Real Madrid v Alaves prediction

La Liga · Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Alaves · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Alaves, La Liga on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Real Madrid host Alaves in La Liga on Sunday 29 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Real Madrid have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have won their last seven matches in all competitions. Alaves are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Alaves, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

13 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 11 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Real Madrid have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.29 and conceding 0.71. Real Madrid have scored 28 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Alaves have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71. Alaves have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Alaves have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid (third) and Alaves (11th) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Madrid the stronger side, 440 rating points above Alaves (Real Madrid 1909, Alaves 1470, after at least 315 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves.

Team news

Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, M. Cucurella, I. Konaté, D. Huijsen, A. Rüdiger, J. Bellingham, Y. Diomande, B. Silva, A. Tchouaméni, A. Güler, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (8.0 per match over 15 appearances, 16 goals and three assists) and Jude Bellingham (6.2 per match over 15 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.4 shots per 90 over 2251 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 2239 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Alaves XI (5-3-2): Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, Jonny, N. Valentini, Yusi, P. Ibáñez, A. Blanco, D. Suárez, L. Boyé, T. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Boyé (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals) and Pablo Ibáñez (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Alaves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alaves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Boyé averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 802 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Pablo Ibáñez averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 885 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 29 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · La Liga
Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 6 · draws 0 · Alaves 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L · Alaves 0W 2D 3L

Real Madrid v Alaves (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.75 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 3.38

Corners

against 3 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.75 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Real Madrid for / against	Line	Alaves for / against
Goals scored	2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Thibaut Courtois	14	901260 min	493.5 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90
A. Lunin	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	3.4 6/6
A. Lunin n 8	90	3.1 6/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Marc Cucurella	14	721013 min	363.2 /90	121.1 /90	70.6 /90	534.7 /90	181.6 /90	10.1 /90
I. Konaté	12	901080 min	181.5 /90	40.3 /90	70.6 /90	363 /90	131.1 /90	40.3 /90
Dean Huijsen	11	87952 min	141.3 /90	232.2 /90	60.6 /90	333.1 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
D. Dumfries	9	76681 min	131.7 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	233 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
A. Rüdiger	7	82576 min	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	60.9 /90	142.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kylian Mbappé n 8	89	0.3 2/0	1.8 7/5	—
J. Bellingham n 8	85.6	0.7 4/1	3.3 8/6	—
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	0.7 4/1	0.6 3/1	—
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	2.8 6/5	0.2 1/0	—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	89	0 0/0
J. Bellingham n 8	85.6	2.2 7/5
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	1.6 6/2
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	4.2 7/7
Y. Diomande n 8	68.9	2.3 6/6
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Kylian Mbappé	15	891341 min	161.1 /90	30.2 /90	644.3 /90	432.9 /90	241.6 /90	372.5 /90
Endrick	3	41123 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	64.4 /90	32.2 /90	21.5 /90	32.2 /90
J. Bellingham	15	811222 min	50.4 /90	30.2 /90	272 /90	131 /90	272 /90	332.4 /90
F. Valverde	14	781094 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	100.8 /90	50.4 /90	141.2 /90	30.2 /90
Y. Diomande	13	61789 min	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	151.7 /90	50.6 /90	161.8 /90	414.7 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	89	3.7 7/7	2.1 7/6
J. Bellingham n 8	85.6	1.7 5/4	0.5 2/1
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	89	1 6/2	0.1 1/0
J. Bellingham n 8	85.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sivera	11	90990 min	322.9 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90

Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sivera n 8	90	2.8 6/3

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Tenaglia	11	86945 min	242.3 /90	171.6 /90	30.3 /90	525 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
V. Koski	11	83909 min	101 /90	121.2 /90	70.7 /90	252.5 /90	101 /90	00 /90
Jonny	9	84752 min	161.9 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	293.5 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
Yusi	8	34273 min	93 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	185.9 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90
N. Valentini	6	74441 min	81.6 /90	61.2 /90	51 /90	193.9 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
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Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1	1.6 7/2	—
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1.4 5/3	0.4 3/0	—
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	2 7/5	2.5 8/6	—
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	1.1 5/2	1.4 5/3	—
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Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	2.4 7/5
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1.1 6/2
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	2.5 5/3
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	2.3 6/4
M. Díaz n 8	45.3	0.5 2/0
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Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Díaz	11	42459 min	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	112.2 /90	102 /90	51 /90	51 /90
L. Boyé	10	80802 min	50.6 /90	00 /90	202.2 /90	101.1 /90	70.8 /90	40.4 /90
Toni Martínez	10	54544 min	00 /90	00 /90	172.8 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90	00 /90
Aitor Mañas	4	32126 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Hugo Novoa	3	3089 min	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	33 /90	22 /90
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Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	1 4/2	0.1 1/0
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
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Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Alaves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

AlavesDLLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Real Madrid 6 · 0 draws · Alaves 0 · 3 goals/game

2026-04-21 Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves
2025-12-14 Alaves 1–2 Real Madrid
2025-04-13 Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid
2024-09-24 Real Madrid 3–2 Alaves
2024-05-14 Real Madrid 5–0 Alaves
2023-12-21 Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid

League standing · 2026/27

Real Madrid#3 pos27 pts11 pl+18 GD

Alaves#11 pos12 pts11 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Real Madrid scored2.55

Alaves scored1.36

Real Madrid conceded0.91

Alaves conceded1.55

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Alaves?: In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 6, Alaves won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Alaves?: Recent form — Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L; Alaves 0W 2D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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