Mallorca v Celta Vigo result

Full-time · Mallorca 1–1 Celta Vigo

La Liga · Sat, 23 Aug 2025 16:00 BST · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mallorca · Celta Vigo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Mallorca 1–1 Celta Vigo — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Mallorca 0.66, Celta Vigo 0.92 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Mallorca and Celta Vigo drew 1–1 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in La Liga on Saturday 23 August. Mallorca are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Celta Vigo led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Celta Vigo: Javi Rueda (38’, assisted by Hugo Sotelo); Mallorca: Mateu Morey (88’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mateu Morey’s goal on 88 minutes.

Discipline

Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mallorca: Antonio Sánchez (14’), T. Asano (51’) and Omar Mascarell (55’); Celta Vigo: Iago Aspas (-5’), Hugo Sotelo (71’) and Carlos Domínguez (74’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mateu Morey (Mallorca) 5.1, Javi Rueda (Celta Vigo) 4.6 and I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Mallorca next travel to Leganes on 24 October 2026.

Celta Vigo next travel to Celtic on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mallorca: Leganes v Mallorca, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Celta Vigo: Celtic v Celta Vigo, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Mallorca 1–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga
Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca
Referee: Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Mallorca 3 · draws 1 · Celta Vigo 2 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Mallorca 1W 1D 3L · Celta Vigo 3W 0D 2L

Mallorca 1–1 Celta Vigo (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.5 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 6.17

Corners

against 9.88 / 4.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

1.5 / 6

Shots on target

against 7.38 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.5 / 2.17

Cards

against 0.88 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3.8 yellows

Referee · Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain

2.2 home / 1.6 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Mallorca for / against	Line	Celta Vigo for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.63 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.17 for · 4.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	7.5 for · 23 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.17 for · 9.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	1.5 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 3 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.17 for · 13.33 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.17 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain — 3.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 27.2 fouls over 5 matches (2.2 to the home side, 1.6 to the away side).

Home 2.2Away 1.6

Mallorca

Mallorca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Samú Costa n 8	85.6	2.9 8/5	2.4 8/6	—
Pablo Maffeo n 8	75.9	1.9 7/4	1 5/2	—
Cyle Larin n 8	58.4	1.9 6/3	1.3 5/2	—
Omar Mascarell n 8	56.9	1.8 5/1	0 0/0	—
Mateu Morey n 8	51.1	1.8 4/2	1.3 5/1	Marcos Alonso

Mallorca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Asano n 8	60.1	2.1 5/3	0.7 4/0
Pablo Torre n 8	22.6	2 3/1	0.5 1/0
Marc Domenech n 8	29.4	1.9 4/1	0.8 2/0
V. Muriqi n 8	60.4	1.7 4/2	0.7 2/1
Cyle Larin n 8	58.4	1.2 6/0	0.6 3/0

Mallorca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Asano n 8	60.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Cyle Larin n 8	58.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Darder n 8	87	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
V. Muriqi n 8	60.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Omar Mascarell n 8	56.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Mallorca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Salas n 5	10.4	5.2 3/0
Samú Costa n 8	85.6	3.3 8/8
Mateu Morey n 8	51.1	2.9 4/4
Manu Morlanes n 8	42.3	2.9 4/3
Toni Lato n 8	35.3	2.6 4/3

Mallorca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Leo Román n 8	90	5.6 7/6
D. Greif n 8	90	3.6 6/4

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 8	42.5	2.4 5/2	2.6 4/3	—
Yoel Lago n 8	71.9	2.3 5/4	1.4 6/3	—
Pablo Durán n 8	51.4	2 4/3	1.3 6/0	—
Borja Iglesias n 8	50.8	1.6 5/2	1.3 3/1	—
Marcos Alonso n 8	84.4	1.5 6/4	1.2 5/3	Mateu Morey

Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Borja Iglesias n 8	50.8	3.1 5/3	2.4 4/3
Iago Aspas n 8	44.8	2.8 6/3	2 5/2
Ferran Jutglà n 8	71.6	2.5 6/4	0.9 5/1
Fer López n 8	46.9	1.9 6/2	1.2 4/1
J. El Abdellaoui n 6	15.5	1.9 1/1	1 1/0

Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Borja Iglesias n 8	50.8	1.3 4/1	0.2 1/0
Iago Aspas n 8	44.8	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
J. El Abdellaoui n 6	15.5	1 1/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	42.5	0.3 1/0	0.5 2/0
Hugo Álvarez n 8	50.3	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0

Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Moriba n 8	77.4	3.8 7/6
Hugo Sotelo n 8	41.4	2.2 4/3
Fran Beltrán n 8	70	2.1 5/4
W. Swedberg n 8	42.5	2.1 4/3
Yoel Lago n 8	71.9	2 7/4

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Guaita n 8	90	2.5 4/3
I. Radu n 8	90	2.1 6/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Mallorca		Celta Vigo
50%	Possession	50%
0.68	Expected goals (xG)	0.74
12	Shots	8
4	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	4
1	Blocked shots	2
8	Shots inside the box	3
3	Corners	4
1	Offsides	1
12	Fouls	12
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
433	Passes	445
86%	Pass accuracy	87%

Mallorca player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Leo Román	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Mateu Morey	90	1	1	1	1	1	0	8
M. Valjent	90	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.3
Raíllo	90	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Mojica	90	0	1	0	2	0	0	7
Darder	90	0	0	0	3	1	0	7.2
Pablo Torre	82	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.3
Omar Mascarell	68	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.9
T. Asano	68	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6
M. Joseph	68	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.3
Antonio Sánchez	45	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.9
Marash Kumbulla sub	45	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
Marc Domenech sub	23	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
Dani Rodríguez sub	23	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Abdón Prats sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Salas sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Celta Vigo player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Radu	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Carlos Domínguez	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.9
Marcos Alonso	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Javi Rueda	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.7
I. Moriba	90	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.2
Sergio Carreira	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Pablo Durán	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Hugo Sotelo	73	0	1	0	0	3	1	Y	7.2
Ferran Jutglà	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Manu Fernández	63	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Iago Aspas	63	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.5
Javi Rodríguez sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
W. Swedberg sub	27	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
Fran Beltrán sub	18	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
Borja Iglesias sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Bryan Zaragoza sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mallorca v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MallorcaWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Celta VigoWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Mallorca 3 · 1 draw · Celta Vigo 2 · 1.67 goals/game

2025-04-05 Mallorca 1–2 Celta Vigo
2024-12-06 Celta Vigo 2–0 Mallorca
2024-01-13 Mallorca 1–1 Celta Vigo
2023-09-16 Celta Vigo 0–1 Mallorca
2023-04-17 Celta Vigo 0–1 Mallorca
2023-01-20 Mallorca 1–0 Celta Vigo

League standing · 2025/26

Mallorca#18 pos42 pts38 pl-10 GD

Celta Vigo#6 pos54 pts38 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Mallorca scored1.24

Celta Vigo scored1.39

Mallorca conceded1.5

Celta Vigo conceded1.26

Shot map and expected goals

Mallorca 0.66 xG from 12 shots, Celta Vigo 0.92 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mallorca (attacking right)Celta Vigo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Mallorca	12	1	0.66
Celta Vigo	8	1	0.92

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mallorca v Celta Vigo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Mallorca v Celta Vigo was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Mallorca and Celta Vigo?: In their last 6 meetings, Mallorca won 3, Celta Vigo won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mallorca and Celta Vigo?: Recent form — Mallorca 1W 1D 3L; Celta Vigo 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.