Osasuna v Valencia result

Full-time · Osasuna 1–0 Valencia

La Liga · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 16:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Osasuna · Valencia · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Osasuna 1–0 Valencia — Osasuna won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 834 of 1,292 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Osasuna: 0.95 to 0.59 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the eighth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Osasuna beat Valencia 1–0 in La Liga on Sunday 24 August. It is Osasuna’s first win over Valencia since 27 August 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Osasuna led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Osasuna: Ante Budimir (9’, assisted by V. Rosier). José Gayà (22’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ante Budimir’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain showed three yellow cards and one red — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Osasuna: Lucas Torró (45’) and V. Rosier (80’); Valencia: César Tárrega (74’).

What it changes

Osasuna have scored 44 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Osasuna have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Valencia have scored 46 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Valencia have conceded 55 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Valencia are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, V. Rosier (Osasuna) 6.2, Ante Budimir (Osasuna) 5.8 and Sergio Herrera (Osasuna) 3.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Valencia are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Osasuna.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Valencia, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Osasuna next host Athletic Club on 7 November 2026.

Valencia next host Real Madrid on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Osasuna: Osasuna v Athletic Club, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Valencia: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Osasuna 1–0 Valencia · La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Osasuna 1 · draws 2 · Valencia 3 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Osasuna 2W 2D 1L · Valencia 1W 2D 2L

Osasuna 1–0 Valencia (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.25

Corners

against 5 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2.13

Cards

against 2 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.22 yellows

Referee · Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain

25.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Osasuna for / against	Line	Valencia for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain — 5.22 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Osasuna

Osasuna Goalkeeper

Osasuna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sergio Herrera	1	9090 min	44 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sergio Herrera n 8	90	3.8 7/7

Osasuna Defensive

Osasuna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Catena	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90
F. Boyomo	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	33 /90	66 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Juan Cruz	1	8585 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
Abel Bretones	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	11 /90	88 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Lucas Torró	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90	77 /90	11 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Budimir n 8	84.4	2.3 7/5	1.3 6/4	—
Abel Bretones n 8	79.3	1.6 6/2	2 7/6	—
Moncayola n 8	67.3	1 4/1	0.7 3/1	Luis Rioja
F. Boyomo n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0	César Tárrega
Lucas Torró n 8	84.4	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0	Diego López
See more players · Pro

Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Abel Bretones n 8	79.3	3.7 8/7
Moncayola n 8	67.3	3.7 7/6
F. Boyomo n 8	90	2.6 7/7
Lucas Torró n 8	84.4	2.1 6/5
A. Budimir n 8	84.4	0.7 3/2
See more players · Pro

Osasuna Attacking

Osasuna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Shots	Dribbles completed
A. Budimir	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90
Rubén García	1	6666 min	00 /90	11.4 /90
Abel Bretones	1	9090 min	00 /90	33 /90

Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Budimir n 8	84.4	2.7 8/6	1.3 6/3
Lucas Torró n 8	84.4	1.1 5/3	0.1 1/0
Catena n 8	82.9	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Moncayola n 8	67.3	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
Abel Bretones n 8	79.3	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Budimir n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
Catena n 8	82.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Sergio Herrera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Boyomo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lucas Torró n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Julen Agirrezabala	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
César Tárrega	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	11 /90	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Copete	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90
D. Foulquier	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90
José Gayà	1	8080 min	22.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90	22.3 /90	11.1 /90
Diego López	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
César Tárrega n 8	90	1.3 5/4	0.4 3/0	F. Boyomo
Diego López n 8	74.4	0.6 4/0	0.9 5/1	Lucas Torró
Luis Rioja n 8	72.4	0.5 3/0	1.2 5/2	Moncayola
D. Foulquier n 8	86	0.4 3/0	1.2 7/2	—
Javi Guerra n 8	86.5	1.2 6/1	0.8 3/2	—
See more players · Pro

Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Foulquier n 8	86	2.4 7/5
César Tárrega n 8	90	1.5 5/3
Luis Rioja n 8	72.4	1.1 4/1
Diego López n 8	74.4	0.8 3/2
Javi Guerra n 8	86.5	1.3 7/2
See more players · Pro

Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Dani Raba	1	6868 min	00 /90	11.3 /90	22.6 /90	00 /90	22.6 /90	11.3 /90
Hugo Duro	1	6767 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	00 /90
A. Danjuma	1	2323 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.9 /90
Diego López	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Luis Rioja	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90
See more players · Pro

Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 8	72.4	0.8 4/1	0.6 3/1
Diego López n 8	74.4	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
D. Foulquier n 8	86	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Javi Guerra n 8	86.5	1 6/2	0.9 5/2
See more players · Pro

Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Diego López n 8	74.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Luis Rioja n 8	72.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
D. Foulquier n 8	86	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
César Tárrega n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Javi Guerra n 8	86.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Osasuna		Valencia
56%	Possession	44%
0.83	Expected goals (xG)	0.41
16	Shots	4
4	Shots on target	1
6	Shots off target	2
6	Blocked shots	1
9	Shots inside the box	1
3	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	1
1	Saves	3
464	Passes	370
82%	Pass accuracy	80%

Osasuna Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Sergio Herrera	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
F. Boyomo	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.5
Catena	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
Juan Cruz	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
V. Rosier	90	0	1	1	0	1	5	Y	7.2
Moncayola	90	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	7
A. Budimir	90	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	7.3
Moi Gómez	84	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	8.2
Lucas Torró	78	0	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.9
Aimar Oroz	78	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	7.7
Víctor Muñoz	62	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Rubén García sub	28	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
Jorge Herrando sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Raúl García sub	12	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
Asier Osambela sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Valencia Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Julen Agirrezabala	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
D. Foulquier	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
César Tárrega	90	0	0	0	3	Y	6.9
Diego López	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
A. Danjuma	90	2	1	0	0	0	6.3
Copete	78	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
Pepelu	78	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
Luis Rioja	67	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Javi Guerra	67	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Dani Raba	26	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
José Gayà	22	0	0	1	0	R	3
Jesús Vázquez sub	64	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Diakhaby sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
F. Ugrinic sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
B. Santamaría sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Hugo Duro sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Osasuna v Valencia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OsasunaDWWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

ValenciaWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Osasuna 1 · 2 draws · Valencia 3 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-03-02 Osasuna 3–3 Valencia
2024-09-24 Valencia 0–0 Osasuna
2024-04-15 Osasuna 0–1 Valencia
2023-08-27 Valencia 1–2 Osasuna
2023-03-11 Valencia 1–0 Osasuna
2022-10-07 Osasuna 1–2 Valencia

League standing · 2025/26

Osasuna#17 pos42 pts38 pl-6 GD

Valencia#9 pos49 pts38 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Osasuna scored1.16

Valencia scored1.21

Osasuna conceded1.32

Valencia conceded1.45

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Osasuna 0.95 xG from 16 shots, Valencia 0.59 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Osasuna (attacking right)Valencia (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Osasuna	16	1	0.95
Valencia	4	0	0.59

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Osasuna led on xG, 0.54 to 0.05. At full time, Osasuna led on xG, 0.95 to 0.59. The widest gap was 0.57 xG to Osasuna, in the 46th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Osasuna 0.95 xGValencia 0.59 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Osasuna v Valencia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Osasuna v Valencia was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Valencia?: In their last 6 meetings, Osasuna won 1, Valencia won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Osasuna and Valencia?: Recent form — Osasuna 2W 2D 1L; Valencia 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.