Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander

Rayo Vallecano v Racing Santander result

Full-time · Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander

La Liga · · Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander — Rayo Vallecano won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 1.19 to 0.63 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 42nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Racing Santander have conceded 29 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Rayo Vallecano beat Racing Santander 3–2 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque in La Liga on Saturday 5 September.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Racing Santander: Sergio Canales (4’) and Pablo García (28’); Rayo Vallecano: Andrei Rațiu (17’, assisted by Sergio Camello) and Sergio Camello (43’, assisted by Unai López; 47’, assisted by Unai López). Jorge de Frutos (-5’) and Fran Pérez (85’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sergio Camello’s goal on 47 minutes.

Discipline

Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain showed five yellow cards and two reds — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: Óscar Valentín (2’), Sergio Camello (39’) and Florian Lejeune (66’); Racing Santander: Mohamed Zabiri (25’) and Iñigo Vicente (35’).

What it changes

Rayo Vallecano move up from 18th to 12th (four league matches played). Rayo Vallecano have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Racing Santander move down from eighth to 11th (four league matches played). Racing Santander have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) 11.9, Unai López (Rayo Vallecano) 10.1 and Andrei Rațiu (Rayo Vallecano) 9.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rayo Vallecano or Racing Santander (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Racing Santander next travel to Malaga on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Racing Santander: Malaga v Racing Santander, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque · Leganés
  • Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Rayo Vallecano 2 · draws 0 · Racing Santander 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 1W 1D 3L · Racing Santander 2W 2D 1L

Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6
Corners
against 6.25 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 7
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.5 yellows
Referee · Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
24.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRayo Vallecano for / againstLineRacing Santander for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
7 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
14.88 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 1.38 red cards, 24.13 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Batalla275150 min31.8 /9021.2 /9000 /90
Dani Cárdenas260120 min64.5 /9064.5 /9000 /90
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 886.3
2.37/3
Dani Cárdenas n 882.5
56/6

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Lejeune390270 min103.3 /9062 /9000 /90248 /9031 /9000 /90
P. Ciss390270 min20.7 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90134.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
A. Rațiu290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Balliu290180 min21 /9010.5 /9021 /9073.5 /9021 /9000 /90
J. Vertrouwd261122 min21.5 /9000 /9010.7 /9032.2 /9021.5 /9000 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Ciss n 874.9
0.94/1
1.15/1
Manu Hernando
F. Lejeune n 890
0.86/0
0.54/0
Jorge Salinas
Unai López n 873
1.86/4
0.53/0
—
Jorge de Frutos n 867.5
14/2
1.35/3
—
Óscar Valentín n 870.9
1.76/4
1.36/2
—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
38/7
P. Ciss n 874.9
1.46/3
Unai López n 873
1.75/4
Jorge de Frutos n 867.5
26/4
Óscar Valentín n 870.9
37/5
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Sergio Camello364191 min31.4 /9000 /9052.4 /9041.9 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Fran Pérez336108 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9032.5 /90
Alemão22040 min00 /9000 /9024.5 /9024.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Unai López381243 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9062.2 /9031.1 /90
Jorge de Frutos379237 min00 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9010.4 /9041.5 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
1.87/6
0.85/1
P. Ciss n 874.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Unai López n 873
0.53/0
0.32/0
Jorge de Frutos n 867.5
0.83/2
0.31/1
Óscar Valentín n 870.9
00/0
00/0
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ciss n 874.9
00/0
0.21/0
F. Lejeune n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Unai López n 873
00/0
0.32/0
Jorge de Frutos n 867.5
00/0
0.21/0
Óscar Valentín n 870.9
00/0
00/0
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Racing Santander

Racing Santander Goalkeeper

Racing Santander — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Julen Agirrezabala390270 min103.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Racing Santander — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Julen Agirrezabala n 390
3.32/2

Racing Santander Defensive

Racing Santander — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Álvaro Mantilla390270 min82.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90134.3 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
Jorge Salinas390270 min124 /9031 /9000 /90237.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
Manu Hernando384252 min31.1 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90124.3 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Pablo Ramón284167 min84.3 /9042.2 /9010.5 /90158.1 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Facundo González19090 min00 /9011 /9022 /9044 /9022 /9011 /90
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Racing Santander — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álvaro Mantilla n 889.3
1.87/5
0.85/1
—
Jorge Salinas n 890
1.17/2
1.47/2
F. Lejeune
Julen Agirrezabala n 390
00/0
0.71/1
—
G. Puerta n 888.8
2.37/5
2.77/6
—
Manu Hernando n 875.8
0.94/2
0.32/0
P. Ciss
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Racing Santander — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jorge Salinas n 890
4.38/8
Álvaro Mantilla n 889.3
1.98/3
G. Puerta n 888.8
2.28/5
Manu Hernando n 875.8
0.73/2
Iñigo Vicente n 880.9
1.36/2
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Racing Santander Attacking

