MallorcaReal Madrid

Mallorca v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid

La Liga · · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mallorca · Real Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid — Mallorca won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,974 of 2,640 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 1.51 to 1.04 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 21st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Mallorca beat Real Madrid 2–1 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in La Liga on Saturday 4 April.

The goals

Mallorca led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Mallorca: Manu Morlanes (41’, assisted by Pablo Maffeo) and Vedat Muriqi (90’, assisted by M. Joseph); Real Madrid: Éder Militão (88’, assisted by Trent Alexander-Arnold).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vedat Muriqi’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

J. Sanchez showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mallorca: Zito Luvumbo (-5’), Leo Román (66’), M. Valjent (84’) and Pablo Maffeo (90+5’); Real Madrid: Dean Huijsen (47’) and Franco Mastantuono (90’).

What it changes

Mallorca have scored 47 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Mallorca have conceded 57 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid have scored 77 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Real Madrid have conceded 35 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca) 6.0, Éder Militão (Real Madrid) 4.7 and Manu Morlanes (Mallorca) 4.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Mallorca, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mallorca or Real Madrid (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Mallorca next host Cordoba on 14 November 2026.

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mallorca: Mallorca v Cordoba, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca
  • Referee: J. Sanchez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Mallorca 0 · draws 1 · Real Madrid 5 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mallorca 1W 1D 3L · Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L

Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.38
Corners
against 6.63 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 2 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.3 yellows
Referee · J. Sanchez
27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMallorca for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
10.75 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: J. Sanchez — 4.3 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 27 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Mallorca

Mallorca Goalkeeper

Mallorca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Leo Román24902160 min813.4 /90401.7 /9010 /90
Lucas Bergström690540 min172.8 /9081.3 /9000 /90
Mallorca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leo Román n 890
3.16/5
Lucas Bergström n 690
2.85/3

Mallorca Defensive

Mallorca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Valjent31862663 min341.1 /90160.5 /90120.4 /90862.9 /90280.9 /9040.1 /90
J. Mojica26822121 min451.9 /90140.6 /9040.2 /90964.1 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
Pablo Maffeo24831985 min502.3 /90261.2 /90190.9 /901195.4 /90170.8 /9070.3 /90
Raíllo23882033 min251.1 /90160.7 /90341.5 /901135 /90231 /9040.2 /90
Mateu Morey1264764 min182.1 /9091.1 /9040.5 /90344 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90
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Mallorca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Valjent n 890
14/3
00/0
—
Darder n 855.8
1.25/1
0.42/0
A. Güler
V. Muriqi n 886.6
1.47/4
1.85/4
—
Samú Costa n 886
2.57/5
2.57/7
A. Güler
J. Mojica n 879.6
0.43/0
0.84/2
—
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Mallorca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Valjent n 890
0.64/1
Darder n 855.8
0.42/0
V. Muriqi n 886.6
0.43/0
Samú Costa n 886
2.16/5
J. Mojica n 879.6
1.13/3
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Mallorca Attacking

Mallorca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Muriqi28832324 min180.7 /9010 /90722.8 /90381.5 /90150.6 /90130.5 /90
M. Joseph26641664 min20.1 /9010.1 /90281.5 /90140.8 /90110.6 /90181 /90
Marc Domenech637221 min00 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
Javi Llabrés553267 min10.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9031 /9062 /90
Abdón Prats457228 min20.8 /9000 /9052 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
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Mallorca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Valjent n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Darder n 855.8
0.83/1
0.63/0
V. Muriqi n 886.6
3.17/6
14/4
Samú Costa n 886
0.53/1
0.43/0
J. Mojica n 879.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Mallorca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mallorca before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Valjent n 890
00/0
00/0
Darder n 855.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
V. Muriqi n 886.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
Samú Costa n 886
0.32/0
00/0
J. Mojica n 879.6
00/0
00/0
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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois47894185 min1423.1 /90461 /9000 /90
A. Lunin582412 min183.9 /90102.2 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
2.96/5
A. Lunin n 885.3
2.96/4

