupe 12' · 0.04 xGMikel Oyarzabal 41' · 0.04 xGAnder Barrenetxea 44' · 0.03 xGDani Lorenzo 68' · 0.03 xGGonçalo Guedes 84' · 0.03 xGChupe 39' · 0.02 xGMikel Oyarzabal 9' · 0.02 xGÁngel Recio 12' · 0.02 xGJoaquín Muñoz 69' · 0.01 xGPablo Martínez 93' · 0.01 xGGonçalo Guedes 72' · 0.51 xG · goalOrri Óskarsson 25' · 0.38 xG · goalAdrián Niño 53' · 0.36 xG · goalMikel Oyarzabal 58' · 0.08 xG · goalPablo Martínez 65' · 0.05 xG · goalMikel Oyarzabal 66' · 0.05 xG · goalTakefusa Kubo 2' · 0.02 xG · goal
Malaga (attacking right)Real Sociedad (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Malaga1721.93
Real Sociedad2152.57

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Real Sociedad led on xG, 1.12 to 0.54. At full time, Real Sociedad led on xG, 2.57 to 1.93. The widest gap was 0.78 xG to Real Sociedad, in the 51st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Sociedad 2 minGoal - Real Sociedad 25 minGoal - Malaga 53 minGoal - Real Sociedad 58 minGoal - Malaga 65 minGoal - Real Sociedad 66 minGoal - Real Sociedad 72 min
Malaga 1.93 xGReal Sociedad 2.57 xGdots = goals · 38 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Malaga v Real Sociedad?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Malaga v Real Sociedad was Home or Away (odds 1.29 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Malaga and Real Sociedad?
In their last 3 meetings, Malaga won 2, Real Sociedad won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Malaga and Real Sociedad?
Recent form — Malaga 0W 3D 2L; Real Sociedad 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+