Rayo Vallecano v Elche result

Full-time · Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche

La Liga · Fri, 03 Apr 2026 20:00 BST · Estadio de Vallecas

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Elche · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche — Rayo Vallecano won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,959 of 2,624 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 1.51 to 0.60 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 32nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Rayo Vallecano beat Elche 1–0 at Estadio de Vallecas in La Liga on Friday 3 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Randy Nteka (74’, assisted by Álvaro García). Bigas (39’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Randy Nteka’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

J. Munuera showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Bigas (22’), Bigas (39’), Rafa Mir (45’) and Á. Rodríguez (63’).

What it changes

Rayo Vallecano have scored 41 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 44 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Elche have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Elche have conceded 57 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tete Morente (Elche) 7.1, Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano) 5.9 and Luiz Felipe (Rayo Vallecano) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rayo Vallecano or Elche (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche · La Liga
Venue: Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid
Referee: J. Munuera
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 3 · draws 0 · Elche 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 1W 2D 2L · Elche 1W 1D 3L

Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13

Goals

against 0.88 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.63 / 4

Corners

against 3.75 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.38

Cards

against 3.63 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.64 yellows

Referee · J. Munuera

24.36 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Rayo Vallecano for / against	Line	Elche for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.63 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.63 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.5 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: J. Munuera — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 24.36 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Batalla	39	903510 min	952.4 /90	441.1 /90	00 /90

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 8	90	2.3 5/3

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Lejeune	41	903674 min	661.6 /90	521.3 /90	290.7 /90	2004.9 /90	581.4 /90	50.1 /90
A. Rațiu	33	842766 min	622 /90	391.3 /90	70.2 /90	1635.3 /90	210.7 /90	80.3 /90
Pep Chavarría	28	862412 min	511.9 /90	321.2 /90	160.6 /90	1254.7 /90	351.3 /90	80.3 /90
A. Espino	26	681764 min	502.6 /90	221.1 /90	50.3 /90	1186 /90	201 /90	20.1 /90
N. Mendy	19	801513 min	231.4 /90	201.2 /90	161 /90	593.5 /90	251.5 /90	60.4 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.1 5/3	0.8 6/0	D. Affengruber
Álvaro García n 8	57.9	1.2 4/2	0.6 2/1	Germán Valera
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Isi Palazón n 8	67.6	1.2 5/2	2 7/2	Aleix Febas
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.4	1.1 5/2	1.1 5/1	Á. Rodríguez
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.5 6/4
Álvaro García n 8	57.9	1.4 6/1
Isi Palazón n 8	67.6	2.2 7/3
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.4	0.6 3/1
A. Rațiu n 8	81.9	1.4 7/2
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jorge de Frutos	36	642321 min	110.4 /90	30.1 /90	451.7 /90	251 /90	311.2 /90	220.9 /90
Alemão	19	531005 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	191.7 /90	100.9 /90	80.7 /90	50.4 /90
Sergio Camello	18	561012 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	161.4 /90	151.3 /90
Álvaro García	41	642623 min	110.4 /90	80.3 /90	541.9 /90	301 /90	481.6 /90	100.3 /90
Isi Palazón	39	662567 min	40.1 /90	60.2 /90	361.3 /90	150.5 /90	481.7 /90	250.9 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.3 6/4	0.5 3/1
Álvaro García n 8	57.9	2.1 6/4	1.2 5/1
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	67.6	1.2 5/1	0.3 2/0
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.4	1.9 7/3	1.3 6/2
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Álvaro García n 8	57.9	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	67.6	0.2 1/0	0.3 1/1
Jorge de Frutos n 8	69.4	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
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Elche

Elche Goalkeeper

Elche — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Iñaki Peña	16	901440 min	553.4 /90	281.8 /90	00 /90
M. Dituro	15	901350 min	402.7 /90	201.3 /90	10.1 /90

Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	3.8 6/5
M. Dituro n 8	90	2.9 6/4

