MallorcaRayo Vallecano

Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano result

Full-time · Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano

La Liga · · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mallorca · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,974 of 2,640 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Mallorca: 2.62 to 1.97 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 17, ahead on xG from the 15th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Mallorca beat Rayo Vallecano 3–0 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in La Liga on Sunday 12 April. Mallorca have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Mallorca led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Mallorca: Vedat Muriqi (36’, assisted by Samú Costa; 40’, assisted by Zito Luvumbo) and Jan Virgili (65’, assisted by Pablo Torre).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vedat Muriqi’s goal on 36 minutes.

Discipline

J. Manzano showed five yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mallorca: David López (80’); Rayo Vallecano: Nobel Mendy (23’), Florian Lejeune (32’), Randy Nteka (53’) and Andrei Rațiu (65’).

What it changes

Mallorca have scored 47 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Mallorca have conceded 57 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano have scored 41 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 44 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca) 9.4, A. Espino (Rayo Vallecano) 5.9 and Andrei Rațiu (Rayo Vallecano) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mallorca or Rayo Vallecano (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Mallorca next host Cordoba on 14 November 2026.

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mallorca: Mallorca v Cordoba, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca
  • Referee: J. Manzano
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Mallorca 3 · draws 2 · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mallorca 2W 1D 2L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L

Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 6.63
Corners
against 6.13 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.11 yellows
Referee · J. Manzano
27.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMallorca for / againstLineRayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3.75 against n 8

Referee: J. Manzano — 5.11 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 27.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Mallorca

Mallorca Goalkeeper

Mallorca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Leo Román25902250 min863.4 /90411.6 /9010 /90
Lucas Bergström690540 min172.8 /9081.3 /9000 /90
Mallorca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leo Román n 890
3.26/5
Lucas Bergström n 690
2.85/3

Mallorca Defensive

Mallorca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Valjent32862753 min351.1 /90180.6 /90130.4 /90872.8 /90290.9 /9050.2 /90
J. Mojica27822211 min471.9 /90160.7 /9040.2 /90994 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
Pablo Maffeo25832075 min512.2 /90291.3 /90200.9 /901205.2 /90180.8 /9080.3 /90
Raíllo23882033 min251.1 /90160.7 /90341.5 /901135 /90231 /9040.2 /90
Mateu Morey1264764 min182.1 /9091.1 /9040.5 /90344 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90
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Mallorca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Valjent n 890
14/3
00/0
—
Darder n 856.6
1.25/1
13/1
—
V. Muriqi n 886.8
1.37/3
1.95/4
—
Samú Costa n 883.6
2.27/5
2.47/6
—
J. Mojica n 879.6
0.32/0
15/2
F. Lejeune
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Mallorca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Valjent n 890
0.64/1
Darder n 856.6
0.62/1
V. Muriqi n 886.8
0.54/0
Samú Costa n 883.6
2.26/5
J. Mojica n 879.6
0.83/3
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Mallorca Attacking

Mallorca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Muriqi29832414 min190.7 /9010 /90742.8 /90391.5 /90150.6 /90140.5 /90
M. Joseph27621684 min20.1 /9020.1 /90281.5 /90140.7 /90120.6 /90181 /90
Marc Domenech637221 min00 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
Javi Llabrés553267 min10.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9031 /9062 /90
Zito Luvumbo546229 min00 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9041.6 /9052 /90
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Mallorca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Valjent n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Darder n 856.6
0.83/1
0.42/0
V. Muriqi n 886.8
2.97/6
0.94/3
Samú Costa n 883.6
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Mojica n 879.6
00/0
00/0
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Mallorca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Valjent n 890
00/0
00/0
Darder n 856.6
00/0
0.42/0
V. Muriqi n 886.8
0.53/1
00/0
Samú Costa n 883.6
0.11/0
00/0
J. Mojica n 879.6
00/0
00/0
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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Batalla41903690 min1002.4 /90441.1 /9000 /90
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 890
2.55/4