Racing Santander — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Asier Villalibre351154 min00 /9000 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Zabiri339116 min32.3 /9000 /9032.3 /9032.3 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Puerta389268 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
Iñigo Vicente383249 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /90103.6 /9062.2 /90
Andrés Martín380239 min10.4 /9000 /9072.6 /9031.1 /9062.3 /9051.9 /90
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Racing Santander — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jorge Salinas n 890
0.84/2
0.43/0
Álvaro Mantilla n 889.3
0.63/2
0.31/1
Julen Agirrezabala n 390
00/0
00/0
G. Puerta n 888.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Manu Hernando n 875.8
1.25/2
0.42/1
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Racing Santander — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Mantilla n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
Julen Agirrezabala n 390
00/0
00/0
Jorge Salinas n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Puerta n 888.8
00/0
00/0
Manu Hernando n 875.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander
49%Possession51%
1.61Expected goals (xG)0.48
16Shots9
10Shots on target4
3Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box4
9Corners6
1Offsides2
15Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
2Red cards0
2Saves6
386Passes412
82%Pass accuracy81%

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Dani Cárdenas9000000006.3
A. Rațiu9010221107.5
Unai López9002005307.2
F. Lejeune90001111Y6.9
Pedro Díaz9000100207.2
P. Ciss9000100107.2
Adrià Pedrosa7500211106.2
Álvaro García7400220006.6
Jorge de Frutos65001101R6.9
Sergio Camello57213331Y9.5
Óscar Valentín57000000Y6.2
G. Bouare sub3300000106.6
Alemão sub3300000006.2
Fran Pérez sub20000000R5.5
G. Tsitaishvili sub1600000006.3
I. Balliu sub1500000107

Racing Santander Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Zabiri90000012Y5.6
Iñigo Vicente90000022Y6.9
Jorge Salinas9000000406.5
Iván Martín9000000607.2
Sergio Canales9010221207.6
Julen Agirrezabala9000000006.9
Álvaro Mantilla8900000105.9
Pablo García8910320207.6
M. Prati5500002006.9
Manu Hernando5500100005.9
Facundo González5500000205.9
J. Belocian sub3500100107.3
Pablo Ramón sub3500000207.2
André Almeida sub3500000207.2
Juan Carlos Arana sub10000000–
Aarón Martín sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Racing Santander — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rayo VallecanoWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Racing SantanderDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Rayo Vallecano 2 · 0 draws · Racing Santander 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2020-07-20 Racing Santander 1–2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2019-09-13 Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Racing Santander
League standing · 2026/27
Rayo Vallecano#12 pos12 pts10 pl-5 GD
Racing Santander#16 pos11 pts11 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Rayo Vallecano scored1.5
Racing Santander scored1.36
Rayo Vallecano conceded2
Racing Santander conceded2.64

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 1.19 xG from 16 shots, Racing Santander 0.63 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Pablo García 15' · 0.33 xGAndrei Ratiu 49' · 0.13 xGAdrià Pedrosa 47' · 0.11 xGAndrei Ratiu 13' · 0.10 xGJorge De Frutos 25' · 0.09 xGSergio Canales 48' · 0.08 xGUnai López 12' · 0.08 xGÁlvaro García 60' · 0.06 xGJeanuël Belocian 82' · 0.06 xGPathé Ciss 83' · 0.04 xGÁlvaro García 38' · 0.03 xGManu Hernando 15' · 0.03 xGYassir Zabiri 71' · 0.02 xGSergio Camello 40' · 0.02 xGPedro Díaz 84' · 0.02 xGPablo García 51' · 0.02 xGSergio Canales 18' · 0.02 xGAdrià Pedrosa 49' · 0.02 xGPedro Díaz 50' · 0.02 xGFlorian Lejeune 50' · 0.01 xGSergio Camello 42' · 0.37 xG · goalSergio Canales 3' · 0.06 xG · goalAndrei Ratiu 16' · 0.04 xG · goalSergio Camello 46' · 0.04 xG · goalPablo García 27' · 0.02 xG · goal
Rayo Vallecano (attacking right)Racing Santander (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Rayo Vallecano1631.19
Racing Santander920.63

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Rayo Vallecano 0.74, Racing Santander 0.46. At full time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.19 to 0.63. The widest gap was 0.58 xG to Rayo Vallecano, in the 60th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.20.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Racing Santander 3 minGoal - Rayo Vallecano 16 minGoal - Racing Santander 27 minGoal - Rayo Vallecano 42 minGoal - Rayo Vallecano 46 min
Rayo Vallecano 1.19 xGRacing Santander 0.63 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rayo Vallecano v Racing Santander?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Racing Santander was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander?
In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, Racing Santander won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander?
Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 1W 1D 3L; Racing Santander 2W 2D 1L.

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