Elche Defensive

Elche — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Affengruber	28	812265 min	602.4 /90	411.6 /90	180.7 /90	1405.6 /90	281.1 /90	60.2 /90
Víctor Chust	23	811873 min	562.7 /90	201 /90	160.8 /90	954.6 /90	331.6 /90	80.4 /90
Bigas	21	751571 min	281.6 /90	251.4 /90	140.8 /90	774.4 /90	191.1 /90	30.2 /90
L. Pétrot	21	671401 min	402.6 /90	151 /90	130.8 /90	835.3 /90	140.9 /90	10.1 /90
Álvaro Núñez	19	871652 min	241.3 /90	160.9 /90	60.3 /90	643.5 /90	120.7 /90	20.1 /90
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Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Aleix Febas n 8	87.3	1 7/1	3 8/6	Isi Palazón
Germán Valera n 8	87	0.9 5/2	2.1 6/4	Álvaro García
D. Affengruber n 8	76.6	1.5 7/2	1.6 7/4	F. Lejeune
Marc Aguado n 8	65.5	1.2 4/2	1.2 4/2	—
Á. Rodríguez n 8	74.5	1.4 5/2	1.4 5/2	Jorge de Frutos
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Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 8	87.3	1.9 6/4
Germán Valera n 8	87	1 6/1
D. Affengruber n 8	76.6	2.6 5/5
Marc Aguado n 8	65.5	1.5 5/3
Á. Rodríguez n 8	74.5	1.2 5/2
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Elche Attacking

Elche — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Á. Rodríguez	25	691716 min	40.2 /90	40.2 /90	492.6 /90	170.9 /90	261.4 /90	311.6 /90
Rafa Mir	23	701602 min	80.4 /90	00 /90	543 /90	311.7 /90	90.5 /90	50.3 /90
André Silva	19	671276 min	60.4 /90	00 /90	271.9 /90	171.2 /90	181.3 /90	141 /90
Adam Boayar	5	43213 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	73 /90	31.3 /90	20.8 /90	31.3 /90
M. El Ghezouani	2	2550 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90
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Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 8	87.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Germán Valera n 8	87	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
D. Affengruber n 8	76.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Marc Aguado n 8	65.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Á. Rodríguez n 8	74.5	2.4 7/3	0.8 5/0
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Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Germán Valera n 8	87	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
D. Affengruber n 8	76.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marc Aguado n 8	65.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Á. Rodríguez n 8	74.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rayo Vallecano		Elche
60%	Possession	40%
1.35	Expected goals (xG)	0.44
21	Shots	9
5	Shots on target	4
10	Shots off target	2
6	Blocked shots	3
11	Shots inside the box	6
9	Corners	4
17	Fouls	9
0	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	1
4	Saves	4
410	Passes	286
85%	Pass accuracy	73%

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
A. Batalla	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
A. Rațiu	90	0	0	1	0	4	2	8.2
F. Lejeune	90	0	0	2	0	1	4	8.3
Luiz Felipe	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	7.2
Pep Chavarría	90	0	0	2	1	1	1	7
Unai López	90	0	0	1	0	3	1	7.3
Jorge de Frutos	89	0	0	3	1	1	1	6.9
Álvaro García	84	0	1	3	2	3	1	6.9
Alemão	83	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Isi Palazón	66	0	0	0	0	2	1	6.6
Óscar Valentín	66	0	0	0	0	1	4	7.3
R. Nteka sub	24	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.3
Pedro Díaz sub	24	0	0	2	0	0	1	6.9
Sergio Camello sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Espino sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Carlos Martín sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	–

Elche Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Dituro	90	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
D. Affengruber	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
L. Pétrot	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Tete Morente	90	0	0	1	8	0	7.3
Germán Valera	90	0	0	3	1	0	7.2
Buba Sangaré	83	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Marc Aguado	77	0	0	0	2	0	7
Aleix Febas	77	0	0	2	1	0	7
Á. Rodríguez	77	0	0	1	1	Y	6.7
Rafa Mir	45	4	3	0	3	Y	6.5
Bigas	39	1	0	0	0	RY	6.2
Adrià Pedrosa sub	45	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Gonzalo Villar sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
André Silva sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
F. Redondo sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Yago Alonso sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Elche — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoDWDLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

ElcheLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rayo Vallecano 3 · 0 draws · Elche 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2025-12-21 Elche 4–0 Rayo Vallecano
2023-04-29 Elche 4–0 Rayo Vallecano
2022-10-03 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche
2022-02-18 Elche 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
2021-10-17 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche
2021-01-16 Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Elche

League standing · 2025/26

Rayo Vallecano#8 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD

Elche#15 pos43 pts38 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Rayo Vallecano scored1.08

Elche scored1.29

Rayo Vallecano conceded1.16

Elche conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 1.51 xG from 21 shots, Elche 0.60 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Rayo Vallecano (attacking right)Elche (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Rayo Vallecano	21	1	1.51
Elche	9	0	0.60

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Rayo Vallecano 0.73, Elche 0.59. At full time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.51 to 0.60. The widest gap was 0.91 xG to Rayo Vallecano, in the 76th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Rayo Vallecano 1.51 xGElche 0.60 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rayo Vallecano v Elche?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Elche was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Elche?: In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 3, Elche won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Elche?: Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 1W 2D 2L; Elche 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.