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Lejeune43903854 min721.7 /90561.3 /90310.7 /902125 /90611.4 /9050.1 /90
A. Rațiu35842946 min692.1 /90401.2 /9070.2 /901765.4 /90230.7 /9080.2 /90
Pep Chavarría30862592 min561.9 /90331.1 /90160.6 /901344.7 /90371.3 /9080.3 /90
A. Espino27661788 min512.6 /90231.2 /9050.3 /901196 /90211.1 /9020.1 /90
N. Mendy19801513 min231.4 /90201.2 /90161 /90593.5 /90251.5 /9060.4 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 890
1.46/4
0.86/0
J. Mojica
Álvaro García n 865.4
1.25/2
0.73/1
—
A. Batalla n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
Isi Palazón n 866
0.94/1
1.56/1
—
Jorge de Frutos n 872.9
1.76/3
1.15/1
—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
1.96/5
Álvaro García n 865.4
1.57/2
Isi Palazón n 866
1.97/2
Jorge de Frutos n 872.9
0.84/1
A. Rațiu n 881.9
2.17/4
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jorge de Frutos38662490 min110.4 /9030.1 /90481.7 /90260.9 /90341.2 /90250.9 /90
Alemão21531122 min30.2 /9000 /90211.7 /90100.8 /9090.7 /9050.4 /90
Sergio Camello18561012 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.6 /9070.6 /90161.4 /90151.3 /90
Álvaro García43642773 min110.4 /90100.3 /90581.9 /90321 /90521.7 /90110.4 /90
Isi Palazón41662713 min50.2 /9060.2 /90371.2 /90160.5 /90501.7 /90250.8 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
15/3
0.11/0
Álvaro García n 865.4
2.27/4
1.25/2
A. Batalla n 890
00/0
00/0
Isi Palazón n 866
14/1
0.32/0
Jorge de Frutos n 872.9
2.27/4
1.47/2
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Álvaro García n 865.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Batalla n 890
00/0
00/0
Isi Palazón n 866
0.21/0
0.31/1
Jorge de Frutos n 872.9
0.52/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MallorcaRayo Vallecano
45%Possession55%
1.68Expected goals (xG)1.95
12Shots17
4Shots on target3
8Shots off target9
0Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box8
6Corners7
2Offsides6
13Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves1
350Passes430
79%Pass accuracy85%

Mallorca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Leo Román9000000007.6
David López90000001Y7.3
Omar Mascarell9000000107
J. Mojica9000102207.5
Darder9000003207.5
V. Muriqi9020220107.9
Pablo Maffeo8100200007
Manu Morlanes8100101106.6
Samú Costa7201201207.2
Pablo Torre7201313107.5
Zito Luvumbo6201002006.9
Jan Virgili sub2810110007.7
Marash Kumbulla sub1800000006.9
T. Asano sub1800000307.3
Abdón Prats sub900000006.5
Antonio Sánchez sub900000006.6

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Dani Cárdenas9000000006.2
A. Rațiu90000027Y6.3
F. Lejeune90001101Y6.2
A. Espino9000313306.9
Pedro Díaz9000102206.5
Gumbau9000100306.7
R. Nteka81002020Y6.2
Álvaro García7700003007.3
Ilias Akhomach6700000006.7
N. Mendy45000001Y5.9
Óscar Valentín4500000006.7
Jorge de Frutos sub4500310006.2
P. Ciss sub4500001106.9
Pep Chavarría sub2300001006.6
Sergio Camello sub1300001006.7
Alemão sub900100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MallorcaLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Rayo VallecanoDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Mallorca 3 · 2 draws · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-11 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Mallorca
  • 2025-05-24 Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Mallorca
  • 2024-10-20 Mallorca 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-02-11 Mallorca 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-09-30 Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Mallorca
  • 2023-06-04 Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
League standing · 2025/26
Mallorca#18 pos42 pts38 pl-10 GD
Rayo Vallecano#8 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Mallorca scored1.24
Rayo Vallecano scored1.08
Mallorca conceded1.5
Rayo Vallecano conceded1.16

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Mallorca 2.62 xG from 12 shots, Rayo Vallecano 1.97 from 17. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Randy Nteka 45' · 0.60 xGJorge De Frutos 46' · 0.50 xGJorge De Frutos 81' · 0.30 xGPablo Torre 42' · 0.29 xGPablo Torre 55' · 0.28 xGJohan Mojica 63' · 0.23 xGRandy Nteka 57' · 0.19 xGSamú Costa 38' · 0.10 xGSamú Costa 35' · 0.09 xGManuel Morlanes 15' · 0.08 xGSergio Camello 93' · 0.07 xGAlfonso Espino 69' · 0.06 xGPedro Díaz 49' · 0.06 xGPablo Maffeo 42' · 0.05 xGPablo Torre 23' · 0.05 xGSergio Camello 79' · 0.03 xGJorge De Frutos 69' · 0.03 xGFlorian Lejeune 47' · 0.03 xGJorge De Frutos 56' · 0.02 xGPep Chavarría 92' · 0.02 xGPablo Maffeo 27' · 0.02 xGGerard Gumbau 68' · 0.02 xGAlfonso Espino 94' · 0.01 xGAlfonso Espino 51' · 0.01 xGPedro Díaz 89' · 0.01 xGGerard Gumbau 82' · 0.01 xGVedat Muriqi 35' · 0.59 xG · goalVedat Muriqi 39' · 0.43 xG · goalJan Virgili 64' · 0.40 xG · goal
Mallorca (attacking right)Rayo Vallecano (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Mallorca1232.62
Rayo Vallecano1701.97

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Mallorca led on xG, 1.71 to 0.60. At full time, Mallorca led on xG, 2.62 to 1.97. The widest gap was 1.71 xG to Mallorca, in the 42nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Mallorca 35 minGoal - Mallorca 39 minGoal - Mallorca 64 min
Mallorca 2.62 xGRayo Vallecano 1.97 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano?
In their last 6 meetings, Mallorca won 3, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano?
Recent form — Mallorca 2W 1D 2L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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