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen36822966 min491.5 /90341 /90200.6 /901484.5 /90290.9 /9070.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández33892947 min631.9 /90451.4 /90150.5 /901624.9 /90361.1 /9090.3 /90
Raúl Asencio32712270 min220.9 /90150.6 /90170.7 /90843.3 /90251 /9080.3 /90
A. Rüdiger22841852 min130.6 /9080.4 /9080.4 /90391.9 /90140.7 /9010 /90
Fran García20771533 min372.2 /90160.9 /9080.5 /90744.3 /90150.9 /9020.1 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 885.6
0.53/1
2.56/5
—
A. Güler n 868.8
0.74/0
1.65/3
Samú Costa
F. Valverde n 882.5
1.46/2
0.83/2
—
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
1.36/3
1.66/3
—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 885.6
0.54/0
A. Güler n 868.8
2.97/6
F. Valverde n 882.5
1.85/4
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
2.18/5
Kylian Mbappé n 873.4
0.21/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior49793889 min180.4 /90100.2 /901112.6 /90621.4 /90821.9 /901122.6 /90
Kylian Mbappé37813009 min391.2 /9050.1 /901283.8 /90822.5 /90852.5 /90832.5 /90
Gonzalo García26601565 min100.6 /9020.1 /90281.6 /90201.2 /90140.8 /9050.3 /90
Rodrygo22511125 min30.2 /9050.4 /90312.5 /90191.5 /90302.4 /90312.5 /90
Daniel Yañez13232 min00 /9012.8 /9000 /9000 /9025.6 /9000 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 885.6
3.37/7
27/5
A. Güler n 868.8
1.36/2
0.53/0
F. Valverde n 882.5
28/4
1.45/3
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
1.47/3
0.85/1
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 885.6
0.84/2
00/0
A. Güler n 868.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
F. Valverde n 882.5
0.84/1
0.42/1
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
A. Tchouaméni n 885.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MallorcaReal Madrid
36%Possession64%
1.22Expected goals (xG)1.28
6Shots15
2Shots on target6
3Shots off target6
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box13
6Corners4
1Offsides5
16Fouls13
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves0
310Passes568
79%Pass accuracy88%

Mallorca Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Leo Román90000000Y7.5
Pablo Maffeo90010011Y6.9
M. Valjent90000001Y6.9
Omar Mascarell9000000106.3
J. Mojica9000001206.3
Darder9000100207.3
V. Muriqi9010210107.3
Zito Luvumbo81000000Y6.2
Samú Costa7000000206.3
Manu Morlanes7010210007.5
Pablo Torre7000001006.9
David López sub2000000106.6
Jan Virgili sub2000000106.3
M. Joseph sub2001001106.9
Antonio Sánchez sub900000106.3

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Lunin9000000006.3
Trent Alexander-Arnold9001003106.9
A. Rüdiger9000101106.9
Álvaro Fernández9000002106.5
A. Tchouaméni9000200207.5
Kylian Mbappé9000432006.6
Brahim Díaz7600000006.7
A. Güler7200114107.2
Dean Huijsen59000003Y6.9
Manuel Ángel5900110106.7
Eduardo Camavinga5900001306.6
Éder Militão sub3110210107.5
J. Bellingham sub3100001106.3
Vinícius Júnior sub3100100006.9
Thiago Pitarch sub1800000106.5
Franco Mastantuono sub14000000Y6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mallorca v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MallorcaLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Real MadridWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Mallorca 0 · 1 draw · Real Madrid 5 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-30 Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca
  • 2025-05-14 Real Madrid 2–1 Mallorca
  • 2025-01-09 Real Madrid 3–0 Mallorca
  • 2024-08-18 Mallorca 1–1 Real Madrid
  • 2024-04-13 Mallorca 0–1 Real Madrid
  • 2024-01-03 Real Madrid 1–0 Mallorca
League standing · 2025/26
Mallorca#18 pos42 pts38 pl-10 GD
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Mallorca scored1.24
Real Madrid scored2.03
Mallorca conceded1.5
Real Madrid conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Mallorca 1.04 xG from 6 shots, Real Madrid 1.51 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Manuel Morlanes 34' · 0.39 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 21' · 0.36 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 24' · 0.31 xGAntonio Rüdiger 24' · 0.14 xGEder Militão 79' · 0.13 xGVedat Muriqi 14' · 0.11 xGAurelien Tchouameni 22' · 0.08 xGArda Güler 32' · 0.08 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 15' · 0.07 xGFranco Mastantuono 92' · 0.06 xGVinícius Júnior 59' · 0.05 xGAurelien Tchouameni 77' · 0.05 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 54' · 0.05 xGJohan Mojica 47' · 0.04 xGSergi Darder 73' · 0.04 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 38' · 0.03 xGManuel Ángel 15' · 0.03 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 64' · 0.02 xGManuel Morlanes 41' · 0.35 xG · goalVedat Muriqi 90' · 0.10 xG · goalEder Militão 87' · 0.05 xG · goal
Mallorca (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Mallorca621.04
Real Madrid1511.51

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Mallorca 0.85, Real Madrid 1.09. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 1.51 to 1.04. The widest gap was 0.95 xG to Real Madrid, in the 32nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Mallorca 41 minGoal - Real Madrid 87 minGoal - Mallorca 90 min
Mallorca 1.04 xGReal Madrid 1.51 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Mallorca v Real Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mallorca v Real Madrid was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Mallorca and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Mallorca won 0, Real Madrid won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mallorca and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Mallorca 1W 1D 3L; Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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