Real Madrid v Barcelona prediction

La Liga · Sun, 09 May 2027 16:00 BST

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 23:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Madrid · Barcelona · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Madrid v Barcelona, La Liga on Sun, 09 May 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Real Madrid host Barcelona in La Liga on Sunday 9 May (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Barcelona have scored 48 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Real Madrid have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Barcelona have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have won their last eight matches in all competitions. Barcelona have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

13 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 10 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Real Madrid have seven wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 3.29 and conceding 0.71. Real Madrid have scored 31 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

14 of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (93%). Both teams scored in 11 of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Barcelona have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.57 points per game, scoring 3.57 and conceding 1.57. Barcelona have conceded 13 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Real Madrid (second) and Barcelona (first) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barcelona the stronger side, 83 rating points above Real Madrid (Barcelona 2010, Real Madrid 1928, after at least 354 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 October 2026, finished Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid.

Team news

Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, M. Cucurella, I. Konaté, D. Huijsen, F. Valverde, J. Bellingham, Y. Diomande, B. Silva, A. Tchouaméni, A. Güler, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.9 per match over 16 appearances, 17 goals and three assists) and Jude Bellingham (6.1 per match over 16 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 2340 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 2328 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Barcelona XI (4-3-3): J. García, P. Paredes, G. Martín, J. Cancelo, B. Farinas, Pedri, Fermín, L. Yamal, Raphinha, K. Adeyemi, G. Jesus — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Yamal (10.3 per match over 16 appearances, 13 goals and 12 assists) and Raphinha (8.4 per match over 14 appearances, 19 goals and three assists) have been Barcelona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barcelona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Yamal averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 2359 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Raphinha averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 1506 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 09 May 2027 16:00 BST · La Liga
Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 2 · draws 0 · Barcelona 4 · 4.17 goals/game
Recent form: Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L · Barcelona 3W 0D 2L

Real Madrid v Barcelona (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3 / 3.25

Goals

against 1 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 4.88

Corners

against 2.88 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7.75 / 7.38

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.5 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Real Madrid for / against	Line	Barcelona for / against
Goals scored	3 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.38 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Thibaut Courtois	15	901350 min	513.4 /90	110.7 /90	00 /90
A. Lunin	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	3.5 7/6
A. Lunin n 8	90	3.1 6/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Marc Cucurella	15	741103 min	393.2 /90	121 /90	60.5 /90	604.9 /90	191.6 /90	10.1 /90
I. Konaté	13	901170 min	181.4 /90	70.5 /90	70.5 /90	382.9 /90	151.2 /90	40.3 /90
Dean Huijsen	12	871042 min	151.3 /90	262.2 /90	60.5 /90	423.6 /90	121 /90	20.2 /90
D. Dumfries	9	76681 min	131.7 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	233 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
A. Rüdiger	7	82576 min	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	60.9 /90	142.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	2.3 7/5	—
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	0.5 3/1	3 8/5	—
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0	—
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	2.9 7/5	0.8 2/1	—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	0 0/0
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	2 7/5
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	1.6 6/2
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	3.9 7/7
Y. Diomande n 8	74.9	2.6 7/7
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Kylian Mbappé	16	891430 min	171.1 /90	30.2 /90	684.3 /90	473 /90	251.6 /90	392.5 /90
Endrick	3	41123 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	53.7 /90	32.2 /90	21.5 /90	32.2 /90
J. Bellingham	16	821311 min	50.3 /90	30.2 /90	281.9 /90	151 /90	292 /90	342.3 /90
F. Valverde	15	791184 min	30.2 /90	20.2 /90	120.9 /90	60.5 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90
Y. Diomande	14	62873 min	40.4 /90	40.4 /90	151.5 /90	50.5 /90	161.6 /90	474.8 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	4.2 8/8	2.7 8/7
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	1.8 6/5	0.8 3/2
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	1 5/2	0.6 4/0
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	88.9	1.1 7/2	0.1 1/0
J. Bellingham n 8	86.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Valverde n 8	77.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Marc Cucurella n 8	73	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Barcelona

Barcelona Goalkeeper

Barcelona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Joan García	15	871305 min	372.6 /90	80.6 /90
D. Livakovic	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90
W. Szczęsny	1	4545 min	00 /90	12 /90

Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joan García n 8	90	3.1 6/4

Barcelona Defensive

Barcelona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pau Cubarsí Paredes	13	881142 min	161.3 /90	171.3 /90	30.2 /90	534.2 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
Gerard Martín	13	791021 min	111 /90	131.1 /90	10.1 /90	373.3 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90
Eric García	10	69693 min	192.5 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	303.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
João Cancelo	9	82740 min	161.9 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	404.9 /90	101.2 /90	30.4 /90
X. Espart	9	80724 min	293.6 /90	101.2 /90	00 /90	516.3 /90	151.9 /90	10.1 /90
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Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	1.3 5/2	2.4 8/5	—
Pedri n 8	68.4	0.3 2/0	1.2 4/2	—
Joan García n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Fermín n 8	68	2.5 6/6	0.7 3/1	—
A. Gordon n 8	65.6	1.4 5/3	0.9 4/1	—
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Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	1.4 7/3
Pedri n 8	68.4	0.8 3/1
Fermín n 8	68	1.5 6/2
A. Gordon n 8	65.6	1 5/1
Raphinha n 8	66.8	0.5 3/0
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Barcelona Attacking

Barcelona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lamine Yamal	16	851355 min	130.9 /90	120.8 /90	694.6 /90	251.7 /90	553.7 /90	654.3 /90
A. Gordon	15	63949 min	30.3 /90	40.4 /90	282.7 /90	181.7 /90	232.2 /90	212 /90
Raphinha	14	721014 min	191.7 /90	30.3 /90	373.3 /90	242.1 /90	252.2 /90	211.9 /90
K. Adeyemi	10	50501 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	203.6 /90	71.3 /90	112 /90	142.5 /90
Gabriel Jesus	6	44262 min	31 /90	10.3 /90	72.4 /90	41.4 /90	41.4 /90	62.1 /90
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Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	4.7 8/8	1.2 4/3
Pedri n 8	68.4	0.7 2/2	0 0/0
Joan García n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Fermín n 8	68	3.1 8/5	1.5 6/2
A. Gordon n 8	65.6	2.9 7/5	2.4 7/4
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Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	0.7 4/1	0.8 5/1
Pedri n 8	68.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Joan García n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Fermín n 8	68	0.7 3/1	0.8 4/1
A. Gordon n 8	65.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Madrid v Barcelona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Real MadridWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

BarcelonaLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Real Madrid 2 · 0 draws · Barcelona 4 · 4.17 goals/game

2026-10-25 Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
2026-05-10 Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid
2026-01-11 Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid
2025-10-26 Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona
2025-05-11 Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid
2025-04-26 Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid

League standing · 2026/27

Real Madrid#2 pos30 pts12 pl+21 GD

Barcelona#1 pos33 pts12 pl+35 GD

Goals per game

Real Madrid scored2.58

Barcelona scored4

Real Madrid conceded0.83

Barcelona conceded1.08

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Barcelona?: In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Barcelona won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Barcelona?: Recent form — Real Madrid 5W 0D 0L; Barcelona 3W 0D 2L